Garliava vs Dainava• 1 Lyga, Lithuania

#110.8:2.02-1FT02/100.4:1.0#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.561XBX4.041XB21.93BTNMargin at best4.7%Books4Markets19Rating43 · 58Exp. goals L52.1

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Oct 08:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.69	3.85	2.38	5.2%
Betano	2.67	3.20	2.35	11.3%
Bet365	2.60	3.50	2.25	11.5%
Betfair	2.75	–	–	–
Best of all books	2.75	3.85	2.38	4.4%
Average	2.68	3.52	2.33	8.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

GarliavaDainava

Last 10#11Table position#61.00Points per game1.634Form pts · last 550.8Goals for · last 50.42.0Goals against · last 51.067Attack rating3333Defence rating670Form rating1000H2H rating10053Goals model4743Overall rating58

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 04:10 UTC

Garliava

1W 1D 8L · goals 7:16 · per match 0.7 for, 1.6 against

10 Oct	H	Atmosfera	0-0	D
2 Oct	H	Dainava	2-1	W
19 Sep	A	Kauno Žalgiris II	2-3	L
12 Sep	H	BFA	2-3	L
5 Sep	A	Ekranas	0-1	L
29 Aug	H	Babrungas	0-1	L
21 Aug	A	Be1 NFA	0-2	L
15 Aug	H	Tauras	0-1	L
7 Aug	A	Hegelmann II	1-3	L
1 Aug	H	Neptūną Klaipėda	0-1	L

Dainava

2W 4D 4L · goals 9:13 · per match 0.9 for, 1.3 against

9 Oct	A	Be1 NFA	2-2	D
2 Oct	A	Garliava	1-2	L
18 Sep	A	Hegelmann II	1-0	W
12 Sep	H	Minija	0-3	L
4 Sep	A	Jonava	0-0	D
1 Sep	A	Minija	2-3	L
28 Aug	H	Žalgiris II	0-1	L
22 Aug	H	Atmosfera	1-1	D
15 Aug	H	BFA	0-0	D
8 Aug	H	Babrungas	2-1	W

Head to head

0Garliava wins

0draws

3Dainava wins

3 meetings · goals 1:5 · last 3: 0W 0D 3L for Garliava

8 Jun 20261 Lyga	1 Lyga	Dainava1-0Garliava
5 Aug 20221 Lyga	1 Lyga	Dainava2-0Garliava
26 Mar 20221 Lyga	1 Lyga	Garliava1-2Dainava

1 Lyga table1 Lygaupdated 17 Oct 15:02 UTC

In the 1 Lyga table, Garliava sit 11th with 26 points from 26 games, while Dainava are 6th with 44 points from 27.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Minija	26	22	1	3	70:16	+54	67
2	Babrungas	27	21	4	2	48:13	+35	67
3	Be1 NFA	26	17	3	6	47:27	+20	54
4	Žalgiris II	26	14	4	8	40:33	+7	46
5	Tauras	26	13	5	8	47:35	+12	44
6	Dainava	27	12	8	7	40:28	+12	44
7	Neptūną Klaipėda	27	14	2	11	33:33	0	44
8	BFA	27	13	4	10	40:40	0	43
9	Atmosfera	25	8	7	10	37:33	+4	31
10	Jonava	27	8	6	13	31:35	-4	30
11	Garliava	26	7	5	14	29:31	-2	26
12	Hegelmann II	27	8	2	17	35:60	-25	26
13	Transinvest 2	27	7	4	16	32:59	-27	25
14	Kauno Žalgiris II	27	7	2	18	26:48	-22	23
15	FA Šiauliai II	26	4	6	16	30:59	-29	18
16	Ekranas	27	4	3	20	27:62	-35	15

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg127%3.32X25%3.56248%1.86

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.68 → 3.32 +23.9%X3.52 → 3.56 +1.1%22.33 → 1.86 -20.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.73	2.11	5.2%
Bet365	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Betfair	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Betano	1.67	1.95	11.2%
Best of all books	1.75	2.11	4.5%
Average	1.73	2.04	7.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.62	2.18	7.6%
Betfair	1.57	2.25	8.1%
Best of all books	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Average	1.60	2.21	7.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Garliava 10%Draw 45%Dainava 45%

The statistical model rated Garliava at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Dainava at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.32 | 3.56 | 1.86, which imply roughly 28.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 1 Lyga table: Garliava are 11th (26 pts, 29-31 goals), Dainava 6th (44 pts, 40-28).

Over their last five matches, Garliava averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Dainava averaged 0.4 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Dainava.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.68	3.52	2.33

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.51	1.39	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
1.96	1.72

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.60	2.22

1st half

1	X	2
3.26	2.23	2.91

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	12.0
1.5	1.21	4.09
2.5	1.73	2.04
2.75	1.87	1.78
3.5	2.78	1.42
4.5	5.18	1.14
5.5	11.0	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	5.00	1.12
-1	4.20	1.18
0	2.00	1.73
+0.25	1.78	2.02
+1	1.25	3.40
+1.5	1.17	4.20