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Napredak vs Dubočica• Prva Liga, Serbia

#61.0:1.21-0FTToday1.0:0.4#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.85WHX3.40B36524.33B365Margin at best6.6%Books6Markets42Rating50 · 50 levelExp. goals L51.8

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
BetVictor1.803.304.1010.2%
1xBet1.833.243.9311.0%
Bet3651.703.404.3311.3%
Marathonbet1.813.243.8212.3%
Pinnacle1.833.163.8112.5%
William Hill1.853.003.9013.0%
Best of all books1.853.404.336.6%
Average1.803.223.9811.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NapredakDubočica
Last 10#6Table position#71.50Points per game1.365Form pts · last 591.0Goals for · last 51.01.2Goals against · last 50.450Attack rating5025Defence rating7536Form rating6488H2H rating1350Goals model5050Overall rating50

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 02:50 UTC

Napredak

2W 3D 5L · goals 9:14 · per match 0.9 for, 1.4 against

11 OctANaftagas0-0D
5 OctHLoznica3-0W
29 SepAFK Vozdovac0-0D
21 SepHSemendrija 19241-4L
16 SepHOFK Vršac1-2L
11 SepAFK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV0-1L
5 SepHJedinstvo Ub2-1W
30 AugAJavor0-3L
23 AugHTSC Backa Topola1-2L
19 AugATeleoptik1-1D

Dubočica

3W 3D 4L · goals 11:14 · per match 1.1 for, 1.4 against

11 OctHFK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV2-1W
4 OctAJedinstvo Ub0-0D
28 SepHJavor1-1D
21 SepATSC Backa Topola0-0D
16 SepHTeleoptik2-0W
11 SepAMetalac GM0-5L
6 SepHOFK Bor 19191-2L
31 AugAGrafičar4-1W
23 AugHBorac Cacak0-2L
19 AugAOFK Vršac1-2L

Head to head

2Napredak wins
0draws
0Dubočica wins

2 meetings · goals 5:0 · last 2: 2W 0D 0L for Napredak

25 Jul 2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsNapredak1-0Dubočica
17 Nov 2023Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsNapredak4-0Dubočica

Prva Liga tablePrva Ligaupdated 17 Oct 21:11 UTC

In the Prva Liga table, Napredak sit 6th with 21 points from 14 games, while Dubočica are 7th with 19 points from 14.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1TSC Backa Topola1486033:15+1830
2Borac Cacak1391324:17+728
3Javor1476133:15+1827
4Semendrija 19241474322:15+725
5OFK Vršac1481517:13+425
6Napredak1463514:15-121
7Dubočica1454515:17-219
8FK Vozdovac1353513:11+218
9Loznica1346317:19-218
10Metalac GM1453617:20-318
11Naftagas1436520:16+415
12FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV1343619:25-615
13Teleoptik1434717:24-713
14Grafičar1432918:27-911
15Jedinstvo Ub1432915:25-1011
16OFK Bor 19191422108:28-208

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg150%1.80X28%3.22222%3.98

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

16 Oct 14:4017 Oct 12:201 1.80X 3.222 3.98
11.70 → 1.80 +5.9%X3.40 → 3.22 -5.3%24.33 → 3.98 -8.1%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3652.101.706.4%
BetVictor2.051.707.6%
Pinnacle1.971.738.6%
1xBet1.961.729.2%
Marathonbet1.961.729.2%
Best of all books2.101.735.4%
Average2.011.718.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
BetVictor1.871.838.1%
1xBet1.821.859.0%
Marathonbet1.821.829.9%
Best of all books1.871.857.5%
Average1.841.839.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Napredak 35%Draw 35%Dubočica 30%

The statistical model rated Napredak at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Dubočica at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.80 | 3.22 | 3.98, which imply roughly 55.6% for a Napredak win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Prva Liga table: Napredak are 6th (21 pts, 14-15 goals), Dubočica 7th (19 pts, 15-17).

Over their last five matches, Napredak averaged 1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Dubočica averaged 1 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Napredak or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.803.223.98

Double chance

1XX212
1.171.831.26

Draw no bet

12
1.323.25

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.841.83

1st half

1X2
2.392.084.63

2nd half

1X2
2.222.354.09

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.7816.543.0
HT X4.555.059.30
HT 225.018.57.50

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.607.952.68

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.047.80
1.51.303.03
2.52.011.71
3.53.341.24
4.55.801.10
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.046.75
1.251.174.00
1.751.372.69
21.492.34
2.251.751.93
2.752.221.53
32.721.36
3.252.981.31
3.754.001.17
45.701.08

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.252.991.31
-12.601.41
-0.752.031.69
-0.51.801.90
-0.251.582.16
01.342.80
7 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.56.601.05
-25.901.07
-1.754.141.16
-1.53.171.27
+0.251.263.23
+11.037.50
+1.51.018.40