Nancy vs Guingamp• Ligue 2, France

#61.6:1.21-0FTToday · Stade Marcel-Picot, Nancy1.6:2.0#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.96DAFX3.86PIN24.00BTNMargin at best1.9%Books10Markets78Rating53 · 48 levelExp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 13:02 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.88	3.86	3.98	4.2%
Dafabet	1.96	3.60	3.85	4.8%
Betano	1.93	3.55	4.00	5.0%
1xBet	1.93	3.64	3.63	6.8%
BetVictor	1.87	3.60	3.90	6.9%
Marathonbet	1.91	3.64	3.64	7.3%
Betfair	1.87	3.60	3.80	7.6%
William Hill	1.85	3.50	3.60	10.4%
Bet365	1.83	3.20	3.75	12.6%
SBO	1.91	3.21	3.40	12.9%
Best of all books	1.96	3.86	4.00	1.9%
Average	1.89	3.54	3.76	7.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NancyGuingamp

Last 10#6Table position#111.43Points per game1.146Form pts · last 581.6Goals for · last 51.61.2Goals against · last 52.050Attack rating5063Defence rating3864Form rating3638H2H rating6261Goals model3953Overall rating48

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:51 UTC

Nancy

3W 3D 4L · goals 11:11 · per match 1.1 for, 1.1 against

2 Oct	A	FC Saarbrücken	1-2	L
18 Sep	A	Rodez	4-3	W
11 Sep	H	Reims	1-2	L
7 Sep	A	Nantes	0-1	L
28 Aug	H	Dunkerque	2-0	W
21 Aug	A	PAU	1-0	W
14 Aug	H	Montpellier	0-1	L
8 Aug	A	Boulogne	0-0	D
1 Aug	H	Dijon	2-2	D
1 Aug	A	Epinal	0-0	D

Guingamp

3W 3D 4L · goals 15:18 · per match 1.5 for, 1.8 against

2 Oct	H	Le Mans	2-1	W
19 Sep	H	RED Star FC 93	1-3	L
12 Sep	H	Annecy	2-1	W
5 Sep	A	Reims	2-2	D
29 Aug	H	Nantes	3-3	D
21 Aug	A	Sochaux	0-1	L
14 Aug	H	Boulogne	1-0	W
8 Aug	A	Metz	1-2	L
1 Aug	A	Stade Brestois 29	3-3	D
25 Jul	H	Lorient	0-2	L

Head to head

1Nancy wins

5draws

6Guingamp wins

12 meetings · goals 11:20 · last 10: 1W 5D 4L for Nancy

19 Jan 2026Ligue 2	Ligue 2	Nancy0-3Guingamp
3 Oct 2025Ligue 2	Ligue 2	Guingamp2-2Nancy
19 Mar 2022Ligue 2	Ligue 2	Guingamp3-1Nancy
16 Oct 2021Ligue 2	Ligue 2	Nancy2-1Guingamp
17 Jul 2021Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Nancy2-2Guingamp
16 Jan 2021Ligue 2	Ligue 2	Guingamp0-0Nancy
29 Aug 2020Ligue 2	Ligue 2	Nancy2-2Guingamp
15 Feb 2020Ligue 2	Ligue 2	Nancy0-1Guingamp
13 Sep 2019Ligue 2	Ligue 2	Guingamp1-1Nancy
22 Jan 2019Coupe de France	Coupe de France	Nancy1-2Guingamp

Ligue 2 tableLigue 2updated 9 Oct 20:02 UTC

In the Ligue 2 table, Nancy sit 6th with 10 points from 7 games, while Guingamp are 11th with 8 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Saint Etienne	7	5	1	1	19:8	+11	16
2	RED Star FC 93	7	4	2	1	9:7	+2	14
3	Reims	7	3	4	0	15:9	+6	13
4	Montpellier	7	3	3	1	6:5	+1	12
5	Metz	7	2	4	1	10:7	+3	10
6	Nancy	7	3	1	3	8:7	+1	10
7	Annecy	7	3	1	3	9:9	0	10
8	Sochaux	7	2	4	1	4:5	-1	10
9	Dijon	7	2	3	2	10:10	0	9
10	PAU	7	2	2	3	6:6	0	8
11	Guingamp	7	2	2	3	10:12	-2	8
12	Dunkerque	7	2	2	3	10:12	-2	8
13	Grenoble	7	2	2	3	8:11	-3	8
14	Rodez	7	2	1	4	14:16	-2	7
15	Nantes	7	2	1	4	9:13	-4	7
16	Clermont Foot	7	0	6	1	4:6	-2	6
17	Boulogne	7	0	5	2	3:5	-2	5
18	Laval	7	1	2	4	8:14	-6	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg145%2.08X27%3.39228%3.29

