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Le Mans vs Lorient• Ligue 1, France

#101.8:2.02-1FT19/09 · MMArena, Le Mans1.0:1.0#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.80AVGX3.29AVG22.55AVGMargin5.3%Rating40 · 61Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2

Average 1X2: 2.80 | 3.29 | 2.55. No per-bookmaker prices for this match.

Team comparison

Le MansLorient
Last 10#10Table position#131.20Points per game1.005Form pts · last 551.8Goals for · last 51.02.0Goals against · last 51.064Attack rating3633Defence rating6738Form rating6325H2H rating750Goals model10040Overall rating61

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:51 UTC

Le Mans

2W 5D 3L · goals 14:15 · per match 1.4 for, 1.5 against

2 OctAGuingamp1-2L
19 SepHLorient2-1W
13 SepHLens2-2D
5 SepANice1-1D
30 AugARennes2-3L
22 AugHStade Brestois 292-2D
15 AugHLe Havre0-1L
8 AugASaumur0-0D
8 AugHUNFP1-1D
1 AugAAngers3-2W

Lorient

4W 2D 4L · goals 15:13 · per match 1.5 for, 1.3 against

19 SepALe Mans1-2L
12 SepHToulouse2-2D
5 SepALens1-0W
29 AugHEstac Troyes1-2L
22 AugANice0-0D
15 AugASV Elversberg1-4L
8 AugAAngers1-2L
4 AugHUNFP5-1W
25 JulAGuingamp2-0W
18 JulHNantes1-0W

Head to head

1Le Mans wins
0draws
3Lorient wins

4 meetings · goals 5:8 · last 4: 1W 0D 3L for Le Mans

4 Feb 2020Ligue 2Ligue 2Lorient4-2Le Mans
23 Aug 2019Ligue 2Ligue 2Le Mans1-2Lorient
13 Aug 2019Coupe de la LigueCoupe de la LigueLorient1-2Le Mans
11 Jan 2012Coupe de la LigueCoupe de la LigueLe Mans0-1Lorient

Ligue 1 tableLigue 1updated 9 Oct 22:50 UTC

In the Ligue 1 table, Le Mans sit 10th with 6 points from 5 games, while Lorient are 13th with 5 points from 5.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Monaco54108:3+513
2Lyon632111:4+711
3Paris FC53208:3+511
4Lille53118:4+410
5Rennes53118:9-110
6Paris Saint Germain52218:7+18
7Lens621311:10+17
8Angers52126:5+17
9Strasbourg521210:1007
10Le Mans51319:906
11Auxerre52037:12-56
12Stade Brestois 2951227:8-15
13Lorient51225:6-15
14Toulouse51227:9-25
15Nice51223:6-35
16Estac Troyes51134:11-74
17Marseille51047:8-13
18Le Havre50234:7-32

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg134%2.80X29%3.29237%2.55

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.3% margin.

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Le Mans 10%Draw 45%Lorient 45%

The statistical model rated Le Mans at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Lorient at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.80 | 3.29 | 2.55, which imply roughly 30.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ligue 1 table: Le Mans are 10th (6 pts, 9-9 goals), Lorient 13th (5 pts, 5-6).

Over their last five matches, Le Mans averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Lorient averaged 1 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Lorient.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Le Mans

3-1-4-2

Coach: P. Videira

Goalkeeper

  • 98N. Kocik

Defence

  • 19D. Sidibé
  • 17S. Yohou
  • 5H. Voyer

Midfield

  • 29L. Bretelle
  • 26R. Bamba
  • 10J. Vercruysse
  • 11A. Bourabaa
  • 76Y. Larouci

Attack

  • 14L. Mafouta
  • 13H. Diallo
Substitutes (9)
  • 23D. Traoré
  • 16Raúl Torrente
  • 9A. Rabillard
  • 8A. Lauray
  • 1E. Hatfout
  • 25D. Guèye
  • 22L. Calodat
  • 7B. Brahimi
  • 15N. Boissé

Lorient

3-4-2-1

Coach: A. Dujeux

Goalkeeper

  • 38Y. Mvogo

Defence

  • 20D. Sylla
  • 3M. Talbi
  • 32N. Adjei

Midfield

  • 77P. Katseris
  • 8N. Cadiou
  • 62A. Avom
  • 43K. Kouassi
  • 33G. Bernardeau
  • 17J. Makengo

Attack

  • 18I. Baldé
Substitutes (9)
  • 95S. Touré
  • 55N. Obaretin
  • 11T. Le Bris
  • 30S. Kuzmić
  • 42M. Kone
  • 21B. Kamara
  • 10I. Jensen
  • 2A. Georgen
  • 19S. Faye

Match Statistics

Le MansLorient
385Passes accurate365
6Shots insidebox6
5Shots outsidebox3
1Blocked Shots1
14Free Kicks14
7Shots on Goal2
1Goalkeeper Saves5
3Shots off Goal6
475Total passes448
11Total Shots9
3Yellow Cards3
1Corner Kicks3
0Offsides1
15Fouls15
0Red Cards0
51%Ball Possession49%