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Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze• Ekstraklasa, Poland

#101.8:2.018:15Today · Stadion Miejski w Białymstoku, Bialystok1.4:0.4#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.72PINX3.50BFR22.67PINMargin at best2.8%Books10Markets70Rating32 · 68Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 13:18 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.743.292.713.8%
Dafabet2.603.452.655.2%
Betano2.573.352.607.2%
Betfair2.553.502.507.8%
1xBet2.533.382.538.6%
Marathonbet2.533.382.538.6%
Bet3652.553.302.509.5%
BetVictor2.503.302.559.5%
William Hill2.603.202.509.7%
SBO2.453.112.5013.0%
Best of all books2.743.502.712.0%
Average2.563.332.568.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

JagielloniaGornik Zabrze
Last 10#10Table position#11.50Points per game2.443Form pts · last 5101.8Goals for · last 51.42.0Goals against · last 50.456Attack rating4417Defence rating8332Form rating6829H2H rating7112Goals model8832Overall rating68

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 14:04 UTC

Jagiellonia

5W 0D 5L · goals 22:15 · per match 2.2 for, 1.5 against

3 OctHPolonia Warszawa1-2L
29 SepHSuduva Marijampole5-0W
20 SepHLegia Warszawa1-3L
16 SepAOlympiakos Piraeus1-2L
11 SepAWisla Krakow0-2L
6 SepHSlask Wroclaw2-1W
3 SepALech Poznan1-2L
30 AugARaków Częstochowa5-2W
27 AugAFC Iberia 19992-1W
20 AugHFC Iberia 19994-0W

Gornik Zabrze

5W 1D 4L · goals 14:15 · per match 1.4 for, 1.5 against

2 OctHOdra Opole0-2L
19 SepAMotor Lublin0-0D
15 SepAKorona Kielce2-0W
12 SepHLech Poznan2-1W
6 SepACracovia Krakow1-0W
3 SepARaków Częstochowa2-1W
30 AugHGKS Katowice2-3L
27 AugAMonaco1-4L
20 AugHMonaco2-3L
16 AugHWisla Krakow2-1W

Head to head

7Jagiellonia wins
3draws
7Gornik Zabrze wins

17 meetings · goals 27:27 · last 10: 4W 2D 4L for Jagiellonia

24 Apr 2026EkstraklasaEkstraklasaJagiellonia1-2Gornik Zabrze
26 Oct 2025EkstraklasaEkstraklasaGornik Zabrze2-1Jagiellonia
4 May 2025EkstraklasaEkstraklasaJagiellonia1-1Gornik Zabrze
3 Nov 2024EkstraklasaEkstraklasaGornik Zabrze0-2Jagiellonia
2 Mar 2024EkstraklasaEkstraklasaGornik Zabrze2-1Jagiellonia
27 Aug 2023EkstraklasaEkstraklasaJagiellonia4-1Gornik Zabrze
11 Mar 2023EkstraklasaEkstraklasaJagiellonia2-1Gornik Zabrze
26 Aug 2022EkstraklasaEkstraklasaGornik Zabrze1-1Jagiellonia
14 Feb 2022EkstraklasaEkstraklasaGornik Zabrze1-2Jagiellonia
16 Aug 2021EkstraklasaEkstraklasaJagiellonia1-3Gornik Zabrze

Ekstraklasa tableEkstraklasaupdated 10 Oct 17:02 UTC

In the Ekstraklasa table, Jagiellonia sit 10th with 12 points from 8 games, while Gornik Zabrze are 1st with 22 points from 9.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Gornik Zabrze971116:8+822
2Legia Warszawa954019:8+1119
3Lech Poznan861117:7+1019
4Wisla Krakow952217:12+517
5GKS Katowice950420:14+615
6Pogon Szczecin843112:6+615
7Korona Kielce943212:10+215
8Zaglebie Lubin1043312:13-115
9Piast Gliwice941416:15+113
10Jagiellonia840412:13-112
11Cracovia Krakow1032512:15-311
12Wisla Plock93249:15-611
13Widzew Łódź916213:1309
14Wieczysta Kraków922514:17-38
15Radomiak Radom92257:20-138
16Slask Wroclaw913511:15-46
17Motor Lublin91359:15-66
18Raków Częstochowa1010913:25-123

