Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans• Ligue 1, France

#61.6:1.418:45Today · Parc des Princes, Paris1.8:1.8#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.11BTNX12.7PIN226.0MARMargin at best1.8%Books10Markets116Rating57 · 43Exp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 21:11 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.09	14.9	31.0	1.7%
Betano	1.11	10.8	32.0	2.5%
Betfair	1.10	12.0	23.0	3.6%
Dafabet	1.10	12.0	23.0	3.6%
Marathonbet	1.08	12.5	26.0	4.4%
Pinnacle	1.09	12.7	20.6	4.4%
Bet365	1.09	12.0	21.0	4.8%
William Hill	1.08	12.0	23.0	5.3%
BetVictor	1.06	10.0	22.0	8.9%
SBO	1.08	9.06	13.0	11.3%
Best of all books	1.11	12.7	26.0	1.8%
Average	1.09	11.8	23.5	4.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Paris Saint GermainLe Mans

Last 10#6Table position#101.60Points per game1.2010Form pts · last 551.6Goals for · last 51.81.4Goals against · last 51.847Attack rating5356Defence rating4457Form rating43100H2H rating036Goals model6457Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:51 UTC

Paris Saint Germain

4W 3D 3L · goals 17:14 · per match 1.7 for, 1.4 against

20 Sep	A	Marseille	2-1	W
13 Sep	A	Stade Brestois 29	1-0	W
9 Sep	H	Slovan Bratislava	6-1	W
4 Sep	H	Monaco	1-2	L
28 Aug	A	Lille	2-2	D
23 Aug	A	Rennes	2-2	D
16 Aug	A	Lens	0-1	L
12 Aug	H	Aston Villa	2-1	W
8 Aug	H	Manchester United	1-1	D
5 Aug	A	Mallorca	0-3	L

Le Mans

2W 5D 3L · goals 14:15 · per match 1.4 for, 1.5 against

2 Oct	A	Guingamp	1-2	L
19 Sep	H	Lorient	2-1	W
13 Sep	H	Lens	2-2	D
5 Sep	A	Nice	1-1	D
30 Aug	A	Rennes	2-3	L
22 Aug	H	Stade Brestois 29	2-2	D
15 Aug	H	Le Havre	0-1	L
8 Aug	A	Saumur	0-0	D
8 Aug	H	UNFP	1-1	D
1 Aug	A	Angers	3-2	W

Head to head

3Paris Saint Germain wins

0draws

0Le Mans wins

3 meetings · goals 10:1 · last 3: 3W 0D 0L for Paris Saint Germain

4 Feb 2025Coupe de France	Coupe de France	Le Mans0-2Paris Saint Germain
14 Jul 2021Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Paris Saint Germain4-0Le Mans
18 Dec 2019Coupe de la Ligue	Coupe de la Ligue	Le Mans1-4Paris Saint Germain

Ligue 1 tableLigue 1updated 9 Oct 22:50 UTC

In the Ligue 1 table, Paris Saint Germain sit 6th with 8 points from 5 games, while Le Mans are 10th with 6 points from 5.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8:3	+5	13
2	Lyon	6	3	2	1	11:4	+7	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8:3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8:4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8:9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8:7	+1	8
7	Lens	6	2	1	3	11:10	+1	7
8	Angers	5	2	1	2	6:5	+1	7
9	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10:10	0	7
10	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9:9	0	6
11	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7:12	-5	6
12	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7:8	-1	5
13	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5:6	-1	5
14	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7:9	-2	5
15	Nice	5	1	2	2	3:6	-3	5
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4:11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7:8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4:7	-3	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg188%1.09X8%11.824%23.5

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.07 → 1.09 +1.9%X12.5 → 11.8 -5.6%225.7 → 23.5 -8.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.25	4.05	4.7%
Bet365	1.25	4.00	5.0%
Betfair	1.22	4.20	5.8%
BetVictor	1.20	4.10	7.7%
1xBet	1.19	4.05	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.19	4.05	8.7%
Best of all books	1.25	4.20	3.8%
Average	1.22	4.08	6.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	2.05	1.75	5.9%
Betfair	2.05	1.73	6.6%
Bet365	2.00	1.75	7.1%
Betano	2.00	1.75	7.1%
1xBet	2.02	1.72	7.6%
Marathonbet	2.02	1.71	8.0%
BetVictor	2.05	1.67	8.7%
Best of all books	2.05	1.75	5.9%
Average	2.03	1.73	7.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Paris Saint Germain 45%Draw 45%Le Mans 10%

The statistical model rates Paris Saint Germain at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Le Mans at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.09 | 11.79 | 23.47, which imply roughly 91.7% for a Paris Saint Germain win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ligue 1 table: Paris Saint Germain are 6th (8 pts, 8-7 goals), Le Mans 10th (6 pts, 9-9).

Over their last five matches, Paris Saint Germain averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Le Mans averaged 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Paris Saint Germain or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.09	11.8	23.5

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.02	7.85	1.05

Draw no bet

1	2
1.02	15.2

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.03	1.73

1st half

1	X	2
1.32	3.82	13.6

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.16	42.5	5.06

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	28.2
1.5	1.04	8.98
2.5	1.22	4.08
3.5	1.61	2.30
4.5	2.37	1.58
5.5	3.80	1.23
6.5	6.84	1.09
7.5	11.8	1.03
8.5	20.2	1.01
9.5	41.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.02	8.50
2	1.03	8.00
2.25	1.11	5.26
2.75	1.23	3.73
3	1.30	3.30
3.25	1.46	2.66
3.75	1.74	2.10
4	1.92	1.86
4.25	2.14	1.71
4.75	2.62	1.44
5	3.14	1.30
5.25	3.28	1.27
5.75	3.79	1.19
6	5.55	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	2.60	1.46
-3.25	2.35	1.56
-3	2.15	1.68
-2.75	1.90	1.92
-2.5	1.74	2.09
-2.25	1.55	2.40

16 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-6	12.0	1.01
-5.5	7.20	1.03
-5	6.60	1.07
-4.75	5.02	1.13
-4.5	4.20	1.17
-4.25	3.91	1.21
-4	3.58	1.25
-3.75	3.00	1.35
-2	1.39	2.87
-1.75	1.32	3.16
-1.5	1.27	3.45
-1.25	1.17	4.39
-1	1.09	5.93
-0.75	1.10	7.00
-0.25	1.01	12.1
0	1.01	13.5

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	8.25
1.5	1.23	3.82
2.5	1.69	2.10
3.5	2.44	1.52
4.5	3.75	1.24
5.5	6.00	1.11
6.5	8.75	1.05
7.5	11.5	1.02
8.5	14.0	1.01

3 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.36	3.09
3	2.15	1.69
4	3.83	1.23

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.01	13.5
4.5	1.03	10.8
5.5	1.04	7.95
6.5	1.11	4.90
7.5	1.24	3.36
8.5	1.46	2.49
9.5	1.82	1.94
10.5	2.29	1.55
11.5	3.00	1.31
12.5	4.02	1.17
13.5	5.47	1.09
14.5	6.68	1.05
15.5	9.75	1.03
16.5	11.5	1.02
17.5	13.0	1.01

16 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.12	4.09
7.75	1.23	3.12
8	1.27	2.88
8.25	1.35	2.68
8.75	1.51	2.32
9	1.59	2.23
9.25	1.72	2.05
9.75	1.88	1.78
10	2.04	1.71
10.25	2.12	1.57
10.75	2.45	1.43
11	2.57	1.39
11.25	2.86	1.31
12	3.30	1.20
13	4.37	1.10
14	5.52	1.05