Fortuna Sittard vs Twente• Eredivisie, Netherlands

#61.6:2.218:00Today · Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sitard2.4:1.0#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

17.00BTNX5.41PIN21.441XBMargin at best2.2%Books10Markets94Rating30 · 70Exp. goals L53.6

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 13:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	7.00	5.30	1.44	2.6%
Dafabet	6.40	5.40	1.44	3.6%
Pinnacle	6.75	5.41	1.42	3.7%
1xBet	6.61	5.06	1.44	4.3%
BetVictor	6.50	5.00	1.40	6.8%
Bet365	6.25	5.00	1.40	7.4%
Marathonbet	6.40	4.90	1.40	7.5%
Betfair	6.50	5.00	1.36	8.9%
William Hill	6.00	4.80	1.40	8.9%
SBO	5.80	4.75	1.38	10.8%
Best of all books	7.00	5.41	1.44	2.2%
Average	6.42	5.06	1.41	6.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Fortuna SittardTwente

Last 10#6Table position#41.86Points per game2.2912Form pts · last 5131.6Goals for · last 52.42.2Goals against · last 51.040Attack rating6031Defence rating6941Form rating597H2H rating9329Goals model7130Overall rating70

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 14:04 UTC

Fortuna Sittard

6W 1D 3L · goals 18:19 · per match 1.8 for, 1.9 against

3 Oct	A	Genk	2-1	W
19 Sep	A	Willem II	1-0	W
12 Sep	H	Ajax	1-5	L
6 Sep	A	ADO Den Haag	3-2	W
28 Aug	A	Groningen	3-2	W
22 Aug	H	AZ Alkmaar	0-2	L
15 Aug	H	Cambuur	3-1	W
8 Aug	A	PSV Eindhoven	2-2	D
31 Jul	H	Apoel Nicosia	2-1	W
25 Jul	A	Metz	1-3	L

Twente

7W 2D 1L · goals 29:11 · per match 2.9 for, 1.1 against

2 Oct	H	Werder Bremen	7-0	W
20 Sep	H	PSV Eindhoven	3-2	W
12 Sep	H	ADO Den Haag	2-0	W
9 Sep	H	Telstar	1-0	W
6 Sep	A	Groningen	2-2	D
30 Aug	A	Cambuur	4-1	W
27 Aug	A	Qarabag	4-1	W
20 Aug	H	Qarabag	0-1	L
16 Aug	H	PEC Zwolle	3-1	W
13 Aug	A	Dunajska Streda	3-3	D

Head to head

3Fortuna Sittard wins

1draws

10Twente wins

14 meetings · goals 15:28 · last 10: 2W 1D 7L for Fortuna Sittard

21 Mar 2026Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Fortuna Sittard1-2Twente
26 Sep 2025Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Twente3-2Fortuna Sittard
5 Apr 2025Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Twente1-1Fortuna Sittard
23 Nov 2024Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Fortuna Sittard1-2Twente
6 Apr 2024Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Twente2-0Fortuna Sittard
8 Oct 2023Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Fortuna Sittard0-3Twente
11 Mar 2023Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Fortuna Sittard0-3Twente
14 Aug 2022Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Twente3-0Fortuna Sittard
7 May 2022Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Twente1-2Fortuna Sittard
14 Aug 2021Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Fortuna Sittard2-1Twente

Eredivisie tableEredivisieupdated 10 Oct 16:33 UTC

In the Eredivisie table, Fortuna Sittard sit 6th with 13 points from 7 games, while Twente are 4th with 16 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	18:6	+12	19
2	PSV Eindhoven	8	6	1	1	26:10	+16	19
3	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	25:7	+18	17
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	15:7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	21:9	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	4	1	2	13:14	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15:9	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15:13	+2	11
9	GO Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	16:14	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	8	2	3	3	11:11	0	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	12:13	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	10:17	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5:12	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10:19	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11:24	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	1	1	5	6:20	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	0	2	5	7:17	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6:20	-14	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg115%6.42X19%5.06267%1.41

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

16.18 → 6.42 +3.9%X4.88 → 5.06 +3.7%21.41 → 1.41 0.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.37	3.21	4.1%
Betano	1.40	3.00	4.8%
Bet365	1.36	3.10	5.8%
Betfair	1.36	3.10	5.8%
BetVictor	1.33	3.10	7.4%
1xBet	1.33	2.83	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.33	2.83	10.5%
Best of all books	1.40	3.21	2.6%
Average	1.35	3.02	6.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.53	2.45	6.2%
Betano	1.55	2.37	6.7%
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
1xBet	1.50	2.42	8.0%
William Hill	1.50	2.40	8.3%
Marathonbet	1.50	2.38	8.7%
BetVictor	1.47	2.45	8.8%
Best of all books	1.55	2.45	5.3%
Average	1.51	2.41	7.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Fortuna Sittard 0%Draw 50%Twente 50%

