Le Mans vs Toulouse• Ligue 1, France

#141.6:2.00-3FTToday · MMArena, Le Mans1.8:1.8#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.211XBX3.70BVC22.311XBMargin at best1.5%Books6Markets78Rating47 · 54 levelExp. goals L53.6

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 17:18 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	3.21	3.70	2.31	1.5%
Pinnacle	3.21	3.57	2.29	2.8%
Marathonbet	3.16	3.64	2.27	3.2%
Bet365	3.20	3.50	2.20	5.3%
BetVictor	3.00	3.70	2.20	5.8%
William Hill	3.00	3.40	2.20	8.2%
Best of all books	3.21	3.70	2.31	1.5%
Average	3.13	3.58	2.24	4.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Le MansToulouse

Last 10#14Table position#151.00Points per game1.005Form pts · last 551.6Goals for · last 51.82.0Goals against · last 51.847Attack rating5347Defence rating5345Form rating550H2H rating047Goals model5347Overall rating54

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 19:50 UTC

Le Mans

1W 5D 4L · goals 12:16 · per match 1.2 for, 1.6 against

10 Oct	A	Paris Saint Germain	1-3	L
2 Oct	A	Guingamp	1-2	L
19 Sep	H	Lorient	2-1	W
13 Sep	H	Lens	2-2	D
5 Sep	A	Nice	1-1	D
30 Aug	A	Rennes	2-3	L
22 Aug	H	Stade Brestois 29	2-2	D
15 Aug	H	Le Havre	0-1	L
8 Aug	A	Saumur	0-0	D
8 Aug	H	UNFP	1-1	D

Toulouse

2W 4D 4L · goals 15:18 · per match 1.5 for, 1.8 against

10 Oct	A	Monaco	2-2	D
3 Oct	H	PAU	2-3	L
19 Sep	H	Le Havre	3-2	W
12 Sep	A	Lorient	2-2	D
3 Sep	H	Lille	0-1	L
29 Aug	A	Stade Brestois 29	2-2	D
22 Aug	H	Lyon	0-2	L
15 Aug	H	Hamburger SV	1-2	L
31 Jul	H	Real Sociedad	2-1	W
25 Jul	H	Rodez	1-1	D

Head to head

No previous meetings between Le Mans and Toulouse on record.

Ligue 1 tableLigue 1updated 16 Oct 20:41 UTC

In the Ligue 1 table, Le Mans sit 14th with 6 points from 6 games, while Toulouse are 15th with 6 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	6	4	2	0	10:5	+5	14
2	Lille	6	4	1	1	9:4	+5	13
3	Rennes	6	4	1	1	12:10	+2	13
4	Lyon	6	3	2	1	11:4	+7	11
5	Paris FC	6	3	2	1	8:4	+4	11
6	Paris Saint Germain	6	3	2	1	11:8	+3	11
7	Stade Brestois 29	6	2	2	2	12:9	+3	8
8	Lorient	6	2	2	2	6:6	0	8
9	Nice	6	2	2	2	5:7	-2	8
10	Lens	6	2	1	3	11:10	+1	7
11	Strasbourg	6	2	1	3	11:12	-1	7
12	Angers	6	2	1	3	7:10	-3	7
13	Marseille	6	2	0	4	9:8	+1	6
14	Le Mans	6	1	3	2	10:12	-2	6
15	Toulouse	6	1	3	2	9:11	-2	6
16	Auxerre	6	2	0	4	8:16	-8	6
17	Estac Troyes	6	1	1	4	4:13	-9	4
18	Le Havre	6	0	2	4	4:8	-4	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg131%3.13X27%3.59243%2.25

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.91 → 3.11 +6.9%X3.46 → 3.62 +4.6%22.34 → 2.24 -4.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.70	2.34	1.6%
Pinnacle	1.69	2.27	3.2%
Marathonbet	1.65	2.27	4.7%
Bet365	1.57	2.38	5.7%
BetVictor	1.60	2.15	9.0%
Best of all books	1.70	2.38	0.8%
Average	1.64	2.28	4.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.55	2.40	6.2%
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
1xBet	1.51	2.42	7.5%
Marathonbet	1.51	2.39	8.1%
BetVictor	1.50	2.40	8.3%
Best of all books	1.55	2.50	4.5%
Average	1.51	2.42	7.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Le Mans 33%Draw 33%Toulouse 33%

The statistical model rated Le Mans at 33% to win, the draw at 33% and Toulouse at 33% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.13 | 3.59 | 2.25, which imply roughly 31.9% for a Le Mans win versus the model's 33%.

