Nice vs Lille• Ligue 1, France

#150.3:1.32-1FT20/09 · Allianz Riviera, Nice1.8:0.5#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.411XBX3.60BVC22.261XBMargin at best1.4%Books9Markets94Rating33 · 68Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Sep 21:34 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	3.78	3.60	2.12	1.4%
Pinnacle	3.72	3.51	2.08	3.4%
Marathonbet	3.68	3.50	2.06	4.3%
Betano	3.60	3.45	2.07	5.1%
Betfair	3.50	3.60	2.05	5.1%
Bet365	3.70	3.50	2.00	5.6%
William Hill	3.50	3.30	2.00	8.9%
BetVictor	3.50	3.40	1.95	9.3%
SBO	3.14	3.12	2.04	12.9%
Best of all books	3.78	3.60	2.12	1.4%
Average	3.57	3.44	2.04	6.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NiceLille

Last 10#15Table position#41.00Points per game2.005Form pts · last 590.3Goals for · last 51.81.3Goals against · last 50.513Attack rating8829Defence rating7117Form rating8350H2H rating500Goals model10033Overall rating68

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:04 UTC

Nice

3W 4D 3L · goals 10:8 · per match 1.0 for, 0.8 against

20 Sep	H	Lille	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Auxerre	0-1	L
5 Sep	H	Le Mans	1-1	D
30 Aug	A	Paris FC	0-3	L
22 Aug	H	Lorient	0-0	D
15 Aug	A	Hull City	0-0	D
8 Aug	A	Cagliari	0-0	D
31 Jul	A	Juventus	0-2	L
25 Jul	A	Marseille	3-0	W
18 Jul	H	Nimes	4-0	W

Lille

5W 3D 2L · goals 21:14 · per match 2.1 for, 1.4 against

2 Oct	H	Zulte Waregem	2-1	W
20 Sep	A	Nice	1-2	L
13 Sep	H	Estac Troyes	2-0	W
8 Sep	H	Real Betis	2-3	L
3 Sep	A	Toulouse	1-0	W
28 Aug	H	Paris Saint Germain	2-2	D
23 Aug	A	Angers	2-0	W
15 Aug	A	Everton	1-1	D
8 Aug	A	Hamburger SV	2-2	D
1 Aug	A	OH Leuven	6-3	W

Head to head

11Nice wins

15draws

6Lille wins

32 meetings · goals 41:35 · last 10: 4W 4D 2L for Nice

18 Apr 2026Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Lille0-0Nice
29 Oct 2025Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Nice2-0Lille
17 Jan 2025Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Lille2-1Nice
10 Nov 2024Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Nice2-2Lille
19 May 2024Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Lille2-2Nice
11 Aug 2023Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Nice1-1Lille
29 Jan 2023Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Nice1-0Lille
31 Aug 2022Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Lille1-2Nice
14 May 2022Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Nice1-3Lille
14 Aug 2021Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Lille0-4Nice

Ligue 1 tableLigue 1updated 9 Oct 22:50 UTC

In the Ligue 1 table, Nice sit 15th with 5 points from 5 games, while Lille are 4th with 10 points from 5.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8:3	+5	13
2	Lyon	6	3	2	1	11:4	+7	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8:3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8:4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8:9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8:7	+1	8
7	Lens	6	2	1	3	11:10	+1	7
8	Angers	5	2	1	2	6:5	+1	7
9	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10:10	0	7
10	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9:9	0	6
11	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7:12	-5	6
12	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7:8	-1	5
13	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5:6	-1	5
14	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7:9	-2	5
15	Nice	5	1	2	2	3:6	-3	5
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4:11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7:8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4:7	-3	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg129%3.26X27%3.46244%2.18

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.39 → 3.26 -3.8%X3.48 → 3.46 -0.6%22.13 → 2.18 +2.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.97	1.97	1.5%
Pinnacle	1.95	1.93	3.1%
Betano	1.93	1.91	4.2%
SBO	1.91	1.93	4.2%
Bet365	1.91	1.91	4.7%
Marathonbet	1.91	1.91	4.7%
Betfair	1.90	1.90	5.3%
BetVictor	1.84	1.83	9.0%
Best of all books	1.97	1.97	1.5%
Average	1.92	1.91	4.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Betfair	1.73	2.05	6.6%
Betano	1.72	2.05	6.9%
Bet365	1.75	2.00	7.1%
1xBet	1.72	2.02	7.6%
Marathonbet	1.72	2.00	8.1%
BetVictor	1.70	2.00	8.8%
Best of all books	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Average	1.73	2.02	7.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Nice 10%Draw 45%Lille 45%

The statistical model rated Nice at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Lille at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.26 | 3.46 | 2.18, which imply roughly 28.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ligue 1 table: Nice are 15th (5 pts, 3-6 goals), Lille 4th (10 pts, 8-4).

