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Raków Częstochowa vs GKS Katowice• Ekstraklasa, Poland

#181.4:2.01-4FTToday · Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków w Częstochowie, Czestochowa2.4:1.8#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.09DAFX4.11PIN23.40PINMargin at best1.6%Books10Markets70Rating48 · 52 levelExp. goals L53.8

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 13:04 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.004.083.384.1%
Dafabet2.093.803.254.9%
Betano2.073.703.157.1%
Betfair2.003.903.107.9%
1xBet1.973.803.247.9%
Marathonbet1.953.803.228.7%
BetVictor1.953.703.209.6%
Bet3652.053.503.109.6%
William Hill2.053.603.009.9%
SBO2.023.402.9412.9%
Best of all books2.094.083.381.9%
Average2.013.733.168.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Raków CzęstochowaGKS Katowice
Last 10#18Table position#90.33Points per game1.506Form pts · last 571.4Goals for · last 52.42.0Goals against · last 51.837Attack rating6347Defence rating5325Form rating7571H2H rating2950Goals model5048Overall rating52

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:51 UTC

Raków Częstochowa

2W 1D 7L · goals 18:23 · per match 1.8 for, 2.3 against

2 OctHPolonia Bytom4-1W
19 SepAKorona Kielce2-3L
15 SepHZaglebie Lubin2-3L
11 SepHMotor Lublin2-1W
6 SepALech Poznan0-1L
3 SepHGornik Zabrze1-2L
30 AugHJagiellonia2-5L
27 AugHHNK Hajduk Split2-3L
20 AugAHNK Hajduk Split2-2D
16 AugACracovia Krakow1-2L

GKS Katowice

5W 1D 4L · goals 18:15 · per match 1.8 for, 1.5 against

3 OctHBaník Ostrava1-1D
19 SepHCracovia Krakow3-2W
12 SepAZaglebie Lubin1-2L
4 SepAPiast Gliwice0-3L
30 AugAGornik Zabrze3-2W
23 AugHWisla Plock5-0W
16 AugAMotor Lublin0-1L
12 AugHHapoel Tel Aviv2-1W
6 AugAHapoel Tel Aviv0-2L
2 AugHRadomiak Radom3-1W

Head to head

5Raków Częstochowa wins
2draws
1GKS Katowice wins

8 meetings · goals 13:6 · last 8: 5W 2D 1L for Raków Częstochowa

16 Jul 2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsGKS Katowice1-1Raków Częstochowa
9 Apr 2026CupCupRaków Częstochowa3-3GKS Katowice
7 Dec 2025EkstraklasaEkstraklasaRaków Częstochowa1-0GKS Katowice
19 Jul 2025EkstraklasaEkstraklasaGKS Katowice0-1Raków Częstochowa
8 Feb 2025EkstraklasaEkstraklasaRaków Częstochowa1-2GKS Katowice
3 Aug 2024EkstraklasaEkstraklasaGKS Katowice0-1Raków Częstochowa
9 Mar 2019I LigaI LigaGKS Katowice0-3Raków Częstochowa
22 Aug 2018I LigaI LigaRaków Częstochowa2-0GKS Katowice

Ekstraklasa tableEkstraklasaupdated 9 Oct 20:11 UTC

In the Ekstraklasa table, Raków Częstochowa sit 18th with 3 points from 9 games, while GKS Katowice are 9th with 12 points from 8.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Gornik Zabrze971116:8+822
2Legia Warszawa954019:8+1119
3Lech Poznan861117:7+1019
4Wisla Krakow952217:12+517
5Pogon Szczecin843112:6+615
6Korona Kielce943212:10+215
7Zaglebie Lubin943211:10+115
8Piast Gliwice941416:15+113
9GKS Katowice840416:13+312
10Jagiellonia840412:13-112
11Wisla Plock93249:15-611
12Widzew Łódź916213:1309
13Wieczysta Kraków922514:17-38
14Cracovia Krakow92259:14-58
15Radomiak Radom92257:20-138
16Slask Wroclaw913511:15-46
17Motor Lublin91359:15-66
18Raków Częstochowa910812:21-93

