Maccabi Herzliya vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth• Liga Leumit, Israel

#130.8:1.21-2FT09/101.2:1.6#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.88PINX3.50B36523.941XBMargin at best7.1%Books9Markets51Rating49 · 51 levelExp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.87	3.50	3.85	8.0%
Betano	1.87	3.40	3.80	9.2%
Pinnacle	1.88	3.30	3.87	9.3%
Betfair	1.80	3.40	3.90	10.6%
1xBet	1.81	3.30	3.94	10.9%
Bet365	1.83	3.40	3.60	11.8%
Marathonbet	1.79	3.30	3.84	12.2%
William Hill	1.85	3.10	3.80	12.6%
BetVictor	1.75	3.00	3.40	19.9%
Best of all books	1.88	3.50	3.94	7.1%
Average	1.83	3.30	3.78	11.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Maccabi HerzliyaMaccabi Ahi Nazareth

Last 10#13Table position#100.89Points per game1.114Form pts · last 570.8Goals for · last 51.21.2Goals against · last 51.640Attack rating6057Defence rating4356Form rating4450H2H rating5041Goals model5949Overall rating51

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 11:50 UTC

Maccabi Herzliya

2W 3D 5L · goals 10:14 · per match 1.0 for, 1.4 against

9 Oct	H	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	1-2	L
1 Oct	A	Ashdod	0-1	L
24 Sep	H	Kiryat Yam SC	1-3	L
17 Sep	A	Bnei Yehuda	1-1	D
14 Sep	H	Kafr Qasim	1-0	W
7 Sep	A	Maccabi Kiryat Gat	1-1	D
30 Aug	H	Hapoel Kfar Saba	0-2	L
23 Aug	H	Hapoel Ra'anana	2-3	L
18 Aug	A	Ironi Modi'in	2-0	W
25 May	A	Bnei Yehuda	1-1	D

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth

3W 1D 5L · goals 10:13 · per match 1.1 for, 1.4 against

9 Oct	A	Maccabi Herzliya	2-1	W
1 Oct	H	Ironi Modi'in	1-2	L
24 Sep	A	Hapoel Rishon LeZion	0-1	L
17 Sep	H	Hapoel Acre	1-0	W
10 Sep	A	Hapoel Kfar Shalem	3-3	D
6 Sep	H	Maccabi Bnei Raina	1-2	L
30 Aug	A	Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa	2-1	W
24 Aug	H	Hapoel Afula	0-1	L
18 Aug	A	Hapoel Ra'anana	0-2	L

Head to head

2Maccabi Herzliya wins

0draws

2Maccabi Ahi Nazareth wins

4 meetings · goals 4:4 · last 4: 2W 0D 2L for Maccabi Herzliya

9 Jan 2018Liga Leumit	Liga Leumit	Maccabi Herzliya2-1Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
28 Aug 2017Liga Leumit	Liga Leumit	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth2-0Maccabi Herzliya
17 Feb 2017Liga Leumit	Liga Leumit	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth0-2Maccabi Herzliya
4 Nov 2016Liga Leumit	Liga Leumit	Maccabi Herzliya0-1Maccabi Ahi Nazareth

Liga Leumit tableLiga Leumitupdated 15 Oct 17:31 UTC

In the Liga Leumit table, Maccabi Herzliya sit 13th with 8 points from 9 games, while Maccabi Ahi Nazareth are 10th with 10 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Ashdod	9	8	0	1	22:8	+14	24
2	Bnei Yehuda	9	7	2	0	20:7	+13	23
3	Hapoel Rishon LeZion	9	6	2	1	18:9	+9	20
4	Hapoel Afula	9	5	2	2	18:13	+5	17
5	Hapoel Kfar Shalem	9	5	2	2	19:18	+1	17
6	Kiryat Yam SC	9	5	1	3	25:15	+10	16
7	Hapoel Ra'anana	9	5	0	4	20:13	+7	15
8	Kafr Qasim	9	4	1	4	12:9	+3	13
9	Maccabi Bnei Raina	9	4	1	4	13:13	0	13
10	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	9	3	1	5	10:13	-3	10
11	Maccabi Kiryat Gat	9	2	3	4	9:11	-2	9
12	Ironi Modi'in	9	2	2	5	13:17	-4	8
13	Maccabi Herzliya	9	2	2	5	9:13	-4	8
14	Hapoel Kfar Saba	9	2	0	7	11:24	-13	6
15	Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa	9	2	0	7	7:20	-13	6
16	Hapoel Acre	9	0	1	8	0:23	-23	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg149%1.83X27%3.30224%3.78

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.84 → 1.81 -1.6%X3.50 → 3.33 -4.9%23.59 → 3.81 +6.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.99	1.81	5.5%
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Betfair	1.91	1.80	7.9%
Betano	1.93	1.78	8.0%
1xBet	1.90	1.77	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.90	1.77	9.1%
BetVictor	1.73	1.61	19.9%
Best of all books	2.00	1.81	5.2%
Average	1.91	1.76	9.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.80	1.91	7.9%
Betfair	1.75	1.95	8.4%
Betano	1.80	1.88	8.7%
1xBet	1.78	1.89	9.1%
Bet365	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.78	1.86	9.9%
BetVictor	1.62	1.73	19.5%
Best of all books	1.83	1.95	5.9%
Average	1.77	1.86	10.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Maccabi Herzliya 10%Draw 45%Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 45%

The statistical model rated Maccabi Herzliya at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Maccabi Ahi Nazareth at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.83 | 3.30 | 3.78, which imply roughly 30.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga Leumit table: Maccabi Herzliya are 13th (8 pts, 9-13 goals), Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 10th (10 pts, 10-13).

Over their last five matches, Maccabi Herzliya averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Maccabi Ahi Nazareth averaged 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Maccabi Ahi Nazareth.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.83	3.30	3.78

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.20	1.82	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
1.36	2.66

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.77	1.86

1st half

1	X	2
2.40	2.08	4.34

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.62	9.65	2.51

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	8.66
1.5	1.28	3.11
2.5	1.91	1.76
3.5	3.16	1.27
4.5	6.14	1.08
5.5	11.3	1.03
6.5	17.0	–
7.5	21.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	7.68
1	1.04	7.10
1.25	1.15	4.20
1.75	1.34	2.84
2	1.44	2.36
2.25	1.66	1.96
2.75	2.12	1.56
3	2.51	1.39
3.25	2.93	1.33
3.75	3.92	1.18
4	5.30	1.09
4.25	5.65	1.08
5	9.30	–

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.89	1.35
-1	2.52	1.42
-0.75	2.04	1.63
-0.5	1.82	1.83
-0.25	1.57	2.13
0	1.34	2.74

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.75	7.50	1.03
-2.5	6.53	1.07
-2.25	6.17	1.08
-2	5.77	1.10
-1.75	4.03	1.19
-1.5	3.18	1.30
+0.25	1.28	3.26
+0.5	1.27	3.55
+0.75	1.14	4.75
+1	1.05	7.33
+1.25	1.02	7.88
+1.5	1.01	8.30

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9.5	1.97	1.81