The statistical model rates Fortuna Sittard at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Twente at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 6.42 | 5.06 | 1.41, which imply roughly 19.8% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Eredivisie table: Fortuna Sittard are 6th (13 pts, 13-14 goals), Twente 4th (16 pts, 15-7).

Over their last five matches, Fortuna Sittard averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Twente averaged 2.4 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Twente.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Confirmed Lineups

Fortuna Sittard

4-2-3-1

Coach: D. Buijs

Goalkeeper

31M. Branderhorst

Defence

12Ivo Pinto
6S. van Ottele
28Justin Quincy Hubner
3Rodrigo Guth

Midfield

20É. Michut
23P. Brittijn
52M. Ihattaren
9A. Descotte
22Shiloh Kiesar ’t Zand

Attack

25L. Zeefuik

Substitutes (10)

2S. Wylin
15N. de Groot
38Moussa Gbemou
33K. Reitmaier
1L. Koopmans
7K. Peterson
10O. Romeny
14S. Simons
24D. Sinkgraven
39Ganni Buyukhan

Twente

4-2-3-1

Coach: J. van den Brom

Goalkeeper

16J. Drommel

Defence

28B. van Rooij
3R. Pröpper
4R. Nijstad
29A. Adelgaard

Midfield

6R. Zerrouki
8D. Weidmann
11D. Rots
10Y. Taha
7M. Pjaca

Attack

9W. Weghorst

Substitutes (9)

25Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink
20T. van den Belt
37N. Ünüvar
2M. Rosiak
22R. Pasveer
24K. Kurowski
14K. Hlynsson
31Yannick Gerritsen
18Jordy Bawuah

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
6.42	5.06	1.41

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.80	1.11	1.15

Draw no bet

1	2
5.10	1.14

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.51	2.41

1st half

1	X	2
5.62	2.74	1.81

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.84	24.0	1.40

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	20.0
1.5	1.09	6.62
2.5	1.35	3.02
3.5	1.93	1.86
4.5	3.06	1.34
5.5	5.52	1.13
6.5	10.3	1.05
7.5	18.7	1.02
8.5	41.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	16.0
1.75	1.07	5.80
2	1.09	5.30
2.25	1.21	3.58
2.75	1.40	2.57
3	1.53	2.39
3.25	1.74	2.05
3.75	2.14	1.65
4	2.51	1.49
4.25	2.74	1.35
4.75	3.58	1.21
5	4.70	1.12
5.25	5.05	1.10
6	9.00	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.75	2.54	1.46
+1	2.27	1.60
+1.25	1.96	1.84
+1.5	1.76	2.05
+1.75	1.56	2.29
+2	1.41	2.78

15 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	11.0	1.02
-1	10.0	1.01
-0.5	6.25	1.12
-0.25	5.45	1.11
0	5.02	1.13
+0.25	3.52	1.26
+0.5	2.95	1.41
+2.25	1.33	3.08
+2.5	1.28	3.30
+2.75	1.18	4.07
+3	1.10	5.57
+3.25	1.09	5.93
+3.5	1.08	6.20
+4	1.01	10.5
+4.5	1.04	11.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
2.5	1.47	2.55
3.5	2.05	1.72
4.5	3.05	1.35

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.02	10.8
6.5	1.05	7.07
7.5	1.13	4.76
8.5	1.26	3.30
9.5	1.51	2.37
10.5	1.83	1.90
11.5	2.31	1.53
12.5	2.97	1.31
13.5	3.99	1.18
14.5	5.19	1.11
15.5	7.33	1.06
16.5	9.00	1.04

17 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.07	4.92
8	1.17	3.55
8.75	1.31	2.92
9	1.42	2.61
9.25	1.42	2.44
9.75	1.59	2.15
10	1.72	2.02
10.25	1.81	1.93
10.75	2.04	1.72
11	2.07	1.71
11.25	2.24	1.51
11.75	2.57	1.38
12	2.77	1.33
12.25	2.49	1.36
13	3.52	1.17
14	4.60	1.09
15	5.10	1.06