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg143%2.16X25%3.66232%2.90

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

6 Oct 00:019 Oct 10:101 2.00X 3.752 3.19
12.13 → 2.00 -6.1%X3.71 → 3.75 +1.1%22.88 → 3.19 +10.8%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.512.624.4%
Betano1.532.475.8%
Betfair1.472.636.1%
Bet3651.502.506.7%
BetVictor1.472.557.2%
1xBet1.442.4210.8%
Marathonbet1.442.4210.8%
Best of all books1.532.633.4%
Average1.482.527.3%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.442.706.5%
Bet3651.442.627.6%
1xBet1.442.607.9%
Betano1.452.558.2%
Marathonbet1.442.558.7%
William Hill1.442.509.4%
BetVictor1.402.639.5%
Best of all books1.452.706.0%
Average1.442.598.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Raków Częstochowa 10%Draw 45%GKS Katowice 45%

The statistical model rated Raków Częstochowa at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and GKS Katowice at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.16 | 3.66 | 2.90, which imply roughly 27.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ekstraklasa table: Raków Częstochowa are 18th (3 pts, 12-21 goals), GKS Katowice 9th (12 pts, 16-13).

Over their last five matches, Raków Częstochowa averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; GKS Katowice averaged 2.4 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or GKS Katowice and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Raków Częstochowa

4-5-1

Coach: T. Kaczmarek

Goalkeeper

  • 1K. Trelowski

Defence

  • 7F. Tudor
  • 3A. Brorsson
  • 4S. Svarnas
  • 2J. Napieraj

Midfield

  • 9P. Makuch
  • 6O. Repka
  • 23K. Struski
  • 5M. Bulat
  • 20Jean Carlos

Attack

  • 11M. Emreli
Substitutes (12)
  • 19N. Zätterström
  • 39I. Brusberg
  • 80L. Diaby-Fadiga
  • 71T. Karić
  • 10V. Kochergin
  • 15O. Kwiatkowski
  • 44B. Mirčetić
  • 88A. Molnar
  • 36M. Perović
  • 21T. Pieńko
  • 25B. Racovițan
  • 99Adam Basse

GKS Katowice

3-4-3

Coach: R. Górak

Goalkeeper

  • 87G. Kobylak

Defence

  • 30A. Czerwiński
  • 6L. Klemenz
  • 55Pau Resta

Midfield

  • 23M. Wasielewski
  • 17I. Shkurin
  • 77M. Kowalczyk
  • 7M. Wdowiak

Attack

  • 10M. Wędrychowski
  • 19K. Łukasiak
  • 27B. Nowak
Substitutes (10)
  • 22S. Milewski
  • 14M. Olsen
  • 68B. Wolski
  • 99A. Zreľák
  • 15E. Marković
  • 1M. Kikolski
  • 97E. Jirka
  • 4A. Jędrych
  • 8Borja Galán
  • 31S. Bartlewicz

Match Statistics

Raków CzęstochowaGKS Katowice
1.2Expected Goals2.57
455Passes accurate263
13Shots insidebox12
5Shots outsidebox6
5Blocked Shots4
15Free Kicks7
4Shots on Goal8
4Goalkeeper Saves2
9Shots off Goal6
1Offsides2
541Total passes342
18Total Shots18
2Yellow Cards3
6Corner Kicks4
8Fouls16
0Red Cards0
60%Ball Possession40%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.013.733.16

Double chance

1XX212
1.321.741.23

Draw no bet

12
1.532.39

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.442.59

1st half

1X2
2.472.423.54

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.7019.02.15

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0215.5
1.51.135.27
2.51.482.52
3.52.211.63
4.53.701.24
5.56.741.08
6.513.21.03
7.526.01.01
8.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0313.0
1.751.144.46
21.174.05
2.251.312.92
2.751.592.21
31.761.99
3.252.011.76
3.752.511.46
42.991.30
4.253.281.25
4.754.341.14
55.751.07
5.256.051.06

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-12.741.40
-0.752.271.58
-0.52.001.81
-0.251.762.02
01.522.44
+0.251.412.72
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.56.101.06
-25.971.09
-1.754.201.17
-1.53.391.28
-1.253.101.33
+0.51.373.18
+0.751.233.77
+11.115.28
+1.251.105.68
+1.51.086.03
+1.751.027.80
+21.019.60

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.037.60
6.51.124.80
7.51.283.27
8.51.502.42
9.51.881.87
10.52.371.53
11.53.191.29
12.54.201.16
13.55.801.08
14.55.651.04
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.124.09
81.272.88
8.251.422.60
8.751.562.21
91.582.25
9.251.781.93
9.751.991.71
102.011.73
10.252.311.53
112.581.44
123.301.20
134.371.10
145.521.05