Kitakyushu16th2 pts
Matsumoto Yamaga17th2 pts
Kitakyushu16th2 pts
Matsumoto Yamaga17th2 ptsIn the J3 League table, Kitakyushu sit 16th with 2 points from 2 games, while Matsumoto Yamaga are 17th with 2 points from 3 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Kitakyushu at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Matsumoto Yamaga at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.51 | 3.21 | 2.53, which imply roughly 31.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the J3 League table: Kitakyushu are 16th (2 pts, 2-2 goals), Matsumoto Yamaga 17th (2 pts, 4-5).
Over their last five matches, Kitakyushu averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Matsumoto Yamaga averaged 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Matsumoto Yamaga.
Kitakyushu vs Matsumoto Yamaga — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Gifu | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| 2 |  Kagoshima United | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| 3 |  Ehime FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 4 |  Sagamihara | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 |  Parceiro Nagano | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 |  Biwako Shiga | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 |  Osaka | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 |  Tochigi SC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 9 |  FC Ryukyu | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 |  Kamatamare Sanuki | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 11 |  Nara Club | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 12 |  Gainare Tottori | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 13 |  Kochi United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 14 |  Kanazawa | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 15 |  Renofa Yamaguchi | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 16 |  Kitakyushu | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 17 |  Matsumoto Yamaga | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| 18 |  Roasso Kumamoto | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| 19 |  Fukushima United | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 20 |  Thespakusatsu Gunma | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
2.27
X
3.23
2
2.90
Double chance
1X
1.35
X2
1.54
12
1.28
Both teams to score
Yes
1.81
No
1.87
Match goals
Over 3.25
3.20
Under 3.25
1.26
Over 3.75
4.50
Under 3.75
1.13
Over 4
6.35
Under 4
1.06
Over 4.25
6.75
Under 4.25
1.04
Over 5.5
11.13
Under 5.5
1.02
Over 2.5
2.05
Under 2.5
1.69
Over 1.5
1.31
Under 1.5
3.01
Over 1.75
1.41
Under 1.75
2.62
Over 2
1.53
Under 2
2.28
Over 2.25
1.78
Under 2.25
1.89
Over 2.75
2.32
Under 2.75
1.51
Over 3.5
3.55
Under 3.5
1.23
Over 0.5
1.03
Under 0.5
7.96
Over 0.75
1.02
Under 0.75
7.80
Over 1
1.04
Under 1
7.10
Over 1.25
1.17
Under 1.25
4.00
Over 3
2.88
Under 3
1.32
Over 4.5
6.76
Under 4.5
1.06
Draw no bet
1
1.65
2
2.08
Asian handicap
Home -2.5
9.50
Away -2.5
12.00
1st half
1
2.91
X
2.05
2
3.60
First team to score
Home
1.89
No Goal
8.45
Away
2.17