AZ AlkmaarvsWillem II• Eredivisie,Netherlands
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
AZ Alkmaar1st15 pts
Willem II16th1 pts
AZ Alkmaar1st15 pts
Willem II16th1 ptsIn the Eredivisie table, AZ Alkmaar sit 1st with 15 points from 5 games, while Willem II are 16th with 1 points from 4 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates AZ Alkmaar at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Willem II at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.14 | 8.58 | 14.64, which imply roughly 87.7% for a AZ Alkmaar win versus the model's 50%.
Form context from the Eredivisie table: AZ Alkmaar are 1st (15 pts, 16-5 goals), Willem II 16th (1 pts, 4-13).
Over their last five matches, AZ Alkmaar averaged 3.2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Willem II averaged 1 scored and 3.3 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Winner : AZ Alkmaar and +2.5 goals (goal line signal: over 2.5 goals).
AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AZ Alkmaar | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 |
| 2 |  PSV Eindhoven | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 |
| 3 |  Feyenoord | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 |  Excelsior | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 |  Twente | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 |  Ajax | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 |  NEC Nijmegen | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 |  Groningen | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 11 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 12 |  Heerenveen | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 13 |  PEC Zwolle | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 14 |  Telstar | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Utrecht | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 16 |  Willem II | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 18 |  Cambuur | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
1.14
X
8.35
2
14.98
Double chance
1X
1.03
X2
5.44
12
1.07
Both teams to score
Yes
1.83
No
1.90
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.06
Under 1.5
8.08
Over 2.5
1.27
Under 2.5
3.56
Over 3.5
1.72
Under 3.5
2.08
Over 4.5
2.60
Under 4.5
1.46
Over 5.5
4.38
Under 5.5
1.19
Over 0.5
1.01
Under 0.5
26.30
Over 8.5
24.50
Under 8.5
1.01
Over 9.5
50.50
Over 7.5
13.75
Under 7.5
1.03
Over 6.5
7.78
Under 6.5
1.08
Over 1.75
1.04
Under 1.75
7.10
Over 2
1.05
Under 2
6.60
Over 2.25
1.14
Under 2.25
4.41
Over 2.75
1.29
Under 2.75
3.15
Over 3
1.39
Under 3
2.85
Over 3.25
1.56
Under 3.25
2.39
Over 3.75
1.89
Under 3.75
1.90
Over 4
2.11
Under 4
1.69
Over 4.25
2.34
Under 4.25
1.55
Over 4.75
2.97
Under 4.75
1.36
Over 5
3.58
Under 5
1.21
Over 5.25
3.90
Under 5.25
1.18
Over 6
6.78
Under 6
1.04
Draw no bet
1
1.03
2
10.83
Asian handicap
Away 5.5
1.01
1st half
1
1.43
X
3.35
2
10.02
First team to score
Home
1.21
No Goal
37.00
Away
4.18
Corners 2-Way
Over 15.5
5.90
Under 15.5
1.10
Cards in match
Over 1.5
1.27
Under 1.5
3.00