Monaco vs 
Toulouse• Ligue 1, France
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 21:11 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.64 | 4.47 | 5.44 | 1.7% |
| Betano | 1.65 | 4.40 | 5.30 | 2.2% |
| Pinnacle | 1.59 | 4.54 | 5.30 | 3.8% |
| Dafabet | 1.61 | 4.40 | 5.20 | 4.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.60 | 4.35 | 5.30 | 4.4% |
| Bet365 | 1.60 | 4.10 | 5.50 | 5.1% |
| Betfair | 1.60 | 4.40 | 5.00 | 5.2% |
| William Hill | 1.57 | 4.20 | 5.00 | 7.5% |
| BetVictor | 1.55 | 4.10 | 5.00 | 8.9% |
| SBO | 1.53 | 3.89 | 4.64 | 12.6% |
| Best of all books | 1.65 | 4.54 | 5.50 | 0.8% |
| Average | 1.59 | 4.29 | 5.17 | 5.4% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:51 UTC
Monaco
8W 1D 1L · goals 20:10 · per match 2.0 for, 1.0 against
| 3 Oct | H | Pisa | 2-0 | W |
| 18 Sep | H | Lens | 2-1 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Strasbourg | 1-1 | D |
| 4 Sep | A | Paris Saint Germain | 2-1 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | Marseille | 2-0 | W |
| 27 Aug | H | Gornik Zabrze | 4-1 | W |
| 23 Aug | A | Le Havre | 1-0 | W |
| 20 Aug | A | Gornik Zabrze | 3-2 | W |
| 14 Aug | A | Coventry | 0-2 | L |
| 9 Aug | A | Liverpool | 3-2 | W |
Toulouse
2W 4D 4L · goals 13:16 · per match 1.3 for, 1.6 against
| 3 Oct | H | PAU | 2-3 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Le Havre | 3-2 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Lorient | 2-2 | D |
| 3 Sep | H | Lille | 0-1 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | Stade Brestois 29 | 2-2 | D |
| 22 Aug | H | Lyon | 0-2 | L |
| 15 Aug | H | Hamburger SV | 1-2 | L |
| 31 Jul | H | Real Sociedad | 2-1 | W |
| 25 Jul | H | Rodez | 1-1 | D |
| 17 May | A | Nantes | 0-0 | D |
Head to head
23 meetings · goals 40:24 · last 10: 6W 2D 2L for Monaco
| 25 Apr 2026Ligue 1 | Ligue 1 | Toulouse2-2Monaco |
| 25 Oct 2025Ligue 1 | Ligue 1 | Monaco1-0Toulouse |
| 7 Mar 2025Ligue 1 | Ligue 1 | Toulouse1-1Monaco |
| 7 Dec 2024Ligue 1 | Ligue 1 | Monaco2-0Toulouse |
| 18 Feb 2024Ligue 1 | Ligue 1 | Monaco1-2Toulouse |
| 20 Dec 2023Ligue 1 | Ligue 1 | Toulouse1-2Monaco |
| 3 Jun 2023Ligue 1 | Ligue 1 | Monaco1-2Toulouse |
| 6 Nov 2022Ligue 1 | Ligue 1 | Toulouse0-2Monaco |
| 4 Dec 2019Ligue 1 | Ligue 1 | Toulouse1-2Monaco |
| 2 Feb 2019Ligue 1 | Ligue 1 | Monaco2-1Toulouse |
Ligue 1 tableLigue 1updated 9 Oct 22:50 UTC
In the Ligue 1 table, Monaco sit 1st with 13 points from 5 games, while Toulouse are 14th with 5 points from 5.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | +5 | 13 |
| 2 | Lyon | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:4 | +7 | 11 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:3 | +5 | 11 |
| 4 | Lille | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 | Rennes | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:9 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 | Paris Saint Germain | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:7 | +1 | 8 |
| 7 | Lens | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 | Angers | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | +1 | 7 |
| 9 | Strasbourg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Le Mans | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Auxerre | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:12 | -5 | 6 |
| 12 | Stade Brestois 29 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Lorient | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Toulouse | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Nice | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 | Estac Troyes | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:11 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 | Marseille | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7:8 | -1 | 3 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 2 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.2% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.65 | 2.45 | 1.4% |
| Pinnacle | 1.59 | 2.46 | 3.5% |
| Betano | 1.60 | 2.40 | 4.2% |
| Marathonbet | 1.60 | 2.38 | 4.5% |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 2.38 | 5.7% |
| Betfair | 1.53 | 2.45 | 6.2% |
| BetVictor | 1.54 | 2.27 | 9.0% |
| Best of all books | 1.65 | 2.46 | 1.3% |
| Average | 1.58 | 2.40 | 4.9% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.62 | 2.25 | 6.2% |
| Betfair | 1.57 | 2.30 | 7.2% |
| Bet365 | 1.62 | 2.20 | 7.2% |
| Betano | 1.62 | 2.20 | 7.2% |
| 1xBet | 1.62 | 2.19 | 7.4% |
| Marathonbet | 1.62 | 2.16 | 8.0% |
| BetVictor | 1.57 | 2.25 | 8.1% |
| Best of all books | 1.62 | 2.30 | 5.2% |
| Average | 1.61 | 2.22 | 7.3% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Monaco at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Toulouse at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.59 | 4.26 | 5.20, which imply roughly 62.9% for a Monaco win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Ligue 1 table: Monaco are 1st (13 pts, 8-3 goals), Toulouse 14th (5 pts, 7-9).
