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IMT Novi Beograd vs Radnik Surdulica• Super Liga, Serbia

#31.0:1.01-0FT10/10 · Stadion FK IMT, Belgrade1.8:2.2#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.84DAFX3.651XB24.461XBMargin at best4.2%Books9Markets78Rating60 · 40Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 09:28 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.803.654.465.4%
Bet3651.803.504.337.2%
Betfair1.803.504.337.2%
Dafabet1.853.454.008.0%
Pinnacle1.753.394.459.1%
Betano1.783.354.259.6%
Marathonbet1.703.444.2011.7%
William Hill1.753.304.0012.4%
BetVictor1.673.003.7519.9%
Best of all books1.853.654.463.9%
Average1.773.404.209.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

IMT Novi BeogradRadnik Surdulica
Last 10#3Table position#71.64Points per game1.278Form pts · last 561.0Goals for · last 51.81.0Goals against · last 52.236Attack rating6469Defence rating3145Form rating5562H2H rating3890Goals model1060Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 13:40 UTC

IMT Novi Beograd

3W 3D 4L · goals 8:10 · per match 0.8 for, 1.0 against

10 OctHRadnik Surdulica1-0W
19 SepAVojvodina1-1D
13 SepHFK Crvena Zvezda0-1L
7 SepAOFK Beograd1-1D
30 AugHMladost Lucani2-0W
22 AugARadnicki 19231-2L
16 AugHRadnicki NIS0-0D
9 AugAMacva0-1L
3 AugHGaziantep FK0-3L
2 AugAFK Partizan2-1W

Radnik Surdulica

3W 4D 3L · goals 13:15 · per match 1.3 for, 1.5 against

10 OctAIMT Novi Beograd0-1L
19 SepHFK Partizan4-4D
14 SepAZemun1-1D
10 SepHFK Crvena Zvezda0-0D
5 SepHCukaricki3-1W
29 AugAŽelezničar Pančevo1-5L
23 AugHNovi Pazar1-0W
15 AugHMacva2-1W
9 AugAVojvodina1-2L
25 JulAOFK Beograd0-0D

Head to head

3IMT Novi Beograd wins
2draws
1Radnik Surdulica wins

6 meetings · goals 8:5 · last 6: 3W 2D 1L for IMT Novi Beograd

2 Mar 2026Super LigaSuper LigaIMT Novi Beograd0-0Radnik Surdulica
29 Oct 2025CupCupRadnik Surdulica0-1IMT Novi Beograd
26 Sep 2025Super LigaSuper LigaRadnik Surdulica2-0IMT Novi Beograd
1 May 2024Super LigaSuper LigaIMT Novi Beograd5-2Radnik Surdulica
16 Mar 2024Super LigaSuper LigaRadnik Surdulica0-1IMT Novi Beograd
6 Oct 2023Super LigaSuper LigaIMT Novi Beograd1-1Radnik Surdulica

Super Liga tableSuper Ligaupdated 16 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the Super Liga table, IMT Novi Beograd sit 3rd with 18 points from 11 games, while Radnik Surdulica are 7th with 14 points from 11.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1FK Crvena Zvezda11101027:3+2431
2Vojvodina1181225:11+1425
3IMT Novi Beograd1153313:7+618
4Železničar Pančevo1052317:10+717
5Radnicki 19231052317:12+517
6Mladost Lucani1145210:12-217
7Radnik Surdulica1135314:16-214
8Novi Pazar1134410:12-213
9Cukaricki1133514:20-612
10FK Partizan1032518:19-111
11OFK Beograd1124513:21-810
12Macva112368:19-119
13Radnicki NIS102267:15-88
14Zemun110386:22-163

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg151%1.77X27%3.40222%4.20

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

7 Oct 00:029 Oct 18:311 1.77X 3.402 4.19
11.84 → 1.77 -3.8%X3.41 → 3.40 -0.3%24.09 → 4.19 +2.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet2.031.785.4%
Bet3652.001.805.6%
Betfair2.001.805.6%
Pinnacle2.011.766.6%
Betano2.001.757.1%
Marathonbet1.961.729.2%
BetVictor1.761.5820.1%
Best of all books2.031.804.8%
Average1.971.748.3%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.901.905.3%
William Hill1.851.858.1%
Betano1.871.838.1%
1xBet1.861.838.4%
Bet3651.831.839.3%
Marathonbet1.861.809.3%
BetVictor1.671.6719.8%
Best of all books1.901.905.3%
Average1.831.829.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

IMT Novi Beograd 45%Draw 45%Radnik Surdulica 10%

The statistical model rated IMT Novi Beograd at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Radnik Surdulica at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.77 | 3.40 | 4.20, which imply roughly 56.5% for a IMT Novi Beograd win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Super Liga table: IMT Novi Beograd are 3rd (18 pts, 13-7 goals), Radnik Surdulica 7th (14 pts, 14-16).

