V-varen Nagasaki14th7 pts
Cerezo Osaka10th10 pts
V-varen Nagasaki14th7 pts
Cerezo Osaka10th10 ptsIn the J1 League table, V-varen Nagasaki sit 14th with 7 points from 7 games, while Cerezo Osaka are 10th with 10 points from 7 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates V-varen Nagasaki at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Cerezo Osaka at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.32 | 3.46 | 2.08, which imply roughly 28.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the J1 League table: V-varen Nagasaki are 14th (7 pts, 9-14 goals), Cerezo Osaka 10th (10 pts, 6-11).
Over their last five matches, V-varen Nagasaki averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Cerezo Osaka averaged 0.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Cerezo Osaka.
V-varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Machida Zelvia | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 17 |
| 2 |  Vissel Kobe | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 |
| 3 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15 |
| 4 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 |
| 5 |  FC Tokyo | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 |
| 6 |  Fagiano Okayama | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 |  Kashima | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 |
| 9 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 |
| 10 |  Cerezo Osaka | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 |
| 11 |  Mito Hollyhock | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 12 |  Urawa | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 |
| 13 |  Shimizu S-pulse | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 |
| 14 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 |
| 15 |  Gamba Osaka | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 16 |  Nagoya Grampus | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 |
| 17 |  Kyoto Sanga | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 |
| 18 |  Avispa Fukuoka | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 |
| 19 |  Tokyo Verdy | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 20 |  JEF United Chiba | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 |
Confirmed Lineups
V-varen Nagasaki
3-4-2-1Coach: T. Takagi
Goalkeeper
- 1M. Goto
Defence
- 50R. Shindo
- 29I. Arai
- 6Y. Egawa
Midfield
- 23S. Yoneda
- 5H. Yamaguchi
- 24R. Yamada
- 22H. Onaga
- 10Matheus Jesus
- 41M. Hasegawa
Attack
- 9Thiago Santana
Substitutes (9)
- 8Y. Iwasaki
- 21Diego Pituca
- 31K. Doi
- 13G. Hatano
- 88A. Masuyama
- 34T. Matsumoto
- 20K. Nakamura
- 19T. Sawada
- 18R. Yamasaki
Cerezo Osaka
3-4-2-1Coach: Pablo Machín
Goalkeeper
- 23Kosuke Nakamura
Defence
- 27Dion-Johan Cools
- 44S. Hatanaka
- 4R. Inoue
Midfield
- 16H. Okuda
- 10S. Tanaka
- 36J. Irvine
- 66A. Ohata
- 77Lucas Fernandes
- 28K. Okazawa
Attack
- 9S. Sakuragawa
Substitutes (8)
- 2T. Nakamura
- 19P. Sabbag
- 17R. Sakata
- 97T. Takahashi
- 11Thiago Andrade
- 7S. Uejo
- 31K. Abe
- 15Javi Hernández
Betting Odds
Full time
1
3.32
X
3.46
2
2.08