Over their last five matches, Monaco averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Toulouse averaged 1.4 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Monaco or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.59 | 4.28 | 5.17 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.16 | 2.32 | 1.21 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.22 | 3.89 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.61 | 2.22 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.07 | 2.43 | 4.95 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.49 | 17.5 | 2.73 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.03 | 15.3 |
| 1.5 | 1.16 | 4.86 |
| 2.5 | 1.58 | 2.40 |
| 3.5 | 2.40 | 1.54 |
| 4.5 | 4.28 | 1.19 |
| 5.5 | 8.10 | 1.05 |
| 6.5 | 14.9 | 1.02 |
| 7.5 | 24.8 | 1.01 |
13 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.03 | 13.0 |
| 1.25 | 1.06 | 6.73 |
| 1.75 | 1.18 | 4.31 |
| 2 | 1.24 | 3.78 |
| 2.25 | 1.43 | 2.86 |
| 2.75 | 1.73 | 2.13 |
| 3 | 1.91 | 1.87 |
| 3.25 | 2.16 | 1.66 |
| 3.75 | 2.80 | 1.40 |
| 4 | 3.47 | 1.26 |
| 4.25 | 3.84 | 1.18 |
| 4.75 | 5.25 | 1.09 |
| 5 | 7.30 | 1.03 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 2.56 | 1.51 |
| -1.25 | 2.27 | 1.63 |
| -1 | 1.98 | 1.85 |
| -0.75 | 1.72 | 2.10 |
| -0.5 | 1.58 | 2.38 |
| -0.25 | 1.40 | 2.87 |
13 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 9.45 | 1.04 |
| -3 | 8.60 | 1.01 |
| -2.75 | 5.88 | 1.09 |
| -2.5 | 4.68 | 1.15 |
| -2.25 | 4.22 | 1.19 |
| -2 | 3.94 | 1.22 |
| -1.75 | 3.10 | 1.37 |
| 0 | 1.22 | 3.98 |
| +0.25 | 1.18 | 4.37 |
| +0.5 | 1.16 | 5.25 |
| +0.75 | 1.08 | 6.85 |
| +1 | 1.03 | 10.0 |
| +1.5 | 1.02 | 10.3 |
Cards in match
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.03 | 10.3 |
| 1.5 | 1.14 | 5.20 |
| 2.5 | 1.40 | 2.83 |
| 3.5 | 1.89 | 1.86 |
| 4.5 | 2.87 | 1.39 |
| 5.5 | 4.10 | 1.21 |
| 6.5 | 6.20 | 1.10 |
| 7.5 | 9.00 | 1.04 |
| 8.5 | 11.3 | 1.02 |
2 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1.62 | 2.24 |
| 4 | 2.28 | 1.67 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | 1.01 | 14.0 |
| 4.5 | 1.02 | 11.3 |
| 5.5 | 1.03 | 8.40 |
| 6.5 | 1.10 | 5.14 |
| 7.5 | 1.22 | 3.48 |
| 8.5 | 1.44 | 2.55 |
| 9.5 | 1.76 | 1.98 |
| 10.5 | 2.24 | 1.58 |
| 11.5 | 2.91 | 1.33 |
| 12.5 | 3.92 | 1.18 |
| 13.5 | 5.33 | 1.10 |
| 14.5 | 6.07 | 1.08 |
| 15.5 | 7.24 | 1.06 |
| 16.5 | 11.5 | 1.02 |
| 17.5 | 13.0 | 1.01 |
18 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 1.11 | 4.19 |
| 7.75 | 1.20 | 3.24 |
| 8 | 1.25 | 2.95 |
| 8.25 | 1.33 | 2.75 |
| 8.75 | 1.47 | 2.32 |
| 9 | 1.56 | 2.25 |
| 9.25 | 1.66 | 2.04 |
| 9.75 | 1.90 | 1.84 |
| 10 | 2.01 | 1.79 |
| 10.25 | 2.13 | 1.60 |
| 10.75 | 2.42 | 1.44 |
| 11 | 2.50 | 1.41 |
| 11.25 | 2.82 | 1.32 |
| 12 | 3.20 | 1.21 |
| 13 | 4.25 | 1.11 |
| 14 | 5.42 | 1.05 |
| 15 | 4.82 | 1.08 |
| 16 | 5.10 | 1.06 |