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Slask Wroclaw vs Lech Poznan• Ekstraklasa, Poland

#161.4:2.015:30Today · Stadion Śląska Wrocław, Wroclaw2.4:1.2#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

15.04PINX4.55PIN21.62DAFMargin at best3.5%Books10Markets72Rating45 · 56Exp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 09:25 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle5.044.551.604.3%
Dafabet4.904.401.624.9%
Betano4.804.201.607.1%
Betfair5.004.501.537.6%
1xBet4.674.301.588.0%
Marathonbet4.704.301.568.6%
BetVictor4.754.201.559.4%
Bet3655.004.001.559.5%
William Hill4.754.001.579.7%
SBO4.393.961.5512.5%
Best of all books5.044.551.623.5%
Average4.804.241.578.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Slask WroclawLech Poznan
Last 10#16Table position#30.67Points per game2.383Form pts · last 571.4Goals for · last 52.42.0Goals against · last 51.237Attack rating6338Defence rating6314Form rating8671H2H rating2941Goals model5945Overall rating56

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 14:04 UTC

Slask Wroclaw

2W 3D 5L · goals 12:17 · per match 1.2 for, 1.7 against

3 OctHSlovan Liberec0-3L
18 SepAWisla Krakow1-2L
12 SepHKorona Kielce1-2L
6 SepAJagiellonia1-2L
3 SepHPogon Szczecin2-1W
28 AugALegia Warszawa1-1D
22 AugHWidzew Łódź3-3D
15 AugAZaglebie Lubin1-2L
9 AugHCracovia Krakow0-0D
2 AugHRaków Częstochowa2-1W

Lech Poznan

6W 2D 2L · goals 28:14 · per match 2.8 for, 1.4 against

3 OctHEnergie Cottbus2-2D
20 SepHRadomiak Radom5-1W
17 SepACrystal Palace0-4L
12 SepAGornik Zabrze1-2L
6 SepHRaków Częstochowa1-0W
3 SepHJagiellonia2-1W
30 AugAWidzew Łódź3-2W
27 AugAFC Thun2-2D
20 AugHFC Thun7-0W
14 AugAKI Klaksvik5-0W

Head to head

6Slask Wroclaw wins
4draws
6Lech Poznan wins

16 meetings · goals 21:21 · last 10: 5W 1D 4L for Slask Wroclaw

29 Mar 2025EkstraklasaEkstraklasaSlask Wroclaw3-1Lech Poznan
22 Sep 2024EkstraklasaEkstraklasaLech Poznan1-0Slask Wroclaw
24 Feb 2024EkstraklasaEkstraklasaLech Poznan0-0Slask Wroclaw
20 Aug 2023EkstraklasaEkstraklasaSlask Wroclaw3-1Lech Poznan
26 Feb 2023EkstraklasaEkstraklasaSlask Wroclaw2-1Lech Poznan
19 Oct 2022CupCupLech Poznan1-3Slask Wroclaw
14 Aug 2022EkstraklasaEkstraklasaLech Poznan0-1Slask Wroclaw
1 Apr 2022EkstraklasaEkstraklasaSlask Wroclaw0-1Lech Poznan
2 Oct 2021EkstraklasaEkstraklasaLech Poznan4-0Slask Wroclaw
21 Feb 2021EkstraklasaEkstraklasaLech Poznan1-0Slask Wroclaw

Ekstraklasa tableEkstraklasaupdated 10 Oct 15:01 UTC

In the Ekstraklasa table, Slask Wroclaw sit 16th with 6 points from 9 games, while Lech Poznan are 3rd with 19 points from 8.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Gornik Zabrze971116:8+822
2Legia Warszawa954019:8+1119
3Lech Poznan861117:7+1019
4Wisla Krakow952217:12+517
5GKS Katowice950420:14+615
6Pogon Szczecin843112:6+615
7Korona Kielce943212:10+215
8Zaglebie Lubin943211:10+115
9Piast Gliwice941416:15+113
10Jagiellonia840412:13-112
11Wisla Plock93249:15-611
12Widzew Łódź916213:1309
13Wieczysta Kraków922514:17-38
14Cracovia Krakow92259:14-58
15Radomiak Radom92257:20-138
16Slask Wroclaw913511:15-46
17Motor Lublin91359:15-66
18Raków Częstochowa1010913:25-123

