OddsFilter

PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen• Eredivisie, Netherlands

#24.0:1.42-0FTToday · Philips Stadion, Eindhoven1.6:1.4#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.39BTNX6.731XB27.50BVCMargin at best0.1%Books10Markets100Rating68 · 32Exp. goals L54.2

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 13:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano1.396.206.802.8%
Dafabet1.366.406.803.9%
1xBet1.356.736.634.0%
Pinnacle1.336.727.024.3%
Bet3651.385.756.505.2%
BetVictor1.306.007.506.9%
Marathonbet1.316.156.707.5%
SBO1.345.806.098.3%
Betfair1.296.007.008.5%
William Hill1.335.806.009.1%
Best of all books1.396.737.500.1%
Average1.346.156.705.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PSV EindhovenHeerenveen
Last 10#2Table position#102.38Points per game1.1310Form pts · last 554.0Goals for · last 51.61.4Goals against · last 51.471Attack rating2950Defence rating5071Form rating2980H2H rating2063Goals model3768Overall rating32

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:51 UTC

PSV Eindhoven

6W 2D 2L · goals 28:15 · per match 2.8 for, 1.5 against

20 SepATwente2-3L
13 SepHSparta Rotterdam4-1W
10 SepHShakhtar Donetsk1-1D
5 SepAAjax3-1W
30 AugAUtrecht6-1W
23 AugHGroningen5-1W
15 AugAExcelsior2-1W
8 AugHFortuna Sittard2-2D
2 AugHAZ Alkmaar0-4L
28 JulHFC Eindhoven3-0W

Heerenveen

4W 4D 2L · goals 21:17 · per match 2.1 for, 1.7 against

19 SepASparta Rotterdam4-0W
13 SepHTelstar0-0D
6 SepHAZ Alkmaar2-3L
30 AugAWillem II2-2D
22 AugHPEC Zwolle0-2L
16 AugAAjax2-2D
9 AugHTwente1-0W
1 AugHVolos NFC3-2W
25 JulHOH Leuven4-4D
17 JulAClub Brugge KV3-2W

Head to head

16PSV Eindhoven wins
11draws
5Heerenveen wins

32 meetings · goals 75:40 · last 10: 8W 1D 1L for PSV Eindhoven

21 Feb 2026EredivisieEredivisiePSV Eindhoven3-1Heerenveen
4 Feb 2026KNVB BekerKNVB BekerPSV Eindhoven4-1Heerenveen
6 Dec 2025EredivisieEredivisieHeerenveen0-2PSV Eindhoven
8 Mar 2025EredivisieEredivisiePSV Eindhoven2-1Heerenveen
14 Dec 2024EredivisieEredivisieHeerenveen1-0PSV Eindhoven
25 Apr 2024EredivisieEredivisieHeerenveen0-8PSV Eindhoven
7 Dec 2023EredivisieEredivisiePSV Eindhoven2-0Heerenveen
21 May 2023EredivisieEredivisiePSV Eindhoven3-3Heerenveen
9 Oct 2022EredivisieEredivisieHeerenveen0-1PSV Eindhoven
20 Feb 2022EredivisieEredivisiePSV Eindhoven3-1Heerenveen

Eredivisie tableEredivisieupdated 9 Oct 22:10 UTC

In the Eredivisie table, PSV Eindhoven sit 2nd with 19 points from 8 games, while Heerenveen are 10th with 9 points from 8.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1AZ Alkmaar761018:6+1219
2PSV Eindhoven861126:10+1619
3Feyenoord752025:7+1817
4Twente751115:7+816
5Ajax742121:9+1214
6Fortuna Sittard741213:14-113
7Excelsior732215:9+611
8Groningen732215:13+211
9GO Ahead Eagles724116:14+210
10Heerenveen823311:1109
11NEC Nijmegen722312:13-18
12Sparta Rotterdam712410:17-75
13Telstar71245:12-75
14Cambuur712410:19-95
15Utrecht712411:24-135
16PEC Zwolle71156:20-144
17ADO Den Haag70257:17-102
18Willem II70256:20-142

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg172%1.30X15%6.28213%7.37

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

6 Oct 00:019 Oct 13:101 1.34X 6.162 6.70
11.22 → 1.34 +9.8%X6.90 → 6.16 -10.7%28.81 → 6.70 -24.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.184.915.1%
Betano1.204.555.3%
Betfair1.175.005.5%
Bet3651.184.507.0%
BetVictor1.174.607.2%
1xBet1.184.059.4%
Marathonbet1.154.3010.2%
Best of all books1.205.003.3%
Average1.184.567.0%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.363.105.8%
Betano1.353.056.9%
William Hill1.353.007.4%
1xBet1.343.047.5%
Bet3651.402.757.8%
BetVictor1.333.008.5%
Marathonbet1.352.888.8%
Best of all books1.403.103.7%
Average1.352.977.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

PSV Eindhoven 45%Draw 45%Heerenveen 10%

The statistical model rated PSV Eindhoven at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Heerenveen at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.30 | 6.28 | 7.37, which imply roughly 76.9% for a PSV Eindhoven win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Eredivisie table: PSV Eindhoven are 2nd (19 pts, 26-10 goals), Heerenveen 10th (9 pts, 11-11).

