TSC Backa Topola vs Metalac GM• Prva Liga, Serbia

#12.2:1.05-1FTToday · TSC Arena1.0:0.8#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.29WHX5.04PIN210.31XBMargin at best7.1%Books6Markets47Rating54 · 46 levelExp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	1.25	5.00	10.0	10.0%
William Hill	1.29	4.40	9.50	10.8%
1xBet	1.25	4.70	10.3	11.0%
Bet365	1.25	5.00	8.50	11.8%
Marathonbet	1.24	4.70	9.70	12.2%
Pinnacle	1.22	5.04	9.26	12.6%
Best of all books	1.29	5.04	10.3	7.1%
Average	1.25	4.81	9.54	11.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

TSC Backa TopolaMetalac GM

Last 10#1Table position#102.14Points per game1.299Form pts · last 5102.2Goals for · last 51.01.0Goals against · last 50.869Attack rating3144Defence rating5647Form rating5350H2H rating5059Goals model4154Overall rating46

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 04:10 UTC

TSC Backa Topola

5W 5D 0L · goals 23:11 · per match 2.3 for, 1.1 against

11 Oct	A	OFK Bor 1919	4-1	W
5 Oct	H	Grafičar	4-1	W
26 Sep	A	Borac Cacak	2-2	D
21 Sep	H	Dubočica	0-0	D
16 Sep	A	Naftagas	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Loznica	4-0	W
7 Sep	A	FK Vozdovac	3-2	W
30 Aug	H	Semendrija 1924	1-1	D
23 Aug	A	Napredak	2-1	W
19 Aug	H	FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV	2-2	D

Metalac GM

4W 3D 3L · goals 12:9 · per match 1.2 for, 0.9 against

10 Oct	H	Teleoptik	0-3	L
4 Oct	A	OFK Vršac	0-0	D
28 Sep	A	OFK Bor 1919	2-0	W
21 Sep	H	Grafičar	1-0	W
16 Sep	A	Borac Cacak	2-1	W
11 Sep	H	Dubočica	5-0	W
5 Sep	A	Naftagas	0-0	D
29 Aug	H	Loznica	2-4	L
23 Aug	A	FK Vozdovac	0-1	L
19 Aug	H	Semendrija 1924	0-0	D

Head to head

4TSC Backa Topola wins

2draws

3Metalac GM wins

9 meetings · goals 16:12 · last 9: 4W 2D 3L for TSC Backa Topola

19 Nov 2021Super Liga	Super Liga	TSC Backa Topola1-2Metalac GM
25 Jul 2021Super Liga	Super Liga	Metalac GM2-4TSC Backa Topola
27 Feb 2021Super Liga	Super Liga	Metalac GM0-0TSC Backa Topola
21 Aug 2020Super Liga	Super Liga	TSC Backa Topola2-3Metalac GM
5 May 2019Prva Liga	Prva Liga	TSC Backa Topola1-0Metalac GM
25 Nov 2018Prva Liga	Prva Liga	Metalac GM2-5TSC Backa Topola
29 Aug 2018Prva Liga	Prva Liga	TSC Backa Topola2-0Metalac GM
12 May 2018Prva Liga	Prva Liga	Metalac GM1-1TSC Backa Topola
5 Nov 2017Prva Liga	Prva Liga	TSC Backa Topola0-2Metalac GM

Prva Liga tablePrva Ligaupdated 17 Oct 21:11 UTC

In the Prva Liga table, TSC Backa Topola sit 1st with 30 points from 14 games, while Metalac GM are 10th with 18 points from 14.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	TSC Backa Topola	14	8	6	0	33:15	+18	30
2	Borac Cacak	13	9	1	3	24:17	+7	28
3	Javor	14	7	6	1	33:15	+18	27
4	Semendrija 1924	14	7	4	3	22:15	+7	25
5	OFK Vršac	14	8	1	5	17:13	+4	25
6	Napredak	14	6	3	5	14:15	-1	21
7	Dubočica	14	5	4	5	15:17	-2	19
8	FK Vozdovac	13	5	3	5	13:11	+2	18
9	Loznica	13	4	6	3	17:19	-2	18
10	Metalac GM	14	5	3	6	17:20	-3	18
11	Naftagas	14	3	6	5	20:16	+4	15
12	FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV	13	4	3	6	19:25	-6	15
13	Teleoptik	14	3	4	7	17:24	-7	13
14	Grafičar	14	3	2	9	18:27	-9	11
15	Jedinstvo Ub	14	3	2	9	15:25	-10	11
16	OFK Bor 1919	14	2	2	10	8:28	-20	8

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg172%1.25X19%4.8129%9.54

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.39 → 1.25 -10.1%X4.25 → 4.81 +13.2%26.79 → 9.54 +40.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.75	2.05	5.9%
BetVictor	1.65	2.10	8.2%
Pinnacle	1.60	2.16	8.8%
1xBet	1.63	2.10	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.63	2.10	9.0%
Best of all books	1.75	2.16	3.4%
Average	1.65	2.10	8.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	2.10	1.65	8.2%
1xBet	2.06	1.65	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.06	1.63	9.9%
Best of all books	2.10	1.65	8.2%
Average	2.07	1.64	9.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

TSC Backa Topola 45%Draw 45%Metalac GM 10%

The statistical model rated TSC Backa Topola at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Metalac GM at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.25 | 4.81 | 9.54, which imply roughly 80% for a TSC Backa Topola win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Prva Liga table: TSC Backa Topola are 1st (30 pts, 33-15 goals), Metalac GM 10th (18 pts, 17-20).

Over their last five matches, TSC Backa Topola averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Metalac GM averaged 1 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : TSC Backa Topola or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.25	4.81	9.54

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.04	3.18	1.12

Draw no bet

1	2
1.09	7.00

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.07	1.64

1st half

1	X	2
1.73	2.43	8.46

2nd half

1	X	2
1.54	2.96	7.73

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.89	23.0	70.5
HT X	3.83	6.75	17.5
HT 2	22.0	24.0	16.0

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.29	12.1	3.95

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	11.5
1.5	1.17	4.00
2.5	1.65	2.10
3.5	2.52	1.42
4.5	4.50	1.13

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.15
1.75	1.21	3.58
2	1.27	3.18
2.25	1.44	2.47
2.75	1.78	1.88
3	2.00	1.66
3.25	2.27	1.52
3.75	2.97	1.30
4	3.82	1.19

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.25	2.70	1.37
-2	2.39	1.46
-1.75	2.03	1.66
-1.5	1.81	1.89
-1.25	1.67	2.06
-1	1.38	2.67

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	5.50	1.08
-3	4.80	1.12
-2.5	2.92	1.31
-0.75	1.30	3.03
-0.5	1.34	2.84
-0.25	1.14	4.45
0	1.03	7.70