Sochaux vs Boulogne• Ligue 2, France

#80.8:0.41-1FTToday · Stade Bonal, Montbeliard0.6:0.8#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.42BTNX3.25BFR23.22PINMargin at best3.1%Books10Markets73Rating66 · 34Exp. goals L51.3

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 13:02 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.41	3.19	3.22	3.9%
Betano	2.42	3.20	3.10	4.8%
Dafabet	2.40	3.15	3.15	5.2%
BetVictor	2.30	3.20	3.13	6.7%
1xBet	2.31	3.18	3.10	7.0%
Betfair	2.25	3.25	3.10	7.5%
Marathonbet	2.29	3.18	3.08	7.6%
Bet365	2.25	3.00	3.00	11.1%
William Hill	2.30	2.90	3.00	11.3%
SBO	2.30	2.88	2.87	13.0%
Best of all books	2.42	3.25	3.22	3.1%
Average	2.32	3.11	3.08	7.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SochauxBoulogne

Last 10#8Table position#161.38Points per game0.759Form pts · last 530.8Goals for · last 50.60.4Goals against · last 50.857Attack rating4367Defence rating3369Form rating3180H2H rating20100Goals model066Overall rating34

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:51 UTC

Sochaux

3W 5D 2L · goals 7:10 · per match 0.7 for, 1.0 against

2 Oct	H	Neuchatel Xamax FC	2-1	W
18 Sep	A	Laval	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Nantes	1-0	W
4 Sep	A	PAU	1-1	D
28 Aug	A	Clermont Foot	0-0	D
21 Aug	H	Guingamp	1-0	W
14 Aug	A	RED Star FC 93	0-0	D
8 Aug	H	Saint Etienne	0-3	L
1 Aug	H	Auxerre	1-1	D
25 Jul	H	Dijon	0-3	L

Boulogne

0W 6D 4L · goals 5:13 · per match 0.5 for, 1.3 against

2 Oct	A	Le Havre	1-6	L
19 Sep	H	Nantes	1-2	L
11 Sep	A	Clermont Foot	0-0	D
4 Sep	H	Dijon	1-1	D
28 Aug	A	Montpellier	0-0	D
21 Aug	H	RED Star FC 93	1-1	D
14 Aug	A	Guingamp	0-1	L
8 Aug	H	Nancy	0-0	D
31 Jul	A	Valenciennes	1-1	D
25 Jul	H	Rouen	0-1	L

Head to head

1Sochaux wins

1draws

0Boulogne wins

2 meetings · goals 4:3 · last 2: 1W 1D 0L for Sochaux

2 May 2025Ligue 3	Ligue 3	Boulogne2-3Sochaux
10 Jan 2025Ligue 3	Ligue 3	Sochaux1-1Boulogne

Ligue 2 tableLigue 2updated 9 Oct 22:10 UTC

In the Ligue 2 table, Sochaux sit 8th with 11 points from 8 games, while Boulogne are 16th with 6 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Saint Etienne	7	5	1	1	19:8	+11	16
2	Montpellier	8	4	3	1	8:5	+3	15
3	RED Star FC 93	7	4	2	1	9:7	+2	14
4	Reims	7	3	4	0	15:9	+6	13
5	Nancy	8	4	1	3	9:7	+2	13
6	Annecy	8	4	1	3	10:9	+1	13
7	PAU	8	3	2	3	9:8	+1	11
8	Sochaux	8	2	5	1	5:6	-1	11
9	Metz	7	2	4	1	10:7	+3	10
10	Dijon	7	2	3	2	10:10	0	9
11	Guingamp	8	2	2	4	10:13	-3	8
12	Dunkerque	8	2	2	4	10:13	-3	8
13	Grenoble	8	2	2	4	8:13	-5	8
14	Rodez	7	2	1	4	14:16	-2	7
15	Nantes	7	2	1	4	9:13	-4	7
16	Boulogne	8	0	6	2	4:6	-2	6
17	Clermont Foot	7	0	6	1	4:6	-2	6
18	Laval	8	1	2	5	10:17	-7	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg139%2.35X31%3.01230%3.10

