FC Gifu vs Renofa Yamaguchi• J3 League, Japan

#111.8:1.60-2FT03/10 · Gifu Memorial Center Nagaragawa Ball Field, Gifu1.8:0.6#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.45BTNX3.801XB22.67BTNMargin at best4.6%Books5Markets43Rating44 · 57Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Sep 03:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.23	3.86	2.94	4.8%
Betano	2.30	3.40	2.87	7.7%
Betfair	2.15	3.50	2.80	10.8%
Bet365	2.20	3.30	2.80	11.5%
Marathonbet	2.13	3.32	2.84	12.3%
Best of all books	2.30	3.86	2.94	3.4%
Average	2.20	3.48	2.85	9.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 3 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FC GifuRenofa Yamaguchi

Last 10#11Table position#61.44Points per game1.893Form pts · last 5131.8Goals for · last 51.81.6Goals against · last 50.650Attack rating5027Defence rating7335Form rating6538H2H rating6280Goals model2044Overall rating57

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Oct 02:01 UTC

FC Gifu

2W 2D 6L · goals 11:15 · per match 1.1 for, 1.5 against

3 Oct	H	Renofa Yamaguchi	0-2	L
29 Sep	H	Yokohama FC	1-2	L
26 Sep	A	Kamatamare Sanuki	4-3	W
20 Sep	A	Parceiro Nagano	0-1	L
12 Sep	A	Nara Club	1-2	L
5 Sep	H	Kanazawa	0-1	L
2 Sep	H	Tokushima Vortis	0-0	D
29 Aug	H	Tochigi SC	4-1	W
26 Aug	A	Cerezo Osaka	1-3	L
22 Aug	A	Kagoshima United	0-0	D

Renofa Yamaguchi

5W 2D 3L · goals 14:10 · per match 1.4 for, 1.0 against

3 Oct	A	FC Gifu	2-0	W
26 Sep	H	Sagamihara	2-2	D
20 Sep	A	Kanazawa	2-1	W
12 Sep	H	Thespakusatsu Gunma	2-0	W
5 Sep	A	Gainare Tottori	3-0	W
2 Sep	H	Fujieda MYFC	0-2	L
30 Aug	H	Osaka	0-0	D
22 Aug	A	Nara Club	1-3	L
19 Aug	A	Kagoshima United	1-2	L
15 Aug	H	FC Ryukyu	1-0	W

Head to head

2FC Gifu wins

3draws

3Renofa Yamaguchi wins

8 meetings · goals 11:17 · last 8: 2W 3D 3L for FC Gifu

6 Oct 2019J2 League	J2 League	FC Gifu1-1Renofa Yamaguchi
22 Jun 2019J2 League	J2 League	Renofa Yamaguchi4-0FC Gifu
7 Oct 2018J2 League	J2 League	Renofa Yamaguchi4-1FC Gifu
23 Jun 2018J2 League	J2 League	FC Gifu2-2Renofa Yamaguchi
16 Sep 2017J2 League	J2 League	Renofa Yamaguchi0-1FC Gifu
26 Feb 2017J2 League	J2 League	FC Gifu2-2Renofa Yamaguchi
25 Sep 2016J2 League	J2 League	Renofa Yamaguchi2-3FC Gifu
29 Apr 2016J2 League	J2 League	FC Gifu1-2Renofa Yamaguchi

J3 League tableJ3 Leagueupdated 11 Oct 06:01 UTC

In the J3 League table, FC Gifu sit 11th with 13 points from 9 games, while Renofa Yamaguchi are 6th with 17 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Kagoshima United	9	7	2	0	19:10	+9	23
2	Ehime FC	9	6	2	1	22:10	+12	20
3	Nara Club	10	6	2	2	21:16	+5	20
4	Sagamihara	10	5	3	2	18:12	+6	18
5	Osaka	10	4	5	1	18:9	+9	17
6	Renofa Yamaguchi	9	5	2	2	13:7	+6	17
7	Kanazawa	10	4	2	4	17:14	+3	14
8	Roasso Kumamoto	9	3	5	1	7:4	+3	14
9	Biwako Shiga	10	4	2	4	16:16	0	14
10	Parceiro Nagano	10	4	2	4	14:14	0	14
11	FC Gifu	9	4	1	4	19:10	+9	13
12	Gainare Tottori	9	4	1	4	12:18	-6	13
13	FC Ryukyu	10	3	2	5	11:14	-3	11
14	Tochigi SC	9	2	4	3	11:14	-3	10
15	Kitakyushu	10	2	4	4	12:18	-6	10
16	Thespakusatsu Gunma	10	3	0	7	10:19	-9	9
17	Matsumoto Yamaga	9	1	5	3	8:11	-3	8
18	Fukushima United	10	2	2	6	20:25	-5	8
19	Kamatamare Sanuki	10	1	2	7	12:20	-8	5
20	Kochi United	10	1	2	7	4:23	-19	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg141%2.17X27%3.35232%2.80

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.20 → 2.37 +7.7%X3.48 → 3.31 -4.9%22.85 → 2.56 -10.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.75	2.08	5.2%
Bet365	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Betano	1.78	1.98	6.7%
Betfair	1.73	2.00	7.8%
Marathonbet	1.73	1.95	9.1%
Best of all books	1.80	2.08	3.6%
Average	1.76	2.00	6.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.62	2.15	8.2%
1xBet	1.59	2.17	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.59	2.13	9.8%
Best of all books	1.62	2.17	7.8%
Average	1.60	2.15	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

FC Gifu 10%Draw 45%Renofa Yamaguchi 45%

The statistical model rated FC Gifu at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Renofa Yamaguchi at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.17 | 3.35 | 2.80, which imply roughly 29.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the J3 League table: FC Gifu are 11th (13 pts, 19-10 goals), Renofa Yamaguchi 6th (17 pts, 13-7).

Over their last five matches, FC Gifu averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Renofa Yamaguchi averaged 1.8 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Renofa Yamaguchi.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.20	3.48	2.85

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.34	1.57	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.65	2.12

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.60	2.15

1st half

1	X	2
2.81	2.20	3.41

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.80	12.1	2.09

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	7.80
1.5	1.22	3.74
2.5	1.76	2.00
3.5	2.78	1.38
4.5	5.06	1.12
5.5	7.70	1.05
6.5	10.5	1.02

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.25	1.10	5.51
1.75	1.24	3.34
2	1.31	2.92
2.25	1.55	2.31
2.75	1.93	1.75
3	2.27	1.55
3.25	2.57	1.45
3.75	3.42	1.23
4	4.65	1.12
4.25	5.13	1.11
4.75	6.95	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.34	1.24
-0.75	2.56	1.42
-0.5	2.25	1.60
-0.25	1.93	1.79
0	1.61	2.11
+0.25	1.46	2.45

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.07	1.04
-2	8.50	1.01
-1.75	5.50	1.08
-1.5	4.30	1.16
-1.25	3.80	1.19
+0.75	1.22	3.50
+1	1.10	5.20
+1.25	1.08	5.70
+1.5	1.08	6.13
+1.75	1.01	8.40
+2.5	1.02	11.0