Matsumoto Yamaga17th4 pts
Sagamihara3rd11 pts
Matsumoto Yamaga17th4 pts
Sagamihara3rd11 ptsIn the J3 League table, Matsumoto Yamaga sit 17th with 4 points from 6 games, while Sagamihara are 3rd with 11 points from 6 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Matsumoto Yamaga at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Sagamihara at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.27 | 3.12 | 2.86, which imply roughly 32.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the J3 League table: Matsumoto Yamaga are 17th (4 pts, 6-9 goals), Sagamihara 3rd (11 pts, 11-6).
Over their last five matches, Matsumoto Yamaga averaged 1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Sagamihara averaged 1.6 scored and 1 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Sagamihara.
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Sagamihara — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kagoshima United | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 |
| 2 |  Ehime FC | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 |
| 3 |  Sagamihara | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 |
| 4 |  FC Gifu | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 |  FC Ryukyu | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 |  Renofa Yamaguchi | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 |  Gainare Tottori | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 |  Roasso Kumamoto | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 |  Biwako Shiga | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
| 10 |  Tochigi SC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 |  Parceiro Nagano | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
| 12 |  Nara Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
| 13 |  Osaka | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 14 |  Kanazawa | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| 15 |  Kochi United | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 16 |  Fukushima United | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 17 |  Matsumoto Yamaga | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 18 |  Kamatamare Sanuki | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 19 |  Kitakyushu | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 20 |  Thespakusatsu Gunma | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
2.27
X
3.11
2
2.92
Double chance
1X
1.33
X2
1.55
12
1.30
Both teams to score
Yes
1.76
No
1.92
Match goals
Over 2.5
2.03
Under 2.5
1.73
Over 1.5
1.31
Under 1.5
3.03
Over 1.75
1.38
Under 1.75
2.75
Over 2
1.50
Under 2
2.38
Over 2.25
1.75
Under 2.25
1.96
Over 2.75
2.30
Under 2.75
1.55
Over 3.5
3.51
Under 3.5
1.24
Over 0.5
1.03
Under 0.5
8.38
Over 0.75
1.02
Under 0.75
8.18
Over 1
1.03
Under 1
7.40
Over 1.25
1.15
Under 1.25
4.20
Over 3
2.76
Under 3
1.36
Over 4.5
6.95
Under 4.5
1.06
Over 3.25
3.10
Under 3.25
1.29
Over 3.75
4.33
Under 3.75
1.14
Over 4
6.15
Under 4
1.06
Over 4.25
6.55
Under 4.25
1.05
Over 5.5
14.33
Under 5.5
1.02
Draw no bet
1
1.64
2
2.12
Asian handicap
Away 2
1.04
1st half
1
2.91
X
2.02
2
3.61
First team to score
Home
1.84
No Goal
8.45
Away
2.20