OddsFilter

FC Lugano vs FC Luzern• Super League, Switzerland

#12.8:0.81-0LiveToday · Cornaredo, Lugano2.6:2.0#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.78PINX4.30DAF24.20PINMargin at best3.2%Books10Markets80Rating70 · 30Exp. goals L54.1

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 13:25 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.784.254.203.5%
Dafabet1.744.304.105.1%
Betano1.754.054.056.5%
Betfair1.734.204.006.6%
1xBet1.714.254.026.9%
Bet3651.734.104.007.2%
Marathonbet1.694.254.057.4%
William Hill1.753.903.908.4%
BetVictor1.704.103.809.5%
SBO1.693.843.6312.8%
Best of all books1.784.304.203.2%
Average1.734.123.987.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FC LuganoFC Luzern
Last 10#1Table position#62.78Points per game1.3310Form pts · last 572.8Goals for · last 52.60.8Goals against · last 52.052Attack rating4871Defence rating2962Form rating3880H2H rating2085Goals model1570Overall rating30

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 14:04 UTC

FC Lugano

7W 2D 1L · goals 30:11 · per match 3.0 for, 1.1 against

2 OctHHellas Verona1-3L
20 SepALausanne4-0W
16 SepHFC ST. Gallen4-1W
12 SepHBSC Young Boys2-2D
6 SepAFC Basel 18933-1W
3 SepHServette FC1-0W
30 AugAFC Sion2-1W
27 AugAMaccabi Tel Aviv1-1D
20 AugHMaccabi Tel Aviv2-1W
16 AugAVedeggio10-1W

FC Luzern

4W 3D 3L · goals 21:19 · per match 2.1 for, 1.9 against

3 OctASC Freiburg2-4L
19 SepHGrasshoppers5-1W
13 SepHFC Basel 18932-4L
5 SepABSC Young Boys3-3D
2 SepHFC Vaduz2-1W
29 AugAServette FC1-1D
22 AugHLausanne1-0W
16 AugABuochs3-0W
9 AugAFC ST. Gallen2-2D
2 AugAFC Sion0-3L

Head to head

18FC Lugano wins
7draws
15FC Luzern wins

40 meetings · goals 68:59 · last 10: 7W 0D 3L for FC Lugano

7 Mar 2026Super LeagueSuper LeagueFC Lugano1-3FC Luzern
17 Jan 2026Super LeagueSuper LeagueFC Luzern2-5FC Lugano
30 Oct 2025Super LeagueSuper LeagueFC Lugano2-0FC Luzern
4 May 2025Super LeagueSuper LeagueFC Luzern0-2FC Lugano
15 Feb 2025Super LeagueSuper LeagueFC Lugano2-0FC Luzern
7 Dec 2024Super LeagueSuper LeagueFC Luzern1-4FC Lugano
11 Aug 2024Super LeagueSuper LeagueFC Lugano2-3FC Luzern
3 Mar 2024Super LeagueSuper LeagueFC Luzern0-1FC Lugano
3 Dec 2023Super LeagueSuper LeagueFC Lugano1-0FC Luzern
3 Sep 2023Super LeagueSuper LeagueFC Luzern3-2FC Lugano

Super League tableSuper Leagueupdated 10 Oct 00:31 UTC

In the Super League table, FC Lugano sit 1st with 25 points from 9 games, while FC Luzern are 6th with 12 points from 9.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1FC Lugano981027:7+2025
2BSC Young Boys954031:18+1319
3FC Sion961223:14+919
4FC Basel 1893941417:17013
5FC ST. Gallen941416:19-313
6FC Luzern933317:18-112
7FC Zurich932414:20-611
8Servette FC931511:13-210
9FC Thun931515:23-810
10Grasshoppers922513:24-118
11FC Vaduz920718:21-36
12Lausanne91357:15-86

