Belasica vs Pelister• Second League, Macedonia

#61.2:1.00-0FT11/101.6:0.0#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

15.00B365X3.40B36521.681XBMargin at best8.9%Books3Markets34Rating29 · 71Exp. goals L51.9

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	4.94	3.40	1.68	9.2%
Bet365	5.00	3.40	1.62	11.1%
William Hill	4.80	3.10	1.67	13.0%
Best of all books	5.00	3.40	1.68	8.9%
Average	4.91	3.30	1.66	11.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BelasicaPelister

Last 10#6Table position#31.57Points per game2.147Form pts · last 5131.2Goals for · last 51.61.0Goals against · last 50.043Attack rating570Defence rating10035Form rating6520H2H rating800Goals model10029Overall rating71

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Oct 13:01 UTC

Belasica

6W 4D 0L · goals 14:6 · per match 1.4 for, 0.6 against

19 Sep	A	Gorno Lisiče	0-0	D
13 Sep	H	Teteks	2-2	D
9 Sep	A	Osogovo	3-1	W
5 Sep	A	Kozuv Gevgelija	2-2	D
30 Aug	H	Detonit Plachkovica	1-1	D
22 Aug	A	Novaci	1-0	W
15 Aug	H	Osogovo	1-0	W
9 Aug	H	FK Rabotnicki	1-0	W
1 Aug	A	Detonit Plachkovica	1-0	W
29 Jul	H	Kozuv Gevgelija	2-0	W

Pelister

6W 3D 1L · goals 18:6 · per match 1.8 for, 0.6 against

11 Oct	A	Belasica	0-0	D
19 Sep	H	Ohrid	1-0	W
13 Sep	A	Shkupi 1927	4-0	W
6 Sep	H	FK Rabotnicki	2-0	W
2 Sep	A	Studenicani	6-1	W
29 Aug	A	Makedonija GjP	1-0	W
22 Aug	H	Akademija Pandev	0-0	D
16 Aug	H	Kamjani	1-1	D
8 Aug	A	Novaci	2-4	L
1 Aug	A	Shkëndija Haraçinë	1-0	W

Head to head

1Belasica wins

0draws

6Pelister wins

7 meetings · goals 2:12 · last 7: 1W 0D 6L for Belasica

17 Feb 2024Second League	Second League	Pelister3-0Belasica
12 Aug 2023Second League	Second League	Belasica0-2Pelister
23 Apr 2023Second League	Second League	Belasica2-1Pelister
29 Oct 2022Second League	Second League	Pelister1-0Belasica
16 May 2021First League	First League	Pelister2-0Belasica
13 Dec 2020First League	First League	Pelister1-0Belasica
20 Sep 2020First League	First League	Belasica0-2Pelister

Second League tableSecond Leagueupdated 17 Oct 16:50 UTC

In the Second League table, Belasica sit 6th with 11 points from 7 games, while Pelister are 3rd with 15 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Ohrid	8	6	1	1	18:6	+12	19
2	FK Rabotnicki	7	6	0	1	15:3	+12	18
3	Pelister	7	4	3	0	9:1	+8	15
4	Akademija Pandev	6	4	2	0	14:3	+11	14
5	Teteks	8	3	3	2	12:9	+3	12
6	Belasica	7	2	5	0	7:5	+2	11
7	Makedonija GjP	8	3	1	4	4:6	-2	10
8	Kamjani	7	3	1	3	7:10	-3	10
9	Novaci	8	2	2	4	6:9	-3	8
10	Detonit Plachkovica	8	2	2	4	7:11	-4	8
11	Kozuv Gevgelija	7	2	2	3	7:12	-5	8
12	Gorno Lisiče	8	1	3	4	6:7	-1	6
13	Osogovo	7	0	3	4	3:7	-4	3
14	Shkupi 1927	8	0	0	8	1:27	-26	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg118%4.91X27%3.30254%1.66

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14.97 → 4.91 -1.2%X3.40 → 3.30 -2.9%21.65 → 1.66 +0.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.25	1.62	6.2%
Pinnacle	2.25	1.56	8.5%
1xBet	2.25	1.55	9.0%
Best of all books	2.25	1.62	6.2%
Average	2.25	1.58	7.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.15	1.67	6.4%
William Hill	2.15	1.62	8.2%
Best of all books	2.15	1.67	6.4%
Average	2.15	1.65	7.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Belasica 10%Draw 45%Pelister 45%

The statistical model rated Belasica at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Pelister at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.91 | 3.30 | 1.66, which imply roughly 30.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Second League table: Belasica are 6th (11 pts, 7-5 goals), Pelister 3rd (15 pts, 9-1).

Over their last five matches, Belasica averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Pelister averaged 1.6 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Pelister.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.91	3.30	1.66

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.07	1.13	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
3.75	1.25

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.15	1.65

1st half

1	X	2
5.81	2.05	2.19

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
3.10	7.00	1.53

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.08	6.50
1.5	1.41	2.62
2.5	2.25	1.58
3.5	4.40	1.17
4.5	9.50	1.05
5.5	23.0	1.01

5 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.50	2.33
2	1.67	2.06
2.25	1.99	1.74
2.75	2.62	1.40
3	3.27	1.27

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.67	1.39
+0.5	2.19	1.59
+0.75	1.94	1.82
+1	1.62	2.16
+1.25	1.47	2.40
+1.5	1.36	2.81

3 more lines

Line	Home	Away
0	3.73	1.21
+2	1.12	5.10
+2.5	1.08	6.10