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.20 → 2.32 +5.5%X3.12 → 3.11 -0.3%23.25 → 3.08 -5.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.34	1.64	3.7%
Betano	2.27	1.67	3.9%
SBO	2.35	1.58	5.8%
Betfair	2.30	1.60	6.0%
Bet365	2.25	1.62	6.2%
1xBet	2.25	1.60	6.9%
Marathonbet	2.25	1.60	6.9%
BetVictor	2.17	1.59	9.0%
Best of all books	2.35	1.67	2.4%
Average	2.27	1.61	6.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Betano	1.91	1.83	7.0%
Bet365	1.91	1.80	7.9%
1xBet	1.90	1.80	8.2%
BetVictor	1.91	1.78	8.5%
William Hill	1.85	1.83	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.90	1.78	8.8%
Best of all books	2.00	1.83	4.6%
Average	1.91	1.80	7.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sochaux 45%Draw 45%Boulogne 10%

The statistical model rated Sochaux at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Boulogne at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.35 | 3.01 | 3.10, which imply roughly 42.6% for a Sochaux win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ligue 2 table: Sochaux are 8th (11 pts, 5-6 goals), Boulogne 16th (6 pts, 4-6).

Over their last five matches, Sochaux averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Boulogne averaged 0.6 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Sochaux or draw and -2.5 goals (goal line signal: under 2.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Sochaux

4-2-3-1

Coach: Vincent Hognon

Goalkeeper

40M. Jeannin

Defence

26E. N'Gatta
4A. Vitelli
14M. Peybernes
3D. Gomis

Midfield

21B. Diawara
23J. Masson
77L. Nomel
24Y. Demoncy
7B. Gomel

Attack

9K. Djoco

Substitutes (9)

42Dylan Tavares
30A. Pierre
15J. Mexique
10B. Fofana
25P. Diop
11L. Deedson
97S. Agouzoul
5S. Baghdadi
91M. Clairicia

Boulogne

Coach: F. Dagneaux

Match Statistics

SochauxBoulogne

0.83Expected Goals1.2

327Passes accurate318

5Shots insidebox7

6Shots outsidebox2

3Blocked Shots2

22Free Kicks13

3Shots on Goal3

2Goalkeeper Saves2

5Shots off Goal4

3Offsides3

409Total passes407

11Total Shots9

1Yellow Cards2

8Corner Kicks4

16Fouls23

0Red Cards0

51%Ball Possession49%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.32	3.11	3.08

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.34	1.58	1.32

Draw no bet

1	2
1.63	2.20

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.91	1.80

1st half

1	X	2
2.97	2.01	3.78

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.85	8.30	2.25

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	7.83
1.5	1.40	2.80
2.5	2.27	1.61
3.5	4.21	1.20
4.5	8.87	1.04
5.5	17.4	1.02
6.5	41.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.03	7.30
1	1.05	6.45
1.25	1.21	3.58
1.75	1.51	2.43
2	1.68	2.10
2.25	2.00	1.79
2.75	2.66	1.44
3	3.38	1.28
3.25	3.75	1.19
3.75	5.35	1.09
4	7.90	1.02
4.25	8.28	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.73	1.42
-0.5	2.32	1.60
-0.25	1.96	1.81
0	1.63	2.20
+0.25	1.44	2.66
+0.5	1.37	3.11

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.65	1.02
-2	8.60	1.03
-1.75	6.35	1.07
-1.5	4.63	1.15
-1.25	4.30	1.19
-1	3.82	1.24
+0.75	1.22	3.90
+1	1.09	5.93
+1.25	1.07	6.56
+1.5	1.07	6.93
+2.5	1.01	13.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.02	11.5
4.5	1.04	7.24
5.5	1.10	5.17
6.5	1.24	3.37
7.5	1.49	2.42
8.5	1.88	1.84
9.5	2.41	1.49
10.5	3.19	1.26
11.5	4.43	1.14
12.5	5.78	1.08
13.5	7.34	1.04
14.5	10.8	1.03

17 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5	1.04	5.69
6	1.13	4.00
6.75	1.26	3.19
7	1.32	2.85
7.25	1.34	2.72
7.75	1.51	2.32
8	1.67	2.08
8.25	1.72	2.04
8.75	1.92	1.75
9	2.20	1.61
9.25	2.17	1.54
9.75	2.55	1.39
10	2.88	1.31
10.25	2.96	1.25
11	3.77	1.15
12	4.99	1.07
13	5.82	1.04