Jedinstvo Ub vs Grafičar• Prva Liga, Serbia

#150.6:2.03-1FTToday1.8:1.4#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.55BVCX3.20B36522.56PINMargin at best9.5%Books6Markets35Rating41 · 59Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	2.55	3.20	2.55	9.7%
Bet365	2.45	3.20	2.55	11.3%
1xBet	2.50	3.14	2.48	12.2%
Marathonbet	2.50	3.14	2.48	12.2%
Pinnacle	2.52	2.96	2.56	12.5%
William Hill	2.50	3.00	2.50	13.3%
Best of all books	2.55	3.20	2.56	9.5%
Average	2.50	3.11	2.52	11.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Jedinstvo UbGrafičar

Last 10#15Table position#140.79Points per game0.791Form pts · last 570.6Goals for · last 51.82.0Goals against · last 51.425Attack rating7541Defence rating5913Form rating8860H2H rating4061Goals model3941Overall rating59

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 02:50 UTC

Jedinstvo Ub

1W 2D 7L · goals 8:20 · per match 0.8 for, 2.0 against

10 Oct	A	Borac Cacak	1-3	L
4 Oct	H	Dubočica	0-0	D
28 Sep	A	Naftagas	0-3	L
21 Sep	H	Loznica	2-3	L
16 Sep	A	FK Vozdovac	0-1	L
12 Sep	H	Semendrija 1924	2-1	W
5 Sep	A	Napredak	1-2	L
29 Aug	H	FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV	1-1	D
23 Aug	H	OFK Vršac	1-3	L
19 Aug	A	Javor	0-3	L

Grafičar

2W 2D 6L · goals 15:21 · per match 1.5 for, 2.1 against

11 Oct	H	Javor	1-1	D
5 Oct	A	TSC Backa Topola	1-4	L
28 Sep	H	Teleoptik	4-1	W
21 Sep	A	Metalac GM	0-1	L
17 Sep	H	OFK Bor 1919	3-0	W
12 Sep	A	OFK Vršac	1-4	L
5 Sep	A	Borac Cacak	1-2	L
31 Aug	H	Dubočica	1-4	L
24 Aug	A	Naftagas	1-2	L
19 Aug	H	Loznica	2-2	D

Head to head

3Jedinstvo Ub wins

1draws

4Grafičar wins

8 meetings · goals 11:15 · last 8: 3W 1D 4L for Jedinstvo Ub

15 Nov 2025Prva Liga	Prva Liga	Grafičar4-0Jedinstvo Ub
17 Aug 2025Prva Liga	Prva Liga	Jedinstvo Ub2-0Grafičar
7 May 2024Prva Liga	Prva Liga	Grafičar2-4Jedinstvo Ub
18 Nov 2023Prva Liga	Prva Liga	Jedinstvo Ub3-1Grafičar
11 Aug 2023Prva Liga	Prva Liga	Grafičar3-0Jedinstvo Ub
6 May 2023Prva Liga	Prva Liga	Grafičar1-1Jedinstvo Ub
19 Mar 2023Prva Liga	Prva Liga	Grafičar2-0Jedinstvo Ub
17 Sep 2022Prva Liga	Prva Liga	Jedinstvo Ub1-2Grafičar

Prva Liga tablePrva Ligaupdated 17 Oct 21:11 UTC

In the Prva Liga table, Jedinstvo Ub sit 15th with 11 points from 14 games, while Grafičar are 14th with 11 points from 14.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	TSC Backa Topola	14	8	6	0	33:15	+18	30
2	Borac Cacak	13	9	1	3	24:17	+7	28
3	Javor	14	7	6	1	33:15	+18	27
4	Semendrija 1924	14	7	4	3	22:15	+7	25
5	OFK Vršac	14	8	1	5	17:13	+4	25
6	Napredak	14	6	3	5	14:15	-1	21
7	Dubočica	14	5	4	5	15:17	-2	19
8	FK Vozdovac	13	5	3	5	13:11	+2	18
9	Loznica	13	4	6	3	17:19	-2	18
10	Metalac GM	14	5	3	6	17:20	-3	18
11	Naftagas	14	3	6	5	20:16	+4	15
12	FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV	13	4	3	6	19:25	-6	15
13	Teleoptik	14	3	4	7	17:24	-7	13
14	Grafičar	14	3	2	9	18:27	-9	11
15	Jedinstvo Ub	14	3	2	9	15:25	-10	11
16	OFK Bor 1919	14	2	2	10	8:28	-20	8

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg136%2.50X29%3.11235%2.52

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.45 → 2.50 +2.0%X3.25 → 3.11 -4.3%22.58 → 2.52 -2.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.05	1.75	5.9%
Pinnacle	1.94	1.78	7.7%
BetVictor	2.00	1.73	7.8%
1xBet	1.99	1.70	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.99	1.70	9.1%
Best of all books	2.05	1.78	5.0%
Average	1.99	1.73	7.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.75	1.95	8.4%
1xBet	1.76	1.91	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.76	1.88	10.0%
Best of all books	1.76	1.95	8.1%
Average	1.76	1.91	9.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Jedinstvo Ub 10%Draw 45%Grafičar 45%

The statistical model rated Jedinstvo Ub at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Grafičar at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.50 | 3.11 | 2.52, which imply roughly 32.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Prva Liga table: Jedinstvo Ub are 15th (11 pts, 15-25 goals), Grafičar 14th (11 pts, 18-27).

Over their last five matches, Jedinstvo Ub averaged 0.6 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Grafičar averaged 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Grafičar.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.50	3.11	2.52

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.42	1.42	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
1.84	1.85

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.76	1.91

1st half

1	X	2
3.17	2.07	3.16

2nd half

1	X	2
2.91	2.32	2.86

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.10	15.5	29.0
HT X	6.05	5.00	6.15
HT 2	28.5	15.5	4.31

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.98	8.55	2.01

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	7.85
1.5	1.29	3.04
2.5	1.99	1.73
3.5	3.48	1.22
4.5	5.70	1.10

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	7.30
1.25	1.16	4.10
1.75	1.36	2.73
2	1.47	2.36
2.25	1.73	1.95
2.75	2.25	1.54
3	2.72	1.36
3.25	3.06	1.29
4	6.10	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.48	1.44
-0.25	2.16	1.58
0	1.83	1.86
+0.25	1.58	2.15
+0.5	1.43	2.52
+0.75	1.30	3.00

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	5.30	1.09
-1	4.40	1.14
-0.75	3.03	1.29
+1	1.15	4.30
+1.25	1.12	4.80
+1.5	1.09	5.25