Over their last five matches, Nice averaged 0.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game; Lille averaged 1.8 scored and 0.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Lille and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Nice

3-4-2-1

Coach: O. Pantaloni

Goalkeeper

23Y. Diouf

Defence

5Mohamed Abdelmonem
55Y. Ndayishimiye
35X. Mandza Tsiendi

Midfield

92J. Clauss
39D. Coulibaly
28A. Witsel
27N. Nkounkou
7G. Hein
9M. Amoura

Attack

11E. Wahi

Substitutes (9)

87E. Pereira
36A. Seidu
2A. Abdi
6H. Boudaoui
77T. Boulhendi
10S. Diop
21I. Jansson
84H. Koutoune
29N. Ngoumou

Lille

4-2-3-1

Coach: Davide Ancelotti

Goalkeeper

1B. Özer

Defence

22Tiago Santos
3N. Ngoy
4Alexsandro Ribeiro
15R. Perraud

Midfield

21B. André
6N. Bentaleb
8E. Mbappé
10H. Haraldsson
19B. Önal

Attack

18A. Ueda

Substitutes (9)

26I. Cossier
12O. Gill
9O. Giroud
14M. Kjærgaard
17N. Mukau
28G. Perrin
11O. Sahraoui
24C. Verdonk
7D. Bakwa

Match Statistics

NiceLille

337Passes accurate471

7Shots insidebox15

3Shots outsidebox6

9Free Kicks16

4Shots on Goal8

7Goalkeeper Saves3

6Shots off Goal6

4Offsides1

394Total passes539

10Total Shots21

3Yellow Cards1

3Corner Kicks7

0Blocked Shots7

16Fouls9

0Red Cards0

41%Ball Possession59%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.57	3.44	2.04

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.77	1.28	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
2.57	1.46

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.73	2.02

1st half

1	X	2
4.04	2.16	2.59

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.36	11.3	1.72

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	10.5
1.5	1.28	3.52
2.5	1.92	1.91
3.5	3.17	1.33
4.5	6.25	1.09
5.5	12.1	1.04
6.5	22.5	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	9.13
1	1.02	8.50
1.25	1.13	4.77
1.75	1.35	3.11
2	1.44	2.71
2.25	1.69	2.19
2.75	2.14	1.69
3	2.55	1.49
3.25	2.86	1.39
3.75	3.87	1.19
4	5.30	1.10
4.25	5.65	1.08
5	10.0	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	3.13	1.37
0	2.66	1.49
+0.25	2.06	1.75
+0.5	1.80	2.03
+0.75	1.58	2.34
+1	1.38	2.97

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	13.0	1.01
-1.5	7.97	1.04
-1.25	7.48	1.06
-1	7.13	1.07
-0.75	4.57	1.18
-0.5	3.52	1.29
+1.25	1.30	3.39
+1.5	1.24	3.73
+1.75	1.14	4.71
+2	1.06	7.00
+2.25	1.05	7.33
+2.5	1.03	8.17
+3.5	1.01	13.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	11.3
1.5	1.10	6.20
2.5	1.29	3.40
3.5	1.72	2.06
4.5	2.43	1.53
5.5	3.25	1.31
6.5	4.80	1.16
7.5	7.00	1.08
8.5	9.50	1.04

3 more lines

Line	Over	Under
3	1.41	2.83
4	2.03	1.77
5	3.38	1.29

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.01	13.5
4.5	1.03	10.8
5.5	1.03	8.13
6.5	1.12	4.87
7.5	1.25	3.35
8.5	1.47	2.47
9.5	1.84	1.92
10.5	2.30	1.54
11.5	3.06	1.30
12.5	4.12	1.16
13.5	5.62	1.08
14.5	8.00	1.06
15.5	10.0	1.03
16.5	12.0	1.02
17.5	13.5	1.01

17 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.05	5.52
7	1.13	3.97
7.75	1.22	3.10
8	1.28	2.80
8.25	1.36	2.69
8.75	1.52	2.29
9	1.61	2.19
9.25	1.74	2.02
9.75	1.96	1.79
10	2.04	1.74
10.25	2.15	1.55
10.75	2.50	1.40
11	2.65	1.36
11.25	2.91	1.31
12	3.40	1.19
13	4.50	1.09
14	5.65	1.04