Matsumoto Yamaga vs 
Thespakusatsu Gunma• J3 League, Japan
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 21 Oct 06:01 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 1.81 | 3.65 | 4.10 | 7.0% |
| Betano | 1.75 | 3.70 | 4.15 | 8.3% |
| Pinnacle | 1.74 | 3.63 | 4.16 | 9.1% |
| 1xBet | 1.68 | 3.54 | 4.36 | 10.7% |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.50 | 3.70 | 11.2% |
| Betfair | 1.70 | 3.60 | 4.00 | 11.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.66 | 3.54 | 4.25 | 12.0% |
| William Hill | 1.73 | 3.30 | 4.00 | 13.1% |
| SBO | 1.73 | 3.26 | 3.80 | 14.8% |
| Best of all books | 1.81 | 3.70 | 4.36 | 5.2% |
| Average | 1.73 | 3.52 | 4.06 | 10.7% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 20 Oct 10:30 UTC
Matsumoto Yamaga
3W 3D 4L · goals 9:11 · per match 0.9 for, 1.1 against
| 18 Oct | A | Parceiro Nagano | 1-2 | L |
| 14 Oct | H | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 0-1 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Kagoshima United | 1-0 | W |
| 3 Oct | H | Gainare Tottori | 0-1 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | Albirex Niigata | 1-0 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Tochigi SC | 2-1 | W |
| 18 Sep | A | Roasso Kumamoto | 0-0 | D |
| 13 Sep | H | Sagamihara | 1-3 | L |
| 9 Sep | H | Shonan Bellmare | 3-3 | D |
| 5 Sep | H | Osaka | 0-0 | D |
Thespakusatsu Gunma
3W 1D 6L · goals 10:18 · per match 1.0 for, 1.8 against
| 17 Oct | A | Gainare Tottori | 1-1 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | FC Ryukyu | 2-1 | W |
| 3 Oct | A | Ehime FC | 1-3 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Roasso Kumamoto | 0-1 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Kochi United | 1-0 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Renofa Yamaguchi | 0-2 | L |
| 5 Sep | H | Fukushima United | 1-3 | L |
| 2 Sep | H | Albirex Niigata | 1-2 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | Parceiro Nagano | 2-1 | W |
| 26 Aug | A | Tokyo Verdy | 1-4 | L |
Head to head
17 meetings · goals 25:24 · last 10: 5W 1D 4L for Matsumoto Yamaga
| 23 Nov 2025J3 League | J3 League | Thespakusatsu Gunma6-2Matsumoto Yamaga |
| 5 Jul 2025J3 League | J3 League | Matsumoto Yamaga1-3Thespakusatsu Gunma |
| 30 Oct 2021J2 League | J2 League | Thespakusatsu Gunma1-0Matsumoto Yamaga |
| 25 Apr 2021J2 League | J2 League | Matsumoto Yamaga1-0Thespakusatsu Gunma |
| 2 Dec 2020J2 League | J2 League | Thespakusatsu Gunma1-0Matsumoto Yamaga |
| 19 Jul 2020J2 League | J2 League | Matsumoto Yamaga2-0Thespakusatsu Gunma |
| 16 Sep 2017J2 League | J2 League | Matsumoto Yamaga3-0Thespakusatsu Gunma |
| 18 Jun 2017J2 League | J2 League | Thespakusatsu Gunma0-2Matsumoto Yamaga |
| 18 Sep 2016J2 League | J2 League | Thespakusatsu Gunma1-1Matsumoto Yamaga |
| 23 Apr 2016J2 League | J2 League | Matsumoto Yamaga2-1Thespakusatsu Gunma |
J3 League tableJ3 Leagueupdated 21 Oct 08:10 UTC
In the J3 League table, Matsumoto Yamaga sit 15th with 11 points from 11 games, while Thespakusatsu Gunma are 18th with 10 points from 11.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kagoshima United | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 23:13 | +10 | 26 |
| 2 | Ehime FC | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 26:14 | +12 | 23 |
| 3 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 16:7 | +9 | 23 |
| 4 | Nara Club | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22:16 | +6 | 23 |
| 5 | Sagamihara | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20:12 | +8 | 21 |
| 6 | FC Gifu | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 21:10 | +11 | 19 |
| 7 | Osaka | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 19:12 | +7 | 17 |
| 8 | Roasso Kumamoto | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 10:6 | +4 | 17 |
| 9 | Parceiro Nagano | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 17 |
