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Angers vs Estac Troyes• Ligue 1, France

#71.0:1.32-0FT19/09 · Stade Raymond Kopa, Angers1.0:2.3#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.09AVGX3.43AVG23.50AVGMargin5.6%Rating55 · 45Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2

Average 1X2: 2.09 | 3.43 | 3.50. No per-bookmaker prices for this match.

Team comparison

AngersEstac Troyes
Last 10#7Table position#161.40Points per game0.807Form pts · last 541.0Goals for · last 51.01.3Goals against · last 52.350Attack rating5064Defence rating3650Form rating5080H2H rating2027Goals model7355Overall rating45

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 13:41 UTC

Angers

6W 1D 3L · goals 18:13 · per match 1.8 for, 1.3 against

19 SepHEstac Troyes2-0W
12 SepALe Havre0-0D
6 SepHRennes1-2L
29 AugAAuxerre3-1W
23 AugHLille0-2L
15 AugHParis FC3-2W
8 AugHLorient2-1W
1 AugHLe Mans2-3L
25 JulHCreteil2-1W
22 JulHLes Herbiers3-1W

Estac Troyes

3W 4D 3L · goals 16:17 · per match 1.6 for, 1.7 against

2 OctADijon2-2D
19 SepAAngers0-2L
13 SepALille0-2L
6 SepHStrasbourg2-6L
29 AugALorient2-1W
22 AugHParis FC0-0D
14 AugHPanetolikos1-1D
8 AugAAuxerre1-1D
31 JulHChasselay MDA5-2W
25 JulAGrenoble3-0W

Head to head

10Angers wins
3draws
6Estac Troyes wins

19 meetings · goals 33:27 · last 10: 7W 1D 2L for Angers

20 Apr 2024Ligue 2Ligue 2Angers2-1Estac Troyes
16 Dec 2023Ligue 2Ligue 2Estac Troyes1-4Angers
27 May 2023Ligue 1Ligue 1Angers2-1Estac Troyes
28 Aug 2022Ligue 1Ligue 1Estac Troyes3-1Angers
23 Jan 2022Ligue 1Ligue 1Angers2-1Estac Troyes
26 Sep 2021Ligue 1Ligue 1Estac Troyes1-1Angers
24 Jul 2021Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsAngers3-0Estac Troyes
17 Jan 2018Ligue 1Ligue 1Angers3-1Estac Troyes
25 Nov 2017Ligue 1Ligue 1Estac Troyes3-0Angers
2 Apr 2016Ligue 1Ligue 1Estac Troyes0-1Angers

Ligue 1 tableLigue 1updated 9 Oct 00:21 UTC

In the Ligue 1 table, Angers sit 7th with 7 points from 5 games, while Estac Troyes are 16th with 4 points from 5.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Monaco54108:3+513
2Lyon532010:2+811
3Paris FC53208:3+511
4Lille53118:4+410
5Rennes53118:9-110
6Paris Saint Germain52218:7+18
7Angers52126:5+17
8Strasbourg521210:1007
9Le Mans51319:906
10Auxerre52037:12-56
11Stade Brestois 2951227:8-15
12Lorient51225:6-15
13Toulouse51227:9-25
14Nice51223:6-35
15Lens51139:904
16Estac Troyes51134:11-74
17Marseille51047:8-13
18Le Havre50234:7-32

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg145%2.09X28%3.43227%3.50

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.6% margin.

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Angers 45%Draw 45%Estac Troyes 10%

The statistical model rated Angers at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Estac Troyes at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.09 | 3.43 | 3.50, which imply roughly 47.8% for a Angers win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ligue 1 table: Angers are 7th (7 pts, 6-5 goals), Estac Troyes 16th (4 pts, 4-11).

Over their last five matches, Angers averaged 1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game; Estac Troyes averaged 1 scored and 2.3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Angers or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Angers

4-2-3-1

Coach: S. Gilli

Goalkeeper

  • 1Anthony Lopes

Defence

  • 2C. Arcus
  • 4O. Camara
  • 21J. Lefort
  • 17J. Kalulu

Midfield

  • 14Y. Belkhdim
  • 8B. van den Boomen
  • 18J. Allevinah
  • 19A. El Ouazzani
  • 10A. Sbaï

Attack

  • 9P. Peter
Substitutes (9)
  • 93H. Belkebla
  • 26A. Bermont
  • 24E. Biumla
  • 36Bane Diatta
  • 11Djibirin Harouna
  • 20Marius Louër
  • 27L. Rao-Lisoa
  • 7U. Simbakoli
  • 16M. Zinga

Estac Troyes

4-2-3-1

Coach: S. Dumont

Goalkeeper

  • 33P. Beach

Defence

  • 31Noah Donkor
  • 6A. Monfray
  • 4M. Diaz
  • 3A. Ouzenadji

Midfield

  • 8M. Diop
  • 29D. Karim
  • 23T. Nkada
  • 17A. Mille
  • 11I. Gomis

Attack

  • 9J. Le Douaron
Substitutes (9)
  • 7K. Diawara
  • 40H. Konaté
  • 39Y. Kone
  • 2L. Maronnier
  • 22H. Picard
  • 20R. Ripart
  • 36I. Soukouna
  • 41Enisio Carneiro
  • 34Lassana Simakha

Match Statistics

AngersEstac Troyes
427Passes accurate237
8Shots insidebox13
4Shots outsidebox6
2Blocked Shots5
13Free Kicks13
3Shots on Goal3
3Goalkeeper Saves1
7Shots off Goal11
3Offsides3
495Total passes305
12Total Shots19
3Yellow Cards2
2Corner Kicks11
14Fouls15
0Red Cards0
61%Ball Possession39%