Over their last five matches, PSV Eindhoven averaged 4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Heerenveen averaged 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : PSV Eindhoven and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

PSV Eindhoven

4-2-3-1

Coach: P. Bosz

Goalkeeper

  • 32M. Kovář

Defence

  • 8S. Dest
  • 6R. Flamingo
  • 4A. Obispo
  • 17Mauro Júnior

Midfield

  • 24K. Sano
  • 31N. Fernandez
  • 19E. Bajraktarevic
  • 20G. Til
  • 7R. van Bommel

Attack

  • 21S. Mijnans
Substitutes (11)
  • 37A. Bouhamdi
  • 23M. Hansen
  • 42S. Cornecion
  • 3Yarek Gasiorowski
  • 2L. Geertruida
  • 18F. Kostić
  • 27D. Man
  • 41Khadim Ngom
  • 1N. Olij
  • 5I. Perišić
  • 35A. Santos

Heerenveen

4-2-3-1

Coach: R. Veldeman

Goalkeeper

  • 22B. Klaverboer

Defence

  • 45O. Braude
  • 4S. Kersten
  • 3M. Willemsen
  • 19V. Zagaritis

Midfield

  • 16M. Linday
  • 14L. Smans
  • 20J. Trenskow
  • 36N. Courtens
  • 7M. Rivera

Attack

  • 9D. Vente
Substitutes (12)
  • 15M. Egbring
  • 21M. Farji
  • 2M. Hilgers
  • 29L. Machine
  • 10R. Meerveld
  • 44A. Noppert
  • 11L. Oyen
  • 28H. Petrov
  • 41J. Scholten
  • 17R. Uldriķis
  • 23D. Bladi
  • 30T. Schreuder

Match Statistics

PSV EindhovenHeerenveen
1.64Expected Goals1.58
438Passes accurate353
10Shots insidebox9
5Shots outsidebox3
4Blocked Shots2
9Free Kicks19
2Shots on Goal5
5Goalkeeper Saves0
9Shots off Goal5
1Offsides0
510Total passes423
15Total Shots12
1Yellow Cards2
4Corner Kicks6
19Fouls10
0Red Cards0
55%Ball Possession45%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.346.166.70

Double chance

1XX212
1.103.241.11

Draw no bet

12
1.125.75

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.352.97

1st half

1X2
1.653.305.69

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.3634.03.00

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.5–41.0
1.51.0410.5
2.51.184.56
3.51.472.57
4.52.111.72
5.53.261.32
6.55.531.13
7.59.441.06
8.517.01.02
9.528.31.01
10.550.5–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
21.066.60
2.751.154.28
31.233.59
3.251.352.83
3.751.602.29
41.722.07
4.251.941.86
4.752.341.55
52.591.47
5.252.961.33
5.753.711.21
64.631.14
6.254.551.13
77.101.05

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-2.252.431.54
-22.261.62
-1.751.951.86
-1.51.792.00
-1.251.602.30
-11.452.64
17 more lines
LineHomeAway
-5.56.701.06
-57.251.05
-4.57.851.03
-46.751.08
-3.755.081.13
-3.54.461.16
-3.254.041.19
-33.841.23
-2.753.101.35
-2.52.681.43
-0.751.362.97
-0.51.323.40
-0.251.213.87
01.115.45
+0.251.126.40
+11.019.80
+1.51.0211.0

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
1.51.243.75
2.51.652.15
3.52.421.53

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.0211.6
6.51.058.05
7.51.095.46
8.51.203.76
9.51.372.73
10.51.652.11
11.52.021.73
12.52.601.42
13.53.441.24
14.54.721.14
15.56.111.08
16.58.751.05
15 more lines
LineOverUnder
81.084.72
91.183.42
9.251.252.95
9.751.392.56
101.422.60
10.251.522.21
10.751.752.02
111.841.92
11.251.951.80
11.752.001.73
122.171.62
12.252.421.44
132.681.36
143.371.19
154.351.10