Estac Troyes vs 
Marseille• Ligue 1, France
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 21:11 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.03 | 4.05 | 1.92 | 1.6% |
| Pinnacle | 3.78 | 3.99 | 1.93 | 3.3% |
| Dafabet | 3.75 | 3.90 | 1.94 | 3.9% |
| Marathonbet | 3.92 | 3.94 | 1.87 | 4.4% |
| Betfair | 3.80 | 4.00 | 1.87 | 4.8% |
| Betano | 3.75 | 3.80 | 1.93 | 4.8% |
| Bet365 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 1.91 | 5.7% |
| BetVictor | 3.50 | 3.75 | 1.85 | 9.3% |
| William Hill | 3.60 | 3.60 | 1.85 | 9.6% |
| SBO | 3.26 | 3.38 | 1.90 | 12.9% |
| Best of all books | 4.03 | 4.05 | 1.94 | 1.1% |
| Average | 3.71 | 3.82 | 1.90 | 5.8% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:04 UTC
Estac Troyes
3W 4D 3L · goals 16:17 · per match 1.6 for, 1.7 against
| 2 Oct | A | Dijon | 2-2 | D |
| 19 Sep | A | Angers | 0-2 | L |
| 13 Sep | A | Lille | 0-2 | L |
| 6 Sep | H | Strasbourg | 2-6 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | Lorient | 2-1 | W |
| 22 Aug | H | Paris FC | 0-0 | D |
| 14 Aug | H | Panetolikos | 1-1 | D |
| 8 Aug | A | Auxerre | 1-1 | D |
| 31 Jul | H | Chasselay MDA | 5-2 | W |
| 25 Jul | A | Grenoble | 3-0 | W |
Marseille
3W 0D 7L · goals 14:19 · per match 1.4 for, 1.9 against
| 20 Sep | H | Paris Saint Germain | 1-2 | L |
| 17 Sep | A | Beşiktaş | 1-4 | L |
| 11 Sep | A | Rennes | 0-1 | L |
| 6 Sep | H | Paris FC | 2-3 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | Monaco | 0-2 | L |
| 21 Aug | H | Strasbourg | 4-0 | W |
| 14 Aug | H | Atletico Madrid | 1-2 | L |
| 9 Aug | H | Athletic Club | 3-1 | W |
| 30 Jul | H | Nimes | 2-1 | W |
| 25 Jul | H | Nice | 0-3 | L |
Head to head
10 meetings · goals 8:22 · last 10: 1W 2D 7L for Estac Troyes
| 16 Apr 2023Ligue 1 | Ligue 1 | Marseille3-1Estac Troyes |
| 11 Jan 2023Ligue 1 | Ligue 1 | Estac Troyes0-2Marseille |
| 27 Feb 2022Ligue 1 | Ligue 1 | Estac Troyes1-1Marseille |
| 28 Nov 2021Ligue 1 | Ligue 1 | Marseille1-0Estac Troyes |
| 15 Apr 2018Ligue 1 | Ligue 1 | Estac Troyes2-3Marseille |
| 20 Dec 2017Ligue 1 | Ligue 1 | Marseille3-1Estac Troyes |
| 14 May 2016Ligue 1 | Ligue 1 | Estac Troyes1-1Marseille |
| 23 Aug 2015Ligue 1 | Ligue 1 | Marseille6-0Estac Troyes |
| 3 Mar 2013Ligue 1 | Ligue 1 | Marseille2-1Estac Troyes |
| 21 Oct 2012Ligue 1 | Ligue 1 | Estac Troyes1-0Marseille |
Ligue 1 tableLigue 1updated 9 Oct 22:50 UTC
In the Ligue 1 table, Estac Troyes sit 16th with 4 points from 5 games, while Marseille are 17th with 3 points from 5.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | +5 | 13 |
| 2 | Lyon | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:4 | +7 | 11 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:3 | +5 | 11 |
| 4 | Lille | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 | Rennes | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:9 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 | Paris Saint Germain | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:7 | +1 | 8 |
| 7 | Lens | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 | Angers | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | +1 | 7 |
| 9 | Strasbourg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Le Mans | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Auxerre | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:12 | -5 | 6 |
| 12 | Stade Brestois 29 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Lorient | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Toulouse | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Nice | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 | Estac Troyes | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:11 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 | Marseille | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7:8 | -1 | 3 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 2 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.3% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.65 | 2.45 | 1.4% |
| Pinnacle | 1.58 | 2.47 | 3.8% |
| Betano | 1.60 | 2.42 | 3.8% |
| Marathonbet | 1.60 | 2.38 | 4.5% |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 2.38 | 5.7% |
| Betfair | 1.57 | 2.38 | 5.7% |
| BetVictor | 1.54 | 2.26 | 9.2% |
| Best of all books | 1.65 | 2.47 | 1.1% |
| Average | 1.59 | 2.39 | 4.8% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.57 | 2.38 | 5.7% |
| Betano | 1.52 | 2.42 | 7.1% |
| Bet365 | 1.53 | 2.38 | 7.4% |
| Betfair | 1.53 | 2.38 | 7.4% |
| 1xBet | 1.53 | 2.36 | 7.7% |
| Marathonbet | 1.53 | 2.33 | 8.3% |
| BetVictor | 1.47 | 2.45 | 8.8% |
| Best of all books | 1.57 | 2.45 | 4.5% |
| Average | 1.53 | 2.39 | 7.5% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Estac Troyes at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Marseille at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.74 | 3.82 | 1.89, which imply roughly 26.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Ligue 1 table: Estac Troyes are 16th (4 pts, 4-11 goals), Marseille 17th (3 pts, 7-8).
