Ajax4th13 pts
Excelsior6th10 pts
Ajax4th13 pts
Excelsior6th10 ptsIn the Eredivisie table, Ajax sit 4th with 13 points from 6 games, while Excelsior are 6th with 10 points from 6 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Ajax at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Excelsior at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.21 | 7.07 | 10.84, which imply roughly 82.6% for a Ajax win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Eredivisie table: Ajax are 4th (13 pts, 19-7 goals), Excelsior 6th (10 pts, 13-7).
Over their last five matches, Ajax averaged 3.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Excelsior averaged 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Ajax or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).
Ajax vs Excelsior — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV Eindhoven | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 |
| 2 |  AZ Alkmaar | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 |
| 3 |  Feyenoord | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 |
| 4 |  Ajax | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 |
| 5 |  Twente | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 |
| 6 |  Excelsior | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 |  Fortuna Sittard | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 |  Groningen | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
| 10 |  NEC Nijmegen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| 11 |  Heerenveen | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 13 |  Telstar | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 14 |  Utrecht | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 15 |  Cambuur | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 17 |  Willem II | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 18 |  ADO Den Haag | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
1.21
X
7.07
2
10.84