Le Mans vs
Lorient• Ligue 1, France
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2
Average 1X2: 2.80 | 3.29 | 2.55. No per-bookmaker prices for this match.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:51 UTC
Le Mans
2W 5D 3L · goals 14:15 · per match 1.4 for, 1.5 against
| 2 Oct | A | Guingamp | 1-2 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Lorient | 2-1 | W |
| 13 Sep | H | Lens | 2-2 | D |
| 5 Sep | A | Nice | 1-1 | D |
| 30 Aug | A | Rennes | 2-3 | L |
| 22 Aug | H | Stade Brestois 29 | 2-2 | D |
| 15 Aug | H | Le Havre | 0-1 | L |
| 8 Aug | A | Saumur | 0-0 | D |
| 8 Aug | H | UNFP | 1-1 | D |
| 1 Aug | A | Angers | 3-2 | W |
Lorient
4W 2D 4L · goals 15:13 · per match 1.5 for, 1.3 against
| 19 Sep | A | Le Mans | 1-2 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | Toulouse | 2-2 | D |
| 5 Sep | A | Lens | 1-0 | W |
| 29 Aug | H | Estac Troyes | 1-2 | L |
| 22 Aug | A | Nice | 0-0 | D |
| 15 Aug | A | SV Elversberg | 1-4 | L |
| 8 Aug | A | Angers | 1-2 | L |
| 4 Aug | H | UNFP | 5-1 | W |
| 25 Jul | A | Guingamp | 2-0 | W |
| 18 Jul | H | Nantes | 1-0 | W |
Head to head
4 meetings · goals 5:8 · last 4: 1W 0D 3L for Le Mans
| 4 Feb 2020Ligue 2 | Ligue 2 | Lorient4-2Le Mans |
| 23 Aug 2019Ligue 2 | Ligue 2 | Le Mans1-2Lorient |
| 13 Aug 2019Coupe de la Ligue | Coupe de la Ligue | Lorient1-2Le Mans |
| 11 Jan 2012Coupe de la Ligue | Coupe de la Ligue | Le Mans0-1Lorient |
Ligue 1 tableLigue 1updated 9 Oct 22:50 UTC
In the Ligue 1 table, Le Mans sit 10th with 6 points from 5 games, while Lorient are 13th with 5 points from 5.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | +5 | 13 |
| 2 | Lyon | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:4 | +7 | 11 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:3 | +5 | 11 |
| 4 | Lille | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 | Rennes | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:9 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 | Paris Saint Germain | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:7 | +1 | 8 |
| 7 | Lens | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 | Angers | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | +1 | 7 |
| 9 | Strasbourg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Le Mans | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Auxerre | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:12 | -5 | 6 |
| 12 | Stade Brestois 29 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Lorient | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Toulouse | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Nice | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 | Estac Troyes | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:11 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 | Marseille | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7:8 | -1 | 3 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 2 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.3% margin.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Le Mans at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Lorient at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.80 | 3.29 | 2.55, which imply roughly 30.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Ligue 1 table: Le Mans are 10th (6 pts, 9-9 goals), Lorient 13th (5 pts, 5-6).
Over their last five matches, Le Mans averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Lorient averaged 1 scored and 1 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Lorient.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Starting Lineups
Le Mans
3-1-4-2Coach: P. Videira
Goalkeeper
- 98N. Kocik
Defence
- 19D. Sidibé
- 17S. Yohou
- 5H. Voyer
Midfield
- 29L. Bretelle
- 26R. Bamba
- 10J. Vercruysse
- 11A. Bourabaa
- 76Y. Larouci
Attack
- 14L. Mafouta
- 13H. Diallo
Substitutes (9)
- 23D. Traoré
- 16Raúl Torrente
- 9A. Rabillard
- 8A. Lauray
- 1E. Hatfout
- 25D. Guèye
- 22L. Calodat
- 7B. Brahimi
- 15N. Boissé
Lorient
3-4-2-1Coach: A. Dujeux
Goalkeeper
- 38Y. Mvogo
Defence
- 20D. Sylla
- 3M. Talbi
- 32N. Adjei
Midfield
- 77P. Katseris
- 8N. Cadiou
- 62A. Avom
- 43K. Kouassi
- 33G. Bernardeau
- 17J. Makengo
Attack
- 18I. Baldé
Substitutes (9)
- 95S. Touré
- 55N. Obaretin
- 11T. Le Bris
- 30S. Kuzmić
- 42M. Kone
- 21B. Kamara
- 10I. Jensen
- 2A. Georgen
- 19S. Faye