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg119%4.81X22%4.23259%1.57

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

7 Oct 00:0210 Oct 06:401 4.81X 4.232 1.57
14.76 → 4.81 +1.1%X4.18 → 4.23 +1.2%21.57 → 1.57 0.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.522.594.4%
Betano1.522.505.8%
Betfair1.472.636.1%
Bet3651.502.506.7%
BetVictor1.452.558.2%
1xBet1.442.4310.6%
Marathonbet1.442.4310.6%
Best of all books1.522.633.8%
Average1.482.527.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.532.456.2%
1xBet1.532.357.9%
Betano1.552.308.0%
William Hill1.552.308.0%
Bet3651.572.258.1%
BetVictor1.502.408.3%
Marathonbet1.532.318.6%
Best of all books1.572.454.5%
Average1.542.347.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Slask Wroclaw 10%Draw 45%Lech Poznan 45%

The statistical model rates Slask Wroclaw at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Lech Poznan at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.81 | 4.23 | 1.57, which imply roughly 23.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ekstraklasa table: Slask Wroclaw are 16th (6 pts, 11-15 goals), Lech Poznan 3rd (19 pts, 17-7).

Over their last five matches, Slask Wroclaw averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Lech Poznan averaged 2.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Lech Poznan.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Confirmed Lineups

Slask Wroclaw

3-4-1-2

Coach: A. Šimundža

Goalkeeper

  • 1K. Niemczycki

Defence

  • 33E. Matsenko
  • 5L. Ba
  • 44M. Malec

Midfield

  • 21A. Timossi Andersson
  • 20G. Tomasiewicz
  • 17K. Linetty
  • 8Marc Llinares
  • 7P. Samiec-Talar

Attack

  • 19P. Banaszak
  • 11L. Marjanac
Substitutes (9)
  • 15J. Yriarte
  • 2D. Szala
  • 25M. Szromnik
  • 88A. Ciucka
  • 10M. Dembélé
  • 4M. Dijakovic
  • 9Ieltsin Camões
  • 27Jan Jurčec
  • 77E. Shabani

Lech Poznan

4-4-2

Coach: N. Frederiksen

Goalkeeper

  • 1M. Lis

Defence

  • 2Joel Pereira
  • 72M. Skrzypczak
  • 27W. Mońka
  • 15M. Gurgul

Midfield

  • 20R. Gumny
  • 22R. Murawski
  • 21Pablo Rodríguez
  • 14L. Bengtsson

Attack

  • 9M. Ishak
  • 24F. Jagiełło
Substitutes (9)
  • 5G. Berggren
  • 11D. Håkans
  • 43A. Kozubal
  • 77L. Palma
  • 33M. Pruchniewski
  • 10P. Wålemark
  • 59T. Yegbe
  • 7Y. Agnero
  • 54K. Jakóbczyk

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
4.804.241.57

Double chance

1XX212
2.281.161.19

Draw no bet

12
3.651.25

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.542.34

1st half

1X2
4.712.512.04

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.5919.31.48

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0216.2
1.51.135.28
2.51.482.52
3.52.201.63
4.53.671.24
5.56.631.08
6.513.21.03
7.526.01.01
8.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0213.0
1.751.134.50
21.164.10
2.251.302.97
2.751.572.24
31.742.01
3.251.981.78
3.752.471.48
42.941.31
4.253.201.26
4.754.301.15
55.651.08
5.255.951.07

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+0.252.781.39
+0.52.361.58
+0.752.081.70
+11.831.95
+1.251.622.18
+1.51.502.44
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-18.401.01
-0.755.931.09
-0.55.001.17
-0.254.091.18
03.721.24
+1.751.372.86
+21.233.72
+2.251.203.97
+2.51.174.30
+2.751.115.45
+31.037.30
+3.51.027.90

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.124.90
7.51.273.33
8.51.512.40
9.51.851.86
10.52.361.53
11.53.151.30
12.54.101.17
13.55.701.08
14.57.701.03
8 more lines
LineOverUnder
8.251.422.60
8.751.552.23
91.652.19
9.251.761.95
9.751.981.72
102.071.72
10.252.291.53
112.561.48