Ajax5th10 pts
Willem II17th2 pts
Ajax5th10 pts
Willem II17th2 ptsIn the Eredivisie table, Ajax sit 5th with 10 points from 5 games, while Willem II are 17th with 2 points from 5 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Ajax at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Willem II at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.11 | 10.02 | 17.23, which imply roughly 90.1% for a Ajax win versus the model's 50%.
Form context from the Eredivisie table: Ajax are 5th (10 pts, 14-6 goals), Willem II 17th (2 pts, 5-14).
Over their last five matches, Ajax averaged 2.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Willem II averaged 1 scored and 2.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Ajax or draw.
Ajax vs Willem II — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV Eindhoven | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 |
| 2 |  AZ Alkmaar | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 |
| 3 |  Feyenoord | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 |
| 4 |  Twente | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 |
| 5 |  Ajax | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 |  Excelsior | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 |  Fortuna Sittard | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 |  Groningen | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
| 10 |  NEC Nijmegen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| 11 |  Heerenveen | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 13 |  Telstar | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 14 |  Utrecht | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 15 |  Cambuur | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 17 |  Willem II | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 18 |  ADO Den Haag | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
1.16
X
7.90
2
13.20
Double chance
1X
1.04
X2
5.11
12
1.08
Both teams to score
Yes
1.63
No
2.15
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.04
Under 1.5
8.88
Over 2.5
1.21
Under 2.5
4.04
Over 3.5
1.60
Under 3.5
2.29
Over 0.5
1.01
Under 0.5
26.50
Over 8.5
20.17
Under 8.5
1.01
Over 9.5
46.00
Over 4.5
2.28
Under 4.5
1.56
Over 7.5
11.92
Under 7.5
1.04
Over 5.5
3.73
Under 5.5
1.24
Over 6.5
6.68
Under 6.5
1.09
Over 1.75
1.02
Under 1.75
8.07
Over 2
1.03
Under 2
7.60
Over 2.25
1.11
Under 2.25
5.00
Over 2.75
1.30
Under 2.75
3.33
Over 3
1.33
Under 3
3.16
Over 3.25
1.46
Under 3.25
2.69
Over 3.75
1.71
Under 3.75
2.09
Over 4
1.88
Under 4
1.86
Over 4.25
2.08
Under 4.25
1.68
Over 4.75
2.54
Under 4.75
1.45
Over 5
2.97
Under 5
1.30
Over 5.25
3.28
Under 5.25
1.25
Over 6
5.45
Under 6
1.08
Draw no bet
1
1.04
2
9.66
Asian handicap
Away 5.5
1.01
1st half
1
1.46
X
3.37
2
9.00
First team to score
Home
1.24
No Goal
38.50
Away
3.83
Corners 2-Way
Over 15.5
6.50
Under 15.5
1.08
Cards in match
Over 2.5
1.87
Under 2.5
1.88