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg137%2.52X27%3.37236%2.58

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

7 Oct 00:0210 Oct 06:401 2.52X 3.372 2.58
12.44 → 2.52 +3.3%X3.38 → 3.37 -0.3%22.60 → 2.58 -0.8%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.881.983.7%
SBO1.891.954.2%
Bet3651.851.955.3%
Betfair1.802.005.6%
Betano1.851.935.9%
1xBet1.811.927.3%
Marathonbet1.811.927.3%
BetVictor1.801.879.0%
Best of all books1.892.002.9%
Average1.841.946.0%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.652.206.1%
Bet3651.622.207.2%
William Hill1.622.207.2%
Betano1.652.127.8%
1xBet1.642.137.9%
BetVictor1.652.108.2%
Marathonbet1.642.108.6%
Best of all books1.652.206.1%
Average1.642.157.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Jagiellonia 10%Draw 45%Gornik Zabrze 45%

The statistical model rates Jagiellonia at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Gornik Zabrze at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.52 | 3.37 | 2.58, which imply roughly 29.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ekstraklasa table: Jagiellonia are 10th (12 pts, 12-13 goals), Gornik Zabrze 1st (22 pts, 16-8).

Over their last five matches, Jagiellonia averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Gornik Zabrze averaged 1.4 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Gornik Zabrze.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Confirmed Lineups

Jagiellonia

4-2-3-1

Coach: A. Siemieniec

Goalkeeper

  • 50S. Abramowicz

Defence

  • 27Rodrigo Conceição
  • 5Bernardo Vital
  • 4Y. Kobayashi
  • 2C. Polak

Midfield

  • 14H. Finndell
  • 21Sergio Lozano
  • 30O. Sow
  • 11Jesús Imaz
  • 7K. Szmyt

Attack

  • 99N. Prelec
Substitutes (12)
  • 10J. Agbonifo
  • 20B. Wdowik
  • 3D. Stojinović
  • 32A. Ćirković
  • 72K. Jóźwiak
  • 19A. Klynge
  • 44A. Konstantopoulos
  • 23Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia
  • 1M. Perchel
  • 9Dimitris Rallis
  • 6T. Romanczuk
  • 85Eryk Kozlowski

Gornik Zabrze

4-3-3

Coach: M. Gašparík

Goalkeeper

  • 1P. Schulze

Defence

  • 21O. Zmrzlý
  • 26R. Janicki
  • 20Josema Sánchez
  • 64E. Janža

Midfield

  • 14J. Kubicki
  • 6M. Højholt
  • 8Paulo Bernardo

Attack

  • 7Y. Ikia Dimi
  • 23S. Liseth
  • 33M. Khlan
Substitutes (9)
  • 82K. Urbański
  • 11E. Prekop
  • 19Peter
  • 99T. Loska
  • 29W. Kania
  • 27Z. Inoussa
  • 34B. Durdov
  • 4P. Bochniewicz
  • 2P. Warczak

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.563.332.56

Double chance

1XX212
1.461.461.29

Draw no bet

12
1.861.88

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.642.15

1st half

1X2
3.102.193.10

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.9810.71.96

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.059.68
1.51.253.68
2.51.841.94
3.53.031.34
4.55.741.11
5.510.61.03
6.521.31.01
7.550.5–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.75
11.028.30
1.251.124.70
1.751.283.08
21.382.77
2.251.612.21
2.752.041.73
32.391.52
3.252.571.43
3.753.501.22
44.701.12
4.255.051.10
4.755.981.07
59.30–

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.551.49
-0.252.201.63
01.881.88
+0.251.622.19
+0.51.492.56
+0.751.343.04
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.59.501.01
-1.756.501.07
-1.54.981.13
-1.254.511.15
-14.221.19
-0.753.051.34
+11.194.21
+1.251.154.51
+1.51.134.98
+1.751.076.50
+2.51.019.55

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.037.70
6.51.124.80
7.51.273.31
8.51.522.37
9.51.881.84
10.52.401.51
11.53.171.29
12.54.101.17
13.55.701.08
15 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.065.29
71.153.75
81.342.73
8.251.402.51
8.751.552.23
91.702.05
9.251.751.96
9.751.971.73
102.181.62
10.252.271.55
10.752.591.39
112.821.32
123.621.16
134.771.08
145.671.04