| 10 | FC Ryukyu | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13:14 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Kanazawa | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 17:15 | +2 | 14 |
| 12 | Biwako Shiga | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 | Gainare Tottori | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:20 | -7 | 14 |
| 14 | Kitakyushu | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16:21 | -5 | 13 |
| 15 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 11 |
| 16 | Fukushima United | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 | Tochigi SC | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 10 |
| 18 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11:20 | -9 | 10 |
| 19 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12:23 | -11 | 5 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4:25 | -21 | 5 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.2% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 5.6% |
| SBO | 1.75 | 2.03 | 6.4% |
| Pinnacle | 1.76 | 2.01 | 6.6% |
| Betano | 1.75 | 2.00 | 7.1% |
| Betfair | 1.73 | 2.00 | 7.8% |
| 1xBet | 1.73 | 1.95 | 9.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.73 | 1.95 | 9.1% |
| Best of all books | 1.80 | 2.03 | 4.8% |
| Average | 1.75 | 1.99 | 7.4% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 1.72 | 2.02 | 7.6% |
| Betfair | 1.65 | 2.10 | 8.2% |
| William Hill | 1.67 | 2.05 | 8.7% |
| 1xBet | 1.68 | 2.02 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.68 | 1.99 | 9.8% |
| Best of all books | 1.72 | 2.10 | 5.8% |
| Average | 1.68 | 2.04 | 8.6% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Matsumoto Yamaga at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Thespakusatsu Gunma at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.73 | 3.53 | 4.07, which imply roughly 28.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the J3 League table: Matsumoto Yamaga are 15th (11 pts, 10-13 goals), Thespakusatsu Gunma 18th (10 pts, 11-20).
Over their last five matches, Matsumoto Yamaga averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Thespakusatsu Gunma averaged 1 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Thespakusatsu Gunma and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.73 | 3.52 | 4.06 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.18 | 1.96 | 1.22 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.32 | 3.08 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.68 | 2.04 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.26 | 2.22 | 4.44 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.06 | 2.55 | 4.20 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 2.63 | 14.4 | 38.4 |
| HT X | 4.60 | 5.62 | 9.14 |
| HT 2 | 21.6 | 15.0 | 6.89 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.57 | 12.0 | 2.51 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.03 | 9.90 |
| 1.5 | 1.21 | 3.78 |
| 2.5 | 1.75 | 1.99 |
| 3.5 | 2.82 | 1.36 |
| 4.5 | 5.24 | 1.11 |
| 5.5 | 9.50 | 1.04 |
| 6.5 | 10.5 | 1.02 |
13 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.03 | 8.20 |
| 1.25 | 1.09 | 5.25 |
| 1.75 | 1.24 | 3.34 |
| 2 | 1.32 | 2.94 |
| 2.25 | 1.53 | 2.29 |
| 2.75 | 1.95 | 1.77 |
| 3 | 2.25 | 1.56 |
| 3.25 | 2.53 | 1.43 |
| 3.75 | 3.42 | 1.23 |
| 4 | 4.60 | 1.13 |
| 4.25 | 4.95 | 1.11 |
| 4.75 | 6.85 | 1.04 |
| 5 | 9.30 | – |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 2.91 | 1.34 |
| -1.25 | 2.57 | 1.42 |
| -1 | 2.28 | 1.56 |
| -0.75 | 1.92 | 1.80 |
| -0.5 | 1.76 | 2.04 |
| -0.25 | 1.49 | 2.37 |
11 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 11.0 | 1.02 |
| -2.75 | 7.78 | 1.02 |
| -2.5 | 5.93 | 1.08 |
| -2.25 | 5.50 | 1.08 |
| -2 | 5.05 | 1.10 |
| -1.75 | 3.58 | 1.21 |
| 0 | 1.29 | 3.15 |
| +0.25 | 1.20 | 3.68 |
| +0.75 | 1.08 | 5.55 |
| +1.25 | 1.02 | 8.10 |
| +1.5 | 1.04 | 8.80 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 9.5 | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| 10 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
| 10.5 | 2.00 | 1.73 |
| 11.5 | 2.60 | 1.44 |