Lech Poznan2nd10 pts
Jagiellonia6th9 pts
Lech Poznan2nd10 pts
Jagiellonia6th9 ptsIn the Ekstraklasa table, Lech Poznan sit 2nd with 10 points from 4 games, while Jagiellonia are 6th with 9 points from 4 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Lech Poznan at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Jagiellonia at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.69 | 4.03 | 4.24, which imply roughly 59.2% for a Lech Poznan win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Ekstraklasa table: Lech Poznan are 2nd (10 pts, 8-3 goals), Jagiellonia 6th (9 pts, 8-5).
Over their last five matches, Lech Poznan averaged 2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Jagiellonia averaged 2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Lech Poznan or draw.
Lech Poznan vs Jagiellonia — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Legia Warszawa | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 2 |  Lech Poznan | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| 3 |  Wisla Krakow | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 |  GKS Katowice | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 |  Gornik Zabrze | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Jagiellonia | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 |
| 7 |  Pogon Szczecin | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 |  Korona Kielce | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 |  Zaglebie Lubin | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 |  Cracovia Krakow | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
| 11 |  Piast Gliwice | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| 12 |  Radomiak Radom | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| 13 |  Widzew Łódź | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 14 |  Slask Wroclaw | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 15 |  Motor Lublin | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 16 |  Wisla Plock | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 17 |  Wieczysta Kraków | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 18 |  Raków Częstochowa | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
1.78
X
3.88
2
4.10
Double chance
1X
1.19
X2
1.92
12
1.22
Both teams to score
Yes
1.55
No
2.25
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.15
Under 1.5
4.60
Over 2.5
1.57
Under 2.5
2.23
Over 3.5
2.40
Under 3.5
1.48
Over 3
1.92
Under 3
1.75
Over 4.5
4.40
Under 4.5
1.16
Draw no bet
1
1.33
2
2.95
Asian handicap
Home
1.34
Away
2.90
1st half
1
2.25
X
2.40
2
4.20
Corners 2-Way
Over 13.5
3.80
Under 13.5
1.18