Over their last five matches, IMT Novi Beograd averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Radnik Surdulica averaged 1.8 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : IMT Novi Beograd or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

IMT Novi Beograd

Coach: Z. Popović

Goalkeeper

  • 1O. Čančarević

Defence

  • 5M. Sissako
  • 15A. Sedlar
  • 7N. Glišić
  • 2Julián Delmás
  • 45Ismael Casas

Midfield

  • 18W. Tiendrébéogo
  • 22Vasilije Novicic
  • 19Tadija Cojic

Attack

  • 99C. Keita
  • 29K. Fabien
Substitutes (8)
  • 37daniel aghahowa
  • 23Daniel Akrofi
  • 12Kadir Gicic
  • 40F. Kamano
  • 14I. Kebe
  • 28Andrej Milanovic
  • 20djordje radivojevic
  • 27V. Radočaj

Radnik Surdulica

Coach: Zoran Rendulic

Goalkeeper

  • 99S. Randjelovic

Defence

  • 21U. Filipovic
  • 22U. Lazić
  • 6David Stojanović
  • 37S. Abubakar

Midfield

  • 30M. Novaković
  • 28A. Pejović
  • 5M. Popović

Attack

  • 9V. Bogdanović
  • 47Emmanuel Quarshie
  • 27M. Spasić
Substitutes (11)
  • 14Uroš Ilić
  • 18F. Žunić
  • 3Luka Žorić
  • 7D. Stojanović
  • 29O. Shukurov
  • 23Lazar Radojicic
  • 25Teo Lakić
  • 92A. Kosiah
  • 20Luka Jovanovic
  • 88Đ. Jovanović
  • 34niksa blagojevic

Match Statistics

IMT Novi BeogradRadnik Surdulica
1.31Expected Goals1
201Passes accurate332
8Shots insidebox5
5Shots outsidebox3
2Blocked Shots3
10Free Kicks23
6Shots on Goal3
3Goalkeeper Saves5
5Shots off Goal2
2Offsides0
291Total passes443
13Total Shots8
3Yellow Cards3
3Corner Kicks7
24Fouls11
0Red Cards0
46%Ball Possession54%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.773.404.20

Double chance

1XX212
1.191.931.24

Draw no bet

12
1.303.01

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.831.82

1st half

1X2
2.322.074.65

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.5810.02.65

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.057.65
1.51.303.08
2.51.971.74
3.53.441.25
4.56.841.06
5.511.01.03
6.514.61.01
7.521.0–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.65
11.028.55
1.251.154.31
1.751.362.64
21.492.33
2.251.711.92
2.752.211.54
32.711.37
3.253.131.30
3.754.421.15
47.451.06
4.256.651.05

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.252.711.36
-12.391.49
-0.751.971.71
-0.51.731.94
-0.251.512.28
01.303.09
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.758.851.01
-2.56.801.06
-2.256.371.08
-25.881.09
-1.754.021.20
-1.53.201.30
+0.251.253.50
+0.51.234.00
+0.751.105.57
+11.028.78
+1.251.018.78
+1.51.028.90

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.085.11
6.51.273.18
7.51.552.25
8.51.991.74
9.52.601.41
10.53.621.21
11.55.561.06
12.57.061.02
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
5.751.104.84
61.114.58
6.251.193.68
6.751.312.97
71.352.79
7.251.462.46
7.751.642.11
81.741.98
8.251.861.84
8.752.111.64
92.301.53
9.252.441.47
9.752.871.33
103.301.25
10.253.481.22
10.754.221.14
115.131.08
11.255.341.07
11.755.311.07
126.601.03
12.256.831.02