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg154%1.73X23%4.12223%3.98

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

7 Oct 00:0210 Oct 15:401 1.73X 4.122 3.98
11.60 → 1.73 +8.1%X4.36 → 4.12 -5.5%24.42 → 3.98 -10.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.393.124.0%
Bet3651.363.105.8%
Betano1.372.927.2%
Betfair1.333.008.5%
BetVictor1.333.008.5%
1xBet1.322.8810.5%
Marathonbet1.322.8810.5%
Best of all books1.393.124.0%
Average1.352.997.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.402.757.8%
Betano1.382.827.9%
BetVictor1.362.908.0%
William Hill1.362.908.0%
1xBet1.382.818.1%
Betfair1.333.008.5%
Marathonbet1.382.768.7%
Best of all books1.403.004.8%
Average1.372.858.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

FC Lugano 45%Draw 45%FC Luzern 10%

The statistical model rates FC Lugano at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and FC Luzern at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.73 | 4.12 | 3.98, which imply roughly 57.8% for a FC Lugano win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Super League table: FC Lugano are 1st (25 pts, 27-7 goals), FC Luzern 6th (12 pts, 17-18).

Over their last five matches, FC Lugano averaged 2.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; FC Luzern averaged 2.6 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : FC Lugano and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Confirmed Lineups

FC Lugano

3-4-2-1

Coach: M. Croci-Torti

Goalkeeper

  • 16D. von Ballmoos

Defence

  • 6A. Papadopoulos
  • 17L. Mai
  • 3H. Delcroix

Midfield

  • 2B. Karimov
  • 8A. Grgić
  • 27Daniel Dos Santos
  • 46M. Zanotti
  • 11R. Steffen
  • 21Y. Cimignani

Attack

  • 9A. Ajeti
Substitutes (9)
  • 28F. Gebhardt
  • 7E. Alioski
  • 18J. Bichsel
  • 26Martim Marques
  • 4D. Kelvin
  • 14A. Kendouci
  • 30D. Moncada
  • 22B. Castro
  • 91K. Behrens

FC Luzern

4-2-2-2

Coach: J. Portmann

Goalkeeper

  • 30K. Letica

Defence

  • 13B. Freimann
  • 5S. Knežević
  • 46B. Freimann
  • 22R. Fernandes

Midfield

  • 80Mio Zimmermann
  • 6L. Bertone
  • 24T. Owusu
  • 11M. Di Giusto

Attack

  • 19D. Mikołajewski
  • 16O. tshikomb
Substitutes (9)
  • 1S. Simoni
  • 20P. Dorn
  • 21L. Lüthi
  • 10Lucas Ferreira
  • 29Levin Winkler
  • 7A. Oehlers
  • 27L. Villiger
  • 9A. Grbić
  • 15N. Toggenburger

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.734.123.98

Double chance

1XX212
1.222.081.20

Draw no bet

12
1.343.06

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.372.85

1st half

1X2
2.142.604.02

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.5527.02.33

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0121.0
1.51.086.55
2.51.352.99
3.51.891.86
4.52.961.35
5.55.221.13
6.59.651.05
7.516.41.02
8.541.0–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0115.0
1.751.085.65
21.105.20
2.251.213.58
2.751.382.63
31.522.40
3.251.712.07
3.752.111.67
42.431.50
4.252.631.38
4.753.341.24
54.301.14
5.254.611.13
67.901.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.591.45
-1.252.421.52
-12.171.66
-0.751.881.88
-0.51.722.11
-0.251.512.40
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.58.701.03
-37.701.02
-2.755.871.09
-2.54.751.14
-2.254.301.16
-23.931.22
-1.753.161.32
01.333.08
+0.251.273.45
+0.51.243.90
+0.751.144.76
+11.056.55
+1.51.047.53
+2.51.0113.0

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.066.53
7.51.154.22
8.51.342.94
9.51.622.19
10.51.981.75
11.52.511.46
12.53.391.26
13.54.301.15
14.55.801.07
15 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.124.15
81.262.92
8.251.273.32
8.751.362.79
91.522.20
9.251.502.38
9.751.662.06
101.841.92
10.251.871.83
10.752.081.60
112.381.51
11.252.421.48
123.251.21
134.301.11
145.451.05