Macva vs OFK Beograd• Super Liga, Serbia

#120.8:1.417:00Tomorrow · Gradski Stadion Sabac, Shabac1.2:2.4#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.90B365X3.481XB22.05BTNMargin at best3.2%Books6Markets78Rating60 · 40Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 13:17 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	3.66	3.48	2.03	5.3%
Bet365	3.90	3.30	1.91	8.3%
Pinnacle	3.60	3.22	1.98	9.3%
Marathonbet	3.45	3.28	1.91	11.8%
William Hill	3.40	3.20	1.95	11.9%
BetVictor	3.20	2.90	1.83	20.4%
Best of all books	3.90	3.48	2.03	3.6%
Average	3.53	3.23	1.93	10.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MacvaOFK Beograd

Last 10#12Table position#110.82Points per game0.913Form pts · last 520.8Goals for · last 51.21.4Goals against · last 52.440Attack rating6063Defence rating3760Form rating4071H2H rating2953Goals model4760Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 13:40 UTC

Macva

2W 3D 5L · goals 8:14 · per match 0.8 for, 1.4 against

10 Oct	A	Cukaricki	2-2	D
20 Sep	H	Mladost Lucani	1-2	L
11 Sep	A	Železničar Pančevo	0-2	L
5 Sep	H	Radnicki 1923	0-0	D
29 Aug	A	Novi Pazar	1-1	D
22 Aug	H	Radnicki NIS	1-0	W
15 Aug	A	Radnik Surdulica	1-2	L
9 Aug	H	IMT Novi Beograd	1-0	W
3 Aug	A	Vojvodina	0-2	L
26 Jul	H	FK Partizan	1-3	L

OFK Beograd

2W 3D 5L · goals 14:19 · per match 1.4 for, 1.9 against

12 Oct	A	Mladost Lucani	0-0	D
19 Sep	H	Radnicki 1923	3-5	L
13 Sep	A	Radnicki NIS	1-3	L
7 Sep	H	IMT Novi Beograd	1-1	D
31 Aug	A	FK Partizan	1-3	L
22 Aug	H	Zemun	1-0	W
15 Aug	A	Cukaricki	0-2	L
9 Aug	H	Železničar Pančevo	2-2	D
1 Aug	A	Novi Pazar	4-1	W
28 Jul	H	Gaziantep FK	1-2	L

Head to head

3Macva wins

1draws

1OFK Beograd wins

5 meetings · goals 8:3 · last 5: 3W 1D 1L for Macva

7 May 2024Prva Liga	Prva Liga	Macva2-0OFK Beograd
13 Apr 2024Prva Liga	Prva Liga	Macva1-1OFK Beograd
5 Nov 2023Prva Liga	Prva Liga	OFK Beograd2-1Macva
3 May 2017Prva Liga	Prva Liga	Macva3-0OFK Beograd
15 Oct 2016Prva Liga	Prva Liga	OFK Beograd0-1Macva

Super Liga tableSuper Ligaupdated 16 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the Super Liga table, Macva sit 12th with 9 points from 11 games, while OFK Beograd are 11th with 10 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	FK Crvena Zvezda	11	10	1	0	27:3	+24	31
2	Vojvodina	11	8	1	2	25:11	+14	25
3	IMT Novi Beograd	11	5	3	3	13:7	+6	18
4	Železničar Pančevo	10	5	2	3	17:10	+7	17
5	Radnicki 1923	10	5	2	3	17:12	+5	17
6	Mladost Lucani	11	4	5	2	10:12	-2	17
7	Radnik Surdulica	11	3	5	3	14:16	-2	14
8	Novi Pazar	11	3	4	4	10:12	-2	13
9	Cukaricki	11	3	3	5	14:20	-6	12
10	FK Partizan	10	3	2	5	18:19	-1	11
11	OFK Beograd	11	2	4	5	13:21	-8	10
12	Macva	11	2	3	6	8:19	-11	9
13	Radnicki NIS	10	2	2	6	7:15	-8	8
14	Zemun	11	0	3	8	6:22	-16	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg126%3.52X28%3.25246%1.96

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.44 → 3.52 +2.3%X3.31 → 3.25 -1.8%22.05 → 1.96 -4.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.92	1.88	5.3%
Bet365	2.05	1.75	5.9%
Pinnacle	2.06	1.73	6.3%
Marathonbet	1.85	1.82	9.0%
BetVictor	1.74	1.60	20.0%
Best of all books	2.06	1.88	1.7%
Average	1.92	1.76	8.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.80	1.91	7.9%
1xBet	1.72	1.98	8.6%
William Hill	1.83	1.85	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.72	1.95	9.4%
BetVictor	1.62	1.73	19.5%
Best of all books	1.83	1.98	5.1%
Average	1.74	1.88	10.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Macva 45%Draw 45%OFK Beograd 10%

The statistical model rates Macva at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and OFK Beograd at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.52 | 3.25 | 1.96, which imply roughly 28.4% for a Macva win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Super Liga table: Macva are 12th (9 pts, 8-19 goals), OFK Beograd 11th (10 pts, 13-21).

Over their last five matches, Macva averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; OFK Beograd averaged 1.2 scored and 2.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Macva or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.54	3.23	1.93

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.74	1.25	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
2.48	1.39

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.74	1.88

1st half

1	X	2
4.03	2.07	2.48

2nd half

1	X	2
3.71	2.43	2.30

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	6.00	14.7	25.3
HT X	8.00	5.17	4.90
HT 2	35.7	14.5	2.99

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.42	9.05	1.68

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	7.45
1.5	1.28	3.12
2.5	1.92	1.76
3.5	3.18	1.27
4.5	6.13	1.07
5.5	12.2	1.02
6.5	16.3	1.01
7.5	21.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	8.10
1	1.03	7.63
1.25	1.15	4.42
1.75	1.35	2.88
2	1.45	2.41
2.25	1.67	1.97
2.75	2.12	1.58
3	2.54	1.41
3.25	2.78	1.37
3.75	3.76	1.20
4	5.70	1.11
4.25	5.35	1.09

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	3.07	1.32
0	2.57	1.42
+0.25	2.01	1.66
+0.5	1.75	1.90
+0.75	1.57	2.19
+1	1.36	2.72

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	8.85	1.01
-1.5	7.30	1.03
-1.25	6.93	1.06
-1	6.67	1.08
-0.75	4.42	1.16
-0.5	3.55	1.27
+1.25	1.30	3.20
+1.5	1.25	3.48
+1.75	1.16	4.44
+2	1.07	6.46
+2.25	1.05	6.60
+2.5	1.04	6.95

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.01	7.25
5.5	1.16	4.08
6.5	1.39	2.66
7.5	1.74	1.97
8.5	2.25	1.54
9.5	3.12	1.27
10.5	4.74	1.10
11.5	7.00	1.02

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
4.75	1.02	6.91
5	1.03	6.58
5.25	1.10	4.88
5.75	1.18	3.76
6	1.21	3.54
6.25	1.31	2.96
6.75	1.46	2.45
7	1.54	2.29
7.25	1.66	2.09
7.75	1.88	1.82
8	2.00	1.76
8.25	2.16	1.61
8.75	2.51	1.44
9	2.83	1.34
9.25	3.00	1.30
9.75	3.62	1.20
10	4.32	1.13
10.25	4.54	1.12
10.75	5.66	1.06
11	7.19	1.01
11.25	6.75	1.02