Toulouse vs 
Le Havre• Ligue 1, France
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2
Average 1X2: 1.69 | 4.02 | 4.78. No per-bookmaker prices for this match.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:51 UTC
Toulouse
2W 4D 4L · goals 13:16 · per match 1.3 for, 1.6 against
| 3 Oct | H | PAU | 2-3 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Le Havre | 3-2 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Lorient | 2-2 | D |
| 3 Sep | H | Lille | 0-1 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | Stade Brestois 29 | 2-2 | D |
| 22 Aug | H | Lyon | 0-2 | L |
| 15 Aug | H | Hamburger SV | 1-2 | L |
| 31 Jul | H | Real Sociedad | 2-1 | W |
| 25 Jul | H | Rodez | 1-1 | D |
| 17 May | A | Nantes | 0-0 | D |
Le Havre
2W 3D 5L · goals 14:13 · per match 1.4 for, 1.3 against
| 2 Oct | H | Boulogne | 6-1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Toulouse | 2-3 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | Angers | 0-0 | D |
| 5 Sep | H | Stade Brestois 29 | 1-2 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | Lyon | 1-1 | D |
| 23 Aug | H | Monaco | 0-1 | L |
| 15 Aug | A | Le Mans | 1-0 | W |
| 8 Aug | A | Oviedo | 2-3 | L |
| 4 Aug | A | Ipswich | 0-1 | L |
| 31 Jul | H | Laval | 1-1 | D |
Head to head
10 meetings · goals 18:10 · last 10: 5W 2D 3L for Toulouse
| 15 Feb 2026Ligue 1 | Ligue 1 | Le Havre2-1Toulouse |
| 2 Nov 2025Ligue 1 | Ligue 1 | Toulouse0-0Le Havre |
| 23 Feb 2025Ligue 1 | Ligue 1 | Le Havre1-4Toulouse |
| 15 Sep 2024Ligue 1 | Ligue 1 | Toulouse2-0Le Havre |
| 10 Mar 2024Ligue 1 | Ligue 1 | Le Havre1-0Toulouse |
| 5 Nov 2023Ligue 1 | Ligue 1 | Toulouse1-2Le Havre |
| 21 Feb 2022Ligue 2 | Ligue 2 | Toulouse4-0Le Havre |
| 13 Sep 2021Ligue 2 | Ligue 2 | Le Havre1-1Toulouse |
| 4 May 2021Ligue 2 | Ligue 2 | Le Havre0-1Toulouse |
| 19 Dec 2020Ligue 2 | Ligue 2 | Toulouse4-3Le Havre |
Ligue 1 tableLigue 1updated 9 Oct 22:50 UTC
In the Ligue 1 table, Toulouse sit 14th with 5 points from 5 games, while Le Havre are 18th with 2 points from 5.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | +5 | 13 |
| 2 | Lyon | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:4 | +7 | 11 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:3 | +5 | 11 |
| 4 | Lille | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 | Rennes | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:9 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 | Paris Saint Germain | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:7 | +1 | 8 |
| 7 | Lens | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 | Angers | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | +1 | 7 |
| 9 | Strasbourg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Le Mans | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Auxerre | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:12 | -5 | 6 |
| 12 | Stade Brestois 29 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Lorient | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Toulouse | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Nice | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 | Estac Troyes | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:11 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 | Marseille | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7:8 | -1 | 3 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 2 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.0% margin.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Toulouse at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Le Havre at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.69 | 4.02 | 4.78, which imply roughly 59.2% for a Toulouse win versus the model's 35%.
Form context from the Ligue 1 table: Toulouse are 14th (5 pts, 7-9 goals), Le Havre 18th (2 pts, 4-7).
Over their last five matches, Toulouse averaged 1 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Le Havre averaged 0.5 scored and 1 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Toulouse or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Starting Lineups
Toulouse
4-2-3-1Coach: Jens Berthel Askou
Goalkeeper
- 16G. Restes
Defence
- 14N. Sigur
- 3M. McKenzie
- 5S. Koumbassa
- 12C. Tapé
Midfield
- 23C. Cásseres
- 20C. Tengstedt
- 22R. Messali
- 8T. Jørgensen
- 37Y. Azizi
Attack
- 13J. Russell-Rowe
Substitutes (9)
- 18M. Amougou
- 15A. Dønnum
- 9S. Hidalgo
- 60M. Niflore
- 19D. Odogu
- 11S. Oppong
- 31N. Schmidt
- 7Julián Vignolo
- 6A. Vossah
Le Havre
3-4-2-1Coach: D. Digard
Goalkeeper
- 93G. Gallon
Defence
- 23V. Sasso
- 15A. Seko
- 5A. Touba
Midfield
- 12E. Jelert
- 26S. Ebonog
- 7A. Richardson
- 20D. Ouziad
- 38R. Fofana
- 9J. Maja
Attack
- 25M. Samatta
Substitutes (9)
- 16A. Bodart
- 44I. Bouneb
- 17K. Mizuta
- 78D. Mosengo
- 6J. Mwanga
- 30S. Nakamura
- 14R. Ndiaye
- 27E. Koffi Vinette
- 97M. Ndiaye