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.11 → 1.89 -10.4%X3.47 → 3.54 +2.0%23.07 → 3.76 +22.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.81	2.06	3.8%
Betano	1.85	2.00	4.1%
SBO	1.82	2.02	4.5%
Bet365	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Betfair	1.80	2.00	5.6%
1xBet	1.79	1.95	7.1%
Marathonbet	1.79	1.95	7.1%
BetVictor	1.75	1.92	9.2%
Best of all books	1.85	2.06	2.6%
Average	1.80	1.99	5.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.73	2.10	5.4%
Betano	1.70	2.07	7.1%
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
William Hill	1.67	2.10	7.5%
1xBet	1.67	2.08	8.0%
BetVictor	1.67	2.05	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.67	2.05	8.7%
Best of all books	1.73	2.10	5.4%
Average	1.68	2.08	7.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Nancy 45%Draw 45%Guingamp 10%

The statistical model rated Nancy at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Guingamp at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.08 | 3.39 | 3.29, which imply roughly 48.1% for a Nancy win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ligue 2 table: Nancy are 6th (10 pts, 8-7 goals), Guingamp 11th (8 pts, 10-12).

Over their last five matches, Nancy averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Guingamp averaged 1.6 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Nancy or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Nancy

4-4-2

Coach: O. Tanchot

Guingamp

Coach: S. Ripoll

Goalkeeper

16Adrián Ortolá

Defence

2E. Koffi
36A. Demouchy
24J. Dianganga
5T. Ollila

Midfield

20S. Ben Brahim
4D. Louiserre
21T. Ahile
8F. Da Silva

Attack

10A. Hemia
22B. Bokangu

Substitutes (9)

17A. Samoura
3J. Matumona
31J. Matondo
18S. Kielt
35N. Fondja
25T. Ducrocq
11T. Averlant
1T. Bartouche
32I. Diakite

Match Statistics

NancyGuingamp

2.39Expected Goals0.5

437Passes accurate355

13Shots insidebox3

4Shots outsidebox5

4Blocked Shots1

15Free Kicks18

7Shots on Goal2

2Goalkeeper Saves6

6Shots off Goal5

2Offsides1

501Total passes435

1Red Cards1

17Total Shots8

1Yellow Cards3

4Corner Kicks4

22Fouls17

54%Ball Possession46%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.89	3.54	3.76

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.24	1.84	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
1.40	2.73

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.68	2.08

1st half

1	X	2
2.45	2.22	4.15

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.65	12.8	2.38

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	10.8
1.5	1.23	3.84
2.5	1.80	1.99
3.5	2.98	1.36
4.5	5.74	1.12
5.5	10.9	1.04
6.5	21.3	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.00
1.25	1.10	5.15
1.75	1.27	3.21
2	1.37	2.91
2.25	1.57	2.34
2.75	1.99	1.78
3	2.36	1.54
3.25	2.59	1.45
3.75	3.43	1.27
4	4.85	1.11
4.25	5.25	1.09
4.75	7.55	1.04
5	8.40	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	3.04	1.34
-1	2.64	1.44
-0.75	2.19	1.64
-0.5	1.89	1.92
-0.25	1.67	2.16
0	1.41	2.80

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	12.0	1.02
-2.5	7.07	1.06
-2.25	6.83	1.06
-2	6.30	1.07
-1.75	4.31	1.17
-1.5	3.40	1.28
+0.25	1.34	3.12
+0.5	1.29	3.70
+0.75	1.16	4.62
+1	1.06	7.07
+1.25	1.06	7.25
+1.5	1.05	7.68
+2.5	1.01	13.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.02	11.5
4.5	1.05	8.50
5.5	1.09	5.31
6.5	1.22	3.52
7.5	1.45	2.50
8.5	1.81	1.94
9.5	2.29	1.56
10.5	3.12	1.29
11.5	4.32	1.15
12.5	5.51	1.09
13.5	7.21	1.05
14.5	10.8	1.03

16 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5	1.03	5.90
6	1.09	4.59
7	1.22	3.15
7.25	1.36	2.69
7.75	1.49	2.26
8	1.49	2.40
8.25	1.72	1.96
8.75	1.82	1.90
9	1.94	1.84
9.25	2.27	1.53
9.75	2.61	1.37
10	2.51	1.45
10.25	2.45	1.42
11	3.25	1.21
12	4.35	1.10
13	5.55	1.05