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Lech Poznan vs Zaglebie Lubin• Ekstraklasa, Poland

#14.0:1.019:15Today · Stadion Miejski, Poznan1.0:1.4#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.50PINX4.82PIN26.04PINMargin at best4.0%Books10Markets73Rating74 · 26Exp. goals L53.7

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Nov 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.504.846.063.8%
Dafabet1.484.706.005.5%
Betano1.474.605.707.3%
1xBet1.484.455.578.0%
Betfair1.444.506.008.3%
Marathonbet1.474.455.508.7%
BetVictor1.444.335.759.9%
Bet3651.484.105.5010.1%
William Hill1.444.405.5010.4%
SBO1.463.954.7914.7%
Best of all books1.504.846.063.8%
Average1.474.435.648.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Lech PoznanZaglebie Lubin
Last 10#1Table position#72.58Points per game1.697Form pts · last 5104.0Goals for · last 51.01.0Goals against · last 51.480Attack rating2058Defence rating4268Form rating3280H2H rating2084Goals model1674Overall rating26

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Nov 23:10 UTC

Lech Poznan

5W 2D 3L · goals 24:16 · per match 2.4 for, 1.6 against

5 NovABenfica1-3L
31 OctHWisla Krakow3-1W
28 OctASiarka Tarnobrzeg0-1L
25 OctALegia Warszawa2-1W
22 OctHSunderland1-1D
18 OctHKorona Kielce6-1W
15 OctHBayer Leverkusen0-4L
10 OctASlask Wroclaw4-1W
3 OctHEnergie Cottbus2-2D
20 SepHRadomiak Radom5-1W

Zaglebie Lubin

5W 2D 3L · goals 14:14 · per match 1.4 for, 1.4 against

2 NovHKorona Kielce1-0W
23 OctAMotor Lublin2-2D
18 OctHJagiellonia1-0W
10 OctACracovia Krakow1-3L
3 OctHMiedz Legnica1-0W
20 SepHWisla Plock0-2L
15 SepARaków Częstochowa3-2W
12 SepHGKS Katowice2-1W
7 SepAWieczysta Kraków1-1D
1 SepASiarka Tarnobrzeg2-3L

Head to head

8Lech Poznan wins
5draws
6Zaglebie Lubin wins

19 meetings · goals 29:24 · last 10: 6W 2D 2L for Lech Poznan

15 Mar 2026EkstraklasaEkstraklasaZaglebie Lubin0-1Lech Poznan
12 Sep 2025EkstraklasaEkstraklasaLech Poznan1-2Zaglebie Lubin
23 Feb 2025EkstraklasaEkstraklasaLech Poznan3-1Zaglebie Lubin
17 Aug 2024EkstraklasaEkstraklasaZaglebie Lubin0-1Lech Poznan
10 Feb 2024EkstraklasaEkstraklasaLech Poznan2-0Zaglebie Lubin
6 Aug 2023EkstraklasaEkstraklasaZaglebie Lubin1-1Lech Poznan
19 Feb 2023EkstraklasaEkstraklasaLech Poznan1-2Zaglebie Lubin
7 Aug 2022EkstraklasaEkstraklasaZaglebie Lubin1-1Lech Poznan
21 May 2022EkstraklasaEkstraklasaLech Poznan2-1Zaglebie Lubin
5 Dec 2021EkstraklasaEkstraklasaZaglebie Lubin2-3Lech Poznan

