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FK Crvena Zvezda vs Mladost Lucani• Super Liga, Serbia

#11.8:0.214:0018/10 · Rajko Mitić Stadion, Belgrade0.6:1.6#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.07B365X11.8PIN229.0MARMargin at best5.4%Books6Markets92Rating82 · 18Exp. goals L52.1

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 08:55 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.0122.055.05.4%
Bet3651.0710.026.07.3%
Pinnacle1.0511.822.68.2%
William Hill1.0510.026.09.1%
Marathonbet1.0111.029.011.5%
BetVictor1.065.7512.020.1%
Best of all books1.0711.829.05.4%
Average1.0411.828.48.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FK Crvena ZvezdaMladost Lucani
Last 10#1Table position#62.82Points per game1.5512Form pts · last 571.8Goals for · last 50.60.2Goals against · last 51.675Attack rating2589Defence rating1165Form rating3593H2H rating793Goals model782Overall rating18

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 13:50 UTC

FK Crvena Zvezda

7W 1D 2L · goals 20:10 · per match 2.0 for, 1.0 against

15 OctAFC Lugano2-3L
10 OctARadnicki 19233-0W
20 SepHRadnicki NIS3-0W
17 SepAŽelezničar Pančevo2-1W
13 SepAIMT Novi Beograd1-0W
10 SepARadnik Surdulica0-0D
6 SepHFK Partizan2-1W
30 AugAZemun2-0W
27 AugAPlzen1-5L
23 AugHCukaricki4-0W

Mladost Lucani

4W 4D 2L · goals 9:11 · per match 0.9 for, 1.1 against

12 OctHOFK Beograd0-0D
20 SepAMacva2-1W
12 SepARadnicki 19230-5L
5 SepHRadnicki NIS1-0W
30 AugAIMT Novi Beograd0-2L
23 AugHFK Partizan3-1W
16 AugAZemun1-0W
9 AugHCukaricki2-2D
3 AugAŽelezničar Pančevo0-0D
26 JulHNovi Pazar0-0D

Head to head

24FK Crvena Zvezda wins
2draws
0Mladost Lucani wins

26 meetings · goals 70:19 · last 10: 9W 1D 0L for FK Crvena Zvezda

20 Dec 2025Super LigaSuper LigaFK Crvena Zvezda4-0Mladost Lucani
15 Aug 2025Super LigaSuper LigaMladost Lucani1-4FK Crvena Zvezda
24 May 2025Super LigaSuper LigaFK Crvena Zvezda3-1Mladost Lucani
30 Nov 2024Super LigaSuper LigaMladost Lucani0-2FK Crvena Zvezda
27 Jul 2024Super LigaSuper LigaFK Crvena Zvezda2-2Mladost Lucani
28 Jun 2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsFK Crvena Zvezda1-0Mladost Lucani
8 May 2024Super LigaSuper LigaMladost Lucani0-1FK Crvena Zvezda
28 Jan 2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsFK Crvena Zvezda2-0Mladost Lucani
9 Dec 2023Super LigaSuper LigaFK Crvena Zvezda3-1Mladost Lucani
11 Aug 2023Super LigaSuper LigaMladost Lucani1-4FK Crvena Zvezda

Super Liga tableSuper Ligaupdated 16 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the Super Liga table, FK Crvena Zvezda sit 1st with 31 points from 11 games, while Mladost Lucani are 6th with 17 points from 11.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1FK Crvena Zvezda11101027:3+2431
2Vojvodina1181225:11+1425
3IMT Novi Beograd1153313:7+618
4Železničar Pančevo1052317:10+717
5Radnicki 19231052317:12+517
6Mladost Lucani1145210:12-217
7Radnik Surdulica1135314:16-214
8Novi Pazar1134410:12-213
9Cukaricki1133514:20-612
10FK Partizan1032518:19-111
11OFK Beograd1124513:21-810
12Macva112368:19-119
13Radnicki NIS102267:15-88
14Zemun110386:22-163

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg189%1.04X8%11.823%28.4

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14 Oct 06:2016 Oct 11:501 1.04X 11.82 28.4
11.08 → 1.04 -3.7%X9.34 → 11.8 +25.8%223.1 → 28.4 +23.1%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.333.256.0%
1xBet1.283.258.9%
Marathonbet1.263.2010.6%
BetVictor1.222.6320.0%
Best of all books1.333.256.0%
Average1.273.0811.0%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill2.451.507.5%
Bet3652.621.447.6%
1xBet2.601.438.4%
Marathonbet2.601.419.4%
BetVictor2.201.3320.6%
Best of all books2.621.504.8%
Average2.491.4210.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

FK Crvena Zvezda 50%Draw 50%Mladost Lucani 0%

The statistical model rates FK Crvena Zvezda at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Mladost Lucani at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.04 | 11.75 | 28.43, which imply roughly 96.2% for a FK Crvena Zvezda win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Super Liga table: FK Crvena Zvezda are 1st (31 pts, 27-3 goals), Mladost Lucani 6th (17 pts, 10-12).

Over their last five matches, FK Crvena Zvezda averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.2 conceded per game; Mladost Lucani averaged 0.6 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : FK Crvena Zvezda.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.0411.828.4

Double chance

X212
9.531.03

Draw no bet

12
1.0214.5

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.491.42

1st half

1X2
1.303.3316.1

2nd half

1X2
1.234.4516.0

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 11.3334.0113.7
HT X3.9714.241.0
HT 225.739.042.3

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.1125.06.28

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0121.5
1.51.056.40
2.51.273.08
3.51.761.90
4.52.601.39
5.54.411.14
6.58.251.07
7.512.11.02
8.516.31.01
9.521.0–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0112.9
1.751.056.70
21.076.21
2.251.164.17
2.751.332.91
31.402.50
3.251.572.11
3.751.911.72
42.171.55
4.252.461.47
4.753.061.30
54.101.20
5.254.101.16
69.251.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-3.52.551.45
-3.252.271.51
-32.051.64
-2.751.831.84
-2.51.672.02
-2.251.502.30
16 more lines
LineHomeAway
-5.57.401.03
-56.761.05
-4.755.251.11
-4.54.181.18
-4.253.901.20
-43.561.24
-3.752.901.35
-21.362.90
-1.751.293.18
-1.51.243.55
-1.251.154.57
-11.066.93
-0.751.076.35
-0.51.106.80
-0.251.018.70
01.0126.0

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.017.33
7.51.124.53
8.51.303.02
9.51.562.24
10.51.921.80
11.52.421.47
12.53.241.26
13.54.621.11
14.57.011.02
8 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.017.13
81.154.11
91.372.71
101.712.01
112.181.60
122.951.31
134.271.14
146.591.03