Form context from the Ligue 1 table: Le Mans are 14th (6 pts, 10-12 goals), Toulouse 15th (6 pts, 9-11).

Over their last five matches, Le Mans averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Toulouse averaged 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: No predictions available.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Le Mans

3-1-4-2

Coach: P. Videira

Goalkeeper

98N. Kocik

Defence

19D. Sidibé
17S. Yohou
5H. Voyer

Midfield

29L. Bretelle
18L. Buadés
23D. Traoré
10J. Vercruysse
76Y. Larouci

Attack

25D. Guèye
14L. Mafouta

Substitutes (9)

15N. Boissé
26R. Bamba
7B. Brahimi
22L. Calodat
13H. Diallo
20W. Harhouz
1E. Hatfout
8A. Lauray
9A. Rabillard

Toulouse

4-2-3-1

Coach: Jens Berthel Askou

Goalkeeper

16G. Restes

Defence

22R. Messali
3M. McKenzie
2R. Nicolaisen
12C. Tapé

Midfield

14N. Sigur
23C. Cásseres
8T. Jørgensen
20C. Tengstedt
15A. Dønnum

Attack

13J. Russell-Rowe

Substitutes (9)

6A. Vossah
18M. Amougou
1T. Collin
94I. Diallo
9S. Hidalgo
5S. Koumbassa
19D. Odogu
31N. Schmidt
7Julián Vignolo

Match Statistics

Le MansToulouse

0.85Expected Goals1.83

487Passes accurate446

7Shots insidebox9

4Shots outsidebox4

4Blocked Shots1

9Free Kicks15

1Shots on Goal5

2Goalkeeper Saves1

6Shots off Goal7

562Total passes525

11Total Shots13

2Yellow Cards1

2Corner Kicks2

0Offsides3

15Fouls9

0Red Cards0

53%Ball Possession47%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.13	3.59	2.25

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.66	1.37	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
2.20	1.61

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.51	2.42

1st half

1	X	2
3.51	2.33	2.75

2nd half

1	X	2
3.13	2.65	2.49

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.83	14.0	24.3
HT X	7.20	5.87	5.70
HT 2	29.0	13.8	3.43

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.11	16.1	1.80

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	15.0
1.5	1.17	4.68
2.5	1.64	2.28
3.5	2.50	1.51
4.5	4.48	1.17
5.5	8.50	1.03
6.5	15.0	1.03
7.5	29.0	1.01

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	–	12.0
1.25	1.09	6.37
1.75	1.22	4.09
2	1.28	3.54
2.25	1.48	2.70
2.75	1.81	2.02
3	2.03	1.77
3.25	2.27	1.60
3.75	2.95	1.36
4	3.76	1.24
4.25	4.09	1.17
4.75	5.50	1.08
5	7.70	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	3.02	1.37
-0.25	2.65	1.49
0	2.26	1.65
+0.25	1.88	1.91
+0.5	1.66	2.20
+0.75	1.48	2.57

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2	12.0	1.01
-1.75	8.45	1.03
-1.5	6.17	1.10
-1.25	5.74	1.12
-1	5.27	1.14
-0.75	3.72	1.26
+1	1.31	3.32
+1.25	1.25	3.67
+1.5	1.20	4.03
+1.75	1.13	5.17
+2	1.04	7.50
+2.5	1.01	8.30

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
3	1.35	3.07
3.5	1.64	2.18
4	2.10	1.75
4.5	2.17	1.67
5	3.27	1.31

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.05	6.18
6.5	1.14	4.13
7.5	1.31	2.90
8.5	1.61	2.17
9.5	2.04	1.71
10.5	2.56	1.41
11.5	3.35	1.22
12.5	4.64	1.11
13.5	6.35	1.05

16 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.07	5.05
7	1.17	3.52
7.75	1.33	2.76
8	1.42	2.59
8.25	1.49	2.38
8.75	1.70	2.08
9	1.83	1.96
9.25	1.87	1.79
9.75	2.11	1.56
10	2.31	1.53
10.25	2.48	1.42
10.75	2.83	1.28
11	2.88	1.27
11.25	3.34	1.20
12	3.87	1.14
13	5.05	1.07