Ekstraklasa tableEkstraklasaupdated 7 Nov 23:50 UTC

In the Ekstraklasa table, Lech Poznan sit 1st with 31 points from 12 games, while Zaglebie Lubin are 7th with 22 points from 13.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Lech Poznan12101132:11+2131
2Gornik Zabrze1494123:12+1131
3Legia Warszawa1366123:11+1224
4Pogon Szczecin1373320:15+524
5Wisla Krakow1473422:19+324
6Piast Gliwice1464424:20+422
7Zaglebie Lubin1364316:15+122
8GKS Katowice1370625:19+621
9Motor Lublin1454522:24-219
10Jagiellonia1260617:18-118
11Korona Kielce1453614:21-718
12Wisla Plock1343614:21-715
13Widzew Łódź1428420:19+114
14Radomiak Radom1442817:29-1214
15Cracovia Krakow1433816:23-712
16Slask Wroclaw1424817:25-810
17Raków Częstochowa13301019:29-109
18Wieczysta Kraków14221018:28-108

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg163%1.47X21%4.43216%5.59

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

5 Nov 00:018 Nov 09:101 1.47X 4.432 5.59
11.45 → 1.47 +1.4%X4.51 → 4.43 -1.8%25.93 → 5.59 -5.7%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.572.474.2%
Betfair1.532.456.2%
Betano1.552.406.2%
Bet3651.572.356.2%
BetVictor1.532.299.0%
1xBet1.472.3510.6%
Marathonbet1.472.3510.6%
Best of all books1.572.474.2%
Average1.532.387.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.652.206.1%
Bet3651.672.107.5%
Betano1.702.057.6%
1xBet1.612.188.0%
BetVictor1.652.108.2%
William Hill1.622.158.2%
Marathonbet1.612.158.6%
Best of all books1.702.204.3%
Average1.642.137.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Lech Poznan 45%Draw 45%Zaglebie Lubin 10%

The statistical model rates Lech Poznan at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Zaglebie Lubin at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.47 | 4.43 | 5.59, which imply roughly 68% for a Lech Poznan win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ekstraklasa table: Lech Poznan are 1st (31 pts, 32-11 goals), Zaglebie Lubin 7th (22 pts, 16-15).

Over their last five matches, Lech Poznan averaged 4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Zaglebie Lubin averaged 1 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Lech Poznan.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.474.435.64

Double chance

1XX212
1.132.521.17

Draw no bet

12
1.194.38

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.642.13

1st half

1X2
1.942.505.27

2nd half

1X2
1.772.905.04

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.1315.340.9
HT X4.497.2912.1
HT 218.616.39.28

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.4217.82.77

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0215.4
1.51.154.83
2.51.532.38
3.52.331.56
4.54.001.21
5.57.251.07
6.514.61.02
7.529.01.01
8.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0213.0
1.751.144.30
21.183.90
2.251.342.84
2.751.632.14
31.821.91
3.252.061.71
3.752.551.42
43.101.28
4.253.361.25
4.754.511.13
55.951.07
5.256.251.06

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.752.621.44
-1.52.221.59
-1.252.011.74
-11.772.01
-0.751.562.28
-0.51.472.59
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.57.801.04
-36.701.07
-2.754.921.13
-2.53.891.19
-2.253.641.25
-23.321.29
-0.251.323.11
01.184.33
+0.251.144.78
+0.51.125.50
+0.751.076.60
+11.019.90
+1.51.0413.0

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
7.51.114.90
8.51.263.39
9.51.482.45
10.51.811.94
11.52.281.56
12.52.911.35
13.53.701.21
14.55.001.11
15.56.701.05
7 more lines
LineOverUnder
9.751.492.38
101.672.17
10.251.672.07
10.751.841.82
112.131.69
11.252.071.62
11.752.351.47

Next Ekstraklasa matches

8 NovJagiellonia – GKS Katowice
8 NovLegia Warszawa – Raków Częstochowa

All Ekstraklasa fixtures and the table

Latest Ekstraklasa results

7 NovWidzew Łódź 3-0 Pogon Szczecin
7 NovGornik Zabrze 2-1 Wieczysta Kraków
7 NovSlask Wroclaw 0-0 Piast Gliwice
7 NovKorona Kielce 0-2 Radomiak Radom
6 NovWisla Krakow 2-1 Cracovia Krakow
6 NovMotor Lublin 3-2 Wisla Plock