Lille1st10 pts
Estac Troyes11th4 pts
Lille1st10 pts
Estac Troyes11th4 ptsIn the Ligue 1 table, Lille sit 1st with 10 points from 4 games, while Estac Troyes are 11th with 4 points from 4 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Lille at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Estac Troyes at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.42 | 4.71 | 7.15, which imply roughly 70.4% for a Lille win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Ligue 1 table: Lille are 1st (10 pts, 7-2 goals), Estac Troyes 11th (4 pts, 4-9).
Over their last five matches, Lille averaged 1.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game; Estac Troyes averaged 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Lille or draw.
Lille vs Estac Troyes — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lille | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| 2 |  Monaco | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| 3 |  Rennes | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| 4 |  Lyon | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 5 |  Paris FC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 6 |  Strasbourg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 |  Lorient | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 9 |  Lens | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 10 |  Angers | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 11 |  Estac Troyes | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 12 |  Marseille | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 13 |  Le Mans | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 15 |  Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| 16 |  Le Havre | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 17 |  Toulouse | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 18 |  Nice | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Starting Lineups
Lille
4-2-3-1Coach: Davide Ancelotti
Goalkeeper
- 1B. Özer
Defence
- 22Tiago Santos
- 3N. Ngoy
- 4Alexsandro Ribeiro
- 15R. Perraud
Midfield
- 17N. Mukau
- 6N. Bentaleb
- 7D. Bakwa
- 10H. Haraldsson
- 19B. Önal
Attack
- 18A. Ueda
Substitutes (9)
- 21B. André
- 12O. Gill
- 9O. Giroud
- 14M. Kjærgaard
- 8E. Mbappé
- 23T. Nianzou
- 28G. Perrin
- 11O. Sahraoui
- 24C. Verdonk
Estac Troyes
4-2-3-1Coach: S. Dumont
Goalkeeper
- 33P. Beach
Defence
- 2L. Maronnier
- 6A. Monfray
- 4M. Diaz
- 3A. Ouzenadji
Midfield
- 17A. Mille
- 8M. Diop
- 7K. Diawara
- 29D. Karim
- 22H. Picard
Attack
- 9J. Le Douaron
Substitutes (9)
- 36I. Soukouna
- 41Enisio Carneiro
- 31Noah Donkor
- 11I. Gomis
- 40H. Konaté
- 39Y. Kone
- 23T. Nkada
- 20R. Ripart
- 34Lassana Simakha
Match Statistics
Betting Odds
Full time
1
1.43
X
4.57
2
7.04
Double chance
1X
1.10
X2
2.77
12
1.18
Both teams to score
Yes
1.86
No
1.88
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.21
Under 1.5
4.15
Over 2.5
1.69
Under 2.5
2.18
Over 3.5
2.71
Under 3.5
1.44
Over 0.5
1.04
Under 0.5
12.79
Over 4.5
4.84
Under 4.5
1.16
Over 7.5
41.00
Over 5.5
9.18
Under 5.5
1.04
Over 6.5
17.17
Under 6.5
1.02
Over 1.75
1.26
Under 1.75
3.60
Over 2
1.33
Under 2
3.21
Over 2.25
1.52
Under 2.25
2.55
Over 2.75
1.88
Under 2.75
1.94
Under 0.75
10.25
Under 1
9.80
Over 1.25
1.10
Under 1.25
5.52
Over 3
2.15
Under 3
1.68
Over 3.25
2.40
Under 3.25
1.54
Over 3.75
3.16
Under 3.75
1.32
Over 4
3.95
Under 4
1.18
Over 4.25
4.25
Under 4.25
1.15
Over 4.75
5.65
Under 4.75
1.08
Over 5
7.80
Under 5
1.02
Draw no bet
1
1.13
2
5.45
Asian handicap
Away 3.75
1.04
1st half
1
1.90
X
2.43
2
6.47
First team to score
Home
1.39
No Goal
14.00
Away
3.28
Corners 2-Way
Over 15.5
10.50
Under 15.5
1.03
Cards in match
Over 6.5
6.20
Under 6.5
1.10