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FC Thun vs FC Lugano• Super League, Switzerland

#91.6:2.613:00Today · Cornaredo, Lugano3.4:0.8#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.90B365X4.49PIN21.87BTNMargin at best1.4%Books9Markets74Rating23 · 77Exp. goals L54.2

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 06:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle3.764.491.833.5%
Dafabet3.704.101.874.9%
Betfair3.504.201.856.4%
Betano3.703.801.876.8%
Bet3653.903.901.806.8%
1xBet3.664.101.817.0%
Marathonbet3.684.101.797.4%
William Hill3.504.001.809.1%
BetVictor3.604.001.759.9%
Best of all books3.904.491.871.4%
Average3.674.081.826.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FC ThunFC Lugano
Last 10#9Table position#11.00Points per game2.804Form pts · last 5121.6Goals for · last 53.42.6Goals against · last 50.832Attack rating6824Defence rating7619Form rating8120H2H rating804Goals model9623Overall rating77

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 22:10 UTC

FC Thun

2W 2D 6L · goals 12:17 · per match 1.2 for, 1.7 against

22 OctHHNK Hajduk Split0-1L
18 OctAFC Schaffhausen2-2D
15 OctATwente0-1L
10 OctAFC Zurich2-4L
3 OctHSC Kriens2-0W
20 SepAFC Vaduz2-1W
16 SepHServette FC2-4L
12 SepHGrasshoppers0-1L
6 SepAFC Sion2-3L
2 SepHLausanne0-0D

FC Lugano

8W 1D 1L · goals 31:11 · per match 3.1 for, 1.1 against

22 OctAGetafe5-2W
18 OctAPully Football4-0W
15 OctHFK Crvena Zvezda3-2W
10 OctHFC Luzern4-0W
2 OctHHellas Verona1-3L
20 SepALausanne4-0W
16 SepHFC ST. Gallen4-1W
12 SepHBSC Young Boys2-2D
6 SepAFC Basel 18933-1W
3 SepHServette FC1-0W

Head to head

5FC Thun wins
7draws
9FC Lugano wins

21 meetings · goals 27:33 · last 10: 3W 2D 5L for FC Thun

25 Apr 2026Super LeagueSuper LeagueFC Thun0-1FC Lugano
4 Apr 2026Super LeagueSuper LeagueFC Lugano1-0FC Thun
22 Nov 2025Super LeagueSuper LeagueFC Thun0-1FC Lugano
27 Jul 2025Super LeagueSuper LeagueFC Lugano1-2FC Thun
10 Feb 2022Schweizer CupSchweizer CupFC Thun3-4FC Lugano
15 Jul 2020Super LeagueSuper LeagueFC Lugano1-1FC Thun
9 Feb 2020Super LeagueSuper LeagueFC Thun3-2FC Lugano
24 Nov 2019Super LeagueSuper LeagueFC Thun0-3FC Lugano
28 Jul 2019Super LeagueSuper LeagueFC Lugano0-0FC Thun
11 May 2019Super LeagueSuper LeagueFC Thun1-0FC Lugano

Super League tableSuper Leagueupdated 24 Oct 22:10 UTC

In the Super League table, FC Thun sit 9th with 10 points from 10 games, while FC Lugano are 1st with 28 points from 10.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1FC Lugano1091031:7+2428
2BSC Young Boys1174035:18+1725
3FC Sion1061323:17+619
4FC Zurich1152420:23-317
5Servette FC1151516:14+216
6FC ST. Gallen1151517:21-416
7FC Basel 18931041517:20-313
8FC Luzern1133518:24-612
9FC Thun1031617:27-1010
10FC Vaduz1130822:23-19
11Grasshoppers1022613:26-138
12Lausanne101367:16-96

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg126%3.67X23%4.08251%1.82

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

22 Oct 00:0125 Oct 06:401 3.67X 4.082 1.82
13.40 → 3.67 +7.9%X3.94 → 4.08 +3.6%21.88 → 1.82 -3.2%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.383.144.3%
Betfair1.363.105.8%
Bet3651.402.886.2%
Betano1.402.826.9%
BetVictor1.362.888.3%
1xBet1.342.7810.6%
Marathonbet1.342.7810.6%
Best of all books1.403.143.3%
Average1.372.917.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.402.886.2%
Bet3651.402.757.8%
William Hill1.402.757.8%
1xBet1.382.818.1%
Betano1.372.858.1%
BetVictor1.362.888.3%
Marathonbet1.382.768.7%
Best of all books1.402.886.2%
Average1.382.817.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

FC Thun 0%Draw 50%FC Lugano 50%

The statistical model rates FC Thun at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and FC Lugano at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.67 | 4.08 | 1.82, which imply roughly 24.5% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Super League table: FC Thun are 9th (10 pts, 17-27 goals), FC Lugano 1st (28 pts, 31-7).

Over their last five matches, FC Thun averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game; FC Lugano averaged 3.4 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : FC Lugano and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.674.081.82

Double chance

1XX212
1.931.261.22

Draw no bet

12
2.751.40

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.382.81

1st half

1X2
3.792.562.28

2nd half

1X2
3.532.892.10

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 15.8413.918.3
HT X9.077.205.32
HT 227.613.62.75

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.2623.01.60

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0217.6
1.51.096.31
2.51.372.91
3.51.941.82
4.53.121.33
5.55.661.12
6.59.981.05
7.521.01.01
8.541.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0115.0
1.751.085.65
21.105.10
2.251.233.51
2.751.442.49
31.552.32
3.251.761.99
3.752.181.62
42.541.46
4.252.851.34
4.753.791.19
54.951.11
5.255.301.09

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
02.801.38
+0.252.251.58
+0.51.991.80
+0.751.751.98
+11.552.37
+1.251.442.65
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.511.01.02
-1.56.951.07
-1.256.971.06
-16.501.07
-0.754.431.16
-0.53.701.29
-0.253.201.31
+1.51.362.95
+1.751.263.55
+21.144.68
+2.251.125.15
+2.51.115.54
+31.029.30
+3.51.0210.0

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.095.60
7.51.233.66
8.51.432.57
9.51.751.99
10.52.181.61
11.52.781.39
12.53.841.19
13.55.101.11
14.56.901.04
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
8.251.322.88
8.751.452.48
91.512.50
9.251.632.16
9.751.821.86
101.901.90
10.252.041.65
10.752.341.48
112.421.54
11.252.701.36

Next Super League matches

25 OctFC Basel 1893 – Grasshoppers
25 OctFC Sion – Lausanne

All Super League fixtures and the table

Latest Super League results

24 OctBSC Young Boys 2-0 FC ST. Gallen
24 OctFC Zurich 2-1 FC Luzern
24 OctServette FC 2-1 FC Vaduz
11 OctFC ST. Gallen 1-0 Lausanne
11 OctFC Vaduz 3-0 FC Basel 1893
11 OctGrasshoppers 0-2 BSC Young Boys