Be1 NFA vs Neptūną Klaipėda• 1 Lyga, Lithuania

#32.4:0.62-0FTToday1.2:1.0#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.80WHX3.80B36523.841XBMargin at best7.9%Books5Markets44Rating45 · 55Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 08:33 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.77	3.52	3.84	10.9%
Bet365	1.70	3.80	3.75	11.8%
Marathonbet	1.75	3.52	3.74	12.3%
Pinnacle	1.78	3.41	3.68	12.7%
William Hill	1.80	3.25	3.75	13.0%
Best of all books	1.80	3.80	3.84	7.9%
Average	1.76	3.50	3.75	12.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Be1 NFANeptūną Klaipėda

Last 10#3Table position#72.08Points per game1.6313Form pts · last 562.4Goals for · last 51.20.6Goals against · last 51.067Attack rating3363Defence rating3868Form rating327H2H rating9354Goals model4645Overall rating55

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 13:50 UTC

Be1 NFA

6W 1D 3L · goals 17:12 · per match 1.7 for, 1.2 against

9 Oct	H	Dainava	2-2	D
18 Sep	H	Transinvest 2	2-1	W
14 Sep	A	FA Šiauliai II	2-0	W
4 Sep	H	Kauno Žalgiris II	1-0	W
29 Aug	A	Ekranas	5-0	W
21 Aug	H	Garliava	2-0	W
14 Aug	H	Hegelmann II	2-1	W
8 Aug	A	Minija	0-3	L
31 Jul	H	Jonava	0-2	L
26 Jul	A	BFA	1-3	L

Neptūną Klaipėda

5W 0D 5L · goals 11:12 · per match 1.1 for, 1.2 against

10 Oct	H	Hegelmann II	0-1	L
19 Sep	A	Minija	1-2	L
11 Sep	H	Jonava	2-0	W
7 Sep	A	Žalgiris II	0-1	L
29 Aug	H	Atmosfera	3-1	W
22 Aug	A	BFA	0-2	L
15 Aug	H	Babrungas	0-4	L
8 Aug	A	Tauras	2-0	W
1 Aug	A	Garliava	1-0	W
25 Jul	H	FA Šiauliai II	2-1	W

Head to head

1Be1 NFA wins

3draws

5Neptūną Klaipėda wins

9 meetings · goals 7:18 · last 9: 1W 3D 5L for Be1 NFA

30 May 20261 Lyga	1 Lyga	Neptūną Klaipėda1-0Be1 NFA
15 Aug 20251 Lyga	1 Lyga	Be1 NFA0-4Neptūną Klaipėda
18 Apr 20251 Lyga	1 Lyga	Neptūną Klaipėda3-0Be1 NFA
18 Oct 20241 Lyga	1 Lyga	Neptūną Klaipėda4-1Be1 NFA
31 May 20241 Lyga	1 Lyga	Be1 NFA1-1Neptūną Klaipėda
21 Oct 20231 Lyga	1 Lyga	Neptūną Klaipėda1-1Be1 NFA
3 Jun 20231 Lyga	1 Lyga	Be1 NFA1-1Neptūną Klaipėda
12 Oct 20221 Lyga	1 Lyga	Neptūną Klaipėda2-1Be1 NFA
22 May 20221 Lyga	1 Lyga	Be1 NFA2-1Neptūną Klaipėda

1 Lyga table1 Lygaupdated 16 Oct 18:32 UTC

In the 1 Lyga table, Be1 NFA sit 3rd with 54 points from 26 games, while Neptūną Klaipėda are 7th with 44 points from 27.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Minija	25	22	1	2	68:13	+55	67
2	Babrungas	26	20	4	2	45:11	+34	64
3	Be1 NFA	26	17	3	6	47:27	+20	54
4	Žalgiris II	26	14	4	8	40:33	+7	46
5	Tauras	26	13	5	8	47:35	+12	44
6	Dainava	27	12	8	7	40:28	+12	44
7	Neptūną Klaipėda	27	14	2	11	33:33	0	44
8	BFA	27	13	4	10	40:40	0	43
9	Atmosfera	25	8	7	10	37:33	+4	31
10	Jonava	27	8	6	13	31:35	-4	30
11	Garliava	26	7	5	14	29:31	-2	26
12	Hegelmann II	27	8	2	17	35:60	-25	26
13	Kauno Žalgiris II	26	7	2	17	26:46	-20	23
14	Transinvest 2	26	6	4	16	30:59	-29	22
15	FA Šiauliai II	26	4	6	16	30:59	-29	18
16	Ekranas	27	4	3	20	27:62	-35	15

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg150%1.78X26%3.50224%3.72

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.02 → 1.76 -12.9%X3.50 → 3.50 0.0%23.24 → 3.75 +15.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.65	2.20	6.1%
Pinnacle	1.68	2.04	8.5%
1xBet	1.66	2.05	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.66	2.05	9.0%
Best of all books	1.68	2.20	5.0%
Average	1.66	2.08	8.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.60	2.15	9.0%
William Hill	1.62	2.10	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.60	2.11	9.9%
Best of all books	1.62	2.15	8.2%
Average	1.61	2.12	9.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Be1 NFA 45%Draw 45%Neptūną Klaipėda 10%

The statistical model rated Be1 NFA at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Neptūną Klaipėda at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.78 | 3.50 | 3.72, which imply roughly 56.2% for a Be1 NFA win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 1 Lyga table: Be1 NFA are 3rd (54 pts, 47-27 goals), Neptūną Klaipėda 7th (44 pts, 33-33).

Over their last five matches, Be1 NFA averaged 2.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Neptūną Klaipėda averaged 1.2 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Be1 NFA or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.76	3.50	3.75

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.20	1.83	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
1.36	3.00

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.61	2.12

1st half

1	X	2
2.30	2.26	4.20

2nd half

1	X	2
2.11	2.56	3.91

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.87	15.3	28.5
HT X	5.25	6.25	8.70
HT 2	19.5	16.3	5.55

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.60	13.3	2.37

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	–	10.6
1.5	1.18	3.88
2.5	1.66	2.09
3.5	2.59	1.40
4.5	4.80	1.15
5.5	10.0	1.05

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	–	9.10
1.75	1.22	3.50
2	1.28	3.08
2.25	1.47	2.39
2.75	1.83	1.84
3	2.08	1.62
3.25	2.33	1.49
3.75	3.05	1.28
4	3.92	1.18

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.68	1.38
-1	2.37	1.49
-0.75	1.97	1.73
-0.5	1.82	1.94
-0.25	1.55	2.20
0	1.34	2.83

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	5.70	1.08
-2	5.00	1.10
-1.75	3.58	1.21
-1.5	2.94	1.31
+0.25	1.26	3.21
+1	1.04	7.00
+1.5	1.02	7.80

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9.5	1.73	2.00
10	2.00	1.80