Over their last five matches, Estac Troyes averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Marseille averaged 1.4 scored and 1.6 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Marseille.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.71 | 3.82 | 1.90 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.89 | 1.26 | 1.24 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 2.75 | 1.40 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.53 | 2.39 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.98 | 2.39 | 2.36 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.37 | 16.9 | 1.62 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.03 | 15.4 |
| 1.5 | 1.17 | 4.75 |
| 2.5 | 1.59 | 2.39 |
| 3.5 | 2.41 | 1.54 |
| 4.5 | 4.22 | 1.20 |
| 5.5 | 7.73 | 1.06 |
| 6.5 | 15.8 | 1.02 |
| 7.5 | 24.8 | 1.01 |
13 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.04 | 13.0 |
| 1.25 | 1.08 | 6.17 |
| 1.75 | 1.19 | 4.16 |
| 2 | 1.25 | 3.76 |
| 2.25 | 1.43 | 2.84 |
| 2.75 | 1.73 | 2.13 |
| 3 | 1.91 | 1.87 |
| 3.25 | 2.16 | 1.66 |
| 3.75 | 2.77 | 1.41 |
| 4 | 3.40 | 1.27 |
| 4.25 | 3.70 | 1.20 |
| 4.75 | 4.89 | 1.11 |
| 5 | 6.55 | 1.05 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.86 | 1.42 |
| +0.25 | 2.23 | 1.63 |
| +0.5 | 1.93 | 1.89 |
| +0.75 | 1.74 | 2.11 |
| +1 | 1.52 | 2.54 |
| +1.25 | 1.41 | 2.85 |
14 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13.0 | 1.01 |
| -1.5 | 7.30 | 1.04 |
| -1.25 | 6.90 | 1.05 |
| -1 | 6.70 | 1.07 |
| -0.75 | 4.60 | 1.16 |
| -0.5 | 3.63 | 1.27 |
| -0.25 | 3.32 | 1.32 |
| +1.5 | 1.33 | 3.19 |
| +1.75 | 1.23 | 3.75 |
| +2 | 1.13 | 5.20 |
| +2.25 | 1.11 | 5.55 |
| +2.5 | 1.10 | 5.89 |
| +3 | 1.01 | 12.0 |
| +3.5 | 1.02 | 11.0 |
Cards in match
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 1.14 | 5.10 |
| 2.5 | 1.39 | 2.85 |
| 3 | 1.69 | 2.16 |
| 3.5 | 1.88 | 1.85 |
| 4 | 2.54 | 1.50 |
| 4.5 | 2.84 | 1.40 |
| 5.5 | 3.95 | 1.22 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.01 | 14.0 |
| 3.5 | 1.02 | 11.3 |
| 4.5 | 1.03 | 7.44 |
| 5.5 | 1.09 | 5.37 |
| 6.5 | 1.22 | 3.54 |
| 7.5 | 1.46 | 2.52 |
| 8.5 | 1.84 | 1.91 |
| 9.5 | 2.31 | 1.55 |
| 10.5 | 3.12 | 1.29 |
| 11.5 | 4.27 | 1.15 |
| 12.5 | 5.88 | 1.07 |
| 13.5 | 8.95 | 1.02 |
| 14.5 | 11.3 | 1.02 |
| 15.5 | 13.0 | 1.01 |
17 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | 1.04 | 5.77 |
| 6 | 1.10 | 4.40 |
| 6.75 | 1.18 | 3.48 |
| 7 | 1.24 | 3.02 |
| 7.25 | 1.31 | 2.90 |
| 7.75 | 1.43 | 2.43 |
| 8 | 1.57 | 2.24 |
| 8.25 | 1.66 | 2.14 |
| 8.75 | 1.83 | 1.83 |
| 9 | 2.00 | 1.74 |
| 9.25 | 2.10 | 1.62 |
| 9.75 | 2.38 | 1.44 |
| 10 | 2.61 | 1.42 |
| 10.25 | 2.81 | 1.32 |
| 11 | 3.39 | 1.19 |
| 12 | 4.52 | 1.09 |
| 13 | 5.72 | 1.04 |