Toulouse16th1 pts
Lille3rd4 pts
Toulouse16th1 pts
Lille3rd4 ptsIn the Ligue 1 table, Toulouse sit 16th with 1 points from 2 games, while Lille are 3rd with 4 points from 2 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Toulouse at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Lille at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.61 | 3.35 | 2.09, which imply roughly 29.9% for the draw versus the model's 50%.
Form context from the Ligue 1 table: Toulouse are 16th (1 pts, 2-4 goals), Lille 3rd (4 pts, 4-2).
Over their last five matches, Toulouse averaged 1 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Lille averaged 2 scored and 1 conceded.
Statistical advice: Winner : Lille.
Toulouse vs Lille — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Monaco | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 |  Paris FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 |  Lille | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 |  Lyon | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 |  Estac Troyes | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 |  Lens | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 |  Marseille | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 |  Angers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 |  Strasbourg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 |  Paris Saint Germain | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 13 |  Le Mans | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 14 |  Lorient | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 |  Le Havre | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 16 |  Toulouse | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 17 |  Nice | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 18 |  Auxerre | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
3.35
X
3.30
2
2.19
Double chance
1X
1.67
X2
1.31
12
1.31
Both teams to score
Yes
1.79
No
1.95
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.33
Under 1.5
3.24
Over 2.5
2.04
Under 2.5
1.79
Over 3.5
3.55
Under 3.5
1.28
Over 0.5
1.05
Under 0.5
8.83
Over 4.5
7.17
Under 4.5
1.08
Over 5.5
14.08
Under 5.5
1.03
Over 6.5
27.38
Under 6.5
1.01
Over 1.75
1.41
Under 1.75
2.86
Over 2
1.53
Under 2
2.48
Over 2.25
1.79
Under 2.25
2.03
Over 2.75
2.33
Under 2.75
1.61
Over 0.75
1.04
Under 0.75
8.05
Over 1
1.05
Under 1
7.40
Over 1.25
1.20
Under 1.25
4.21
Over 3
2.83
Under 3
1.42
Over 3.25
3.16
Under 3.25
1.34
Over 3.75
4.31
Under 3.75
1.17
Over 4
6.00
Under 4
1.09
Over 4.25
6.33
Under 4.25
1.07
Over 5
11.50
Under 5
1.01
Draw no bet
1
2.40
2
1.53
Asian handicap
Home -2.5
15.50
Away -2.5
9.02
1st half
1
3.89
X
2.09
2
2.77
Cards in match
Over 2.5
1.17
Under 2.5
4.15
Corners 2-Way
Over 15.5
10.28
Under 15.5
1.04
First team to score
Home
2.32
No Goal
8.67
Away
1.81