VVV Venlo vs Jong AZ• Eerste Divisie, Netherlands

#32.6:1.04-4FTToday · Seacon Stadion De Koel, Venlo2.6:1.8#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.83WHX4.58PIN23.80B365Margin at best2.8%Books6Markets79Rating52 · 48 levelExp. goals L54.0

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.10	4.22	2.96	5.1%
Bet365	1.95	4.00	3.30	6.6%
1xBet	2.04	4.10	2.90	7.9%
Marathonbet	2.02	4.10	2.88	8.6%
BetVictor	2.00	4.10	2.90	8.9%
William Hill	2.05	3.90	2.80	10.1%
Best of all books	2.10	4.22	3.30	1.6%
Average	2.03	4.07	2.96	7.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

VVV VenloJong AZ

Last 10#3Table position#112.10Points per game1.3012Form pts · last 572.6Goals for · last 52.61.0Goals against · last 51.850Attack rating5064Defence rating3663Form rating3740H2H rating6058Goals model4252Overall rating48

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 19:50 UTC

VVV Venlo

7W 0D 3L · goals 26:14 · per match 2.6 for, 1.4 against

9 Oct	A	Jong Ajax	3-0	W
4 Oct	H	Roda	2-0	W
26 Sep	A	FC Volendam	2-3	L
18 Sep	A	Jong Utrecht	3-1	W
11 Sep	H	FC OSS	3-1	W
4 Sep	A	Helmond Sport	2-4	L
30 Aug	H	Emmen	4-0	W
23 Aug	H	De Graafschap	2-1	W
14 Aug	A	NAC Breda	2-0	W
7 Aug	H	Heracles	3-4	L

Jong AZ

4W 1D 5L · goals 22:18 · per match 2.2 for, 1.8 against

9 Oct	H	Den Bosch	0-1	L
18 Sep	H	FC Volendam	4-1	W
14 Sep	A	Jong PSV U21	1-1	D
11 Sep	A	Heracles	2-3	L
5 Sep	A	Dordrecht	6-3	W
31 Aug	H	Jong Utrecht	2-1	W
28 Aug	H	MVV	1-2	L
21 Aug	A	Emmen	1-3	L
17 Aug	A	De Graafschap	5-2	W
10 Aug	H	FC Eindhoven	0-1	L

Head to head

2VVV Venlo wins

1draws

10Jong AZ wins

13 meetings · goals 15:26 · last 10: 2W 1D 7L for VVV Venlo

16 Jan 2026Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	VVV Venlo1-3Jong AZ
7 Nov 2025Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Jong AZ0-2VVV Venlo
3 Feb 2025Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Jong AZ3-0VVV Venlo
8 Nov 2024Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	VVV Venlo0-1Jong AZ
10 Jul 2024Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	VVV Venlo2-1Jong AZ
22 Apr 2024Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Jong AZ2-1VVV Venlo
3 Nov 2023Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	VVV Venlo2-2Jong AZ
12 Jul 2023Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	VVV Venlo1-2Jong AZ
3 Feb 2023Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Jong AZ4-3VVV Venlo
28 Oct 2022Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	VVV Venlo1-2Jong AZ

Eerste Divisie tableEerste Divisie: Regular seasonupdated 16 Oct 19:52 UTC

In the Eerste Divisie table, VVV Venlo sit 3rd with 21 points from 10 games, while Jong AZ are 11th with 13 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Heracles	10	8	1	1	31:12	+19	25
2	Almere City FC	10	7	1	2	22:7	+15	22
3	VVV Venlo	10	7	0	3	26:14	+12	21
4	Emmen	10	6	1	3	22:18	+4	19
5	NAC Breda	10	5	2	3	20:19	+1	17
6	Roda	10	4	4	2	10:8	+2	16
7	MVV	10	5	1	4	13:20	-7	16
8	FC Volendam	10	5	0	5	22:17	+5	15
9	Waalwijk	10	3	5	2	19:15	+4	14
10	Vitesse	10	4	2	4	15:15	0	14
11	Jong AZ	10	4	1	5	22:18	+4	13
12	Jong PSV U21	10	3	4	3	15:17	-2	13
13	FC OSS	10	4	0	6	15:15	0	12
14	Den Bosch	10	3	2	5	14:18	-4	11
15	FC Eindhoven	10	3	2	5	15:22	-7	11
16	De Graafschap	10	3	2	5	13:23	-10	11
17	Helmond Sport	10	2	3	5	16:19	-3	9
18	Jong Ajax	10	2	2	6	13:25	-12	8
19	Dordrecht	10	2	2	6	13:27	-14	8
20	Jong Utrecht	10	2	1	7	16:23	-7	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg154%1.74X21%4.35225%3.76

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.14 → 1.81 -15.4%X3.98 → 4.25 +6.8%22.80 → 3.49 +24.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.30	3.50	5.5%
Pinnacle	1.31	3.41	5.7%
BetVictor	1.29	3.40	6.9%
1xBet	1.25	3.28	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.25	3.28	10.5%
Best of all books	1.31	3.50	4.9%
Average	1.28	3.37	7.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.30	3.40	6.3%
1xBet	1.27	3.42	8.0%
William Hill	1.30	3.20	8.2%
BetVictor	1.25	3.50	8.6%
Marathonbet	1.27	3.34	8.7%
Best of all books	1.30	3.50	5.5%
Average	1.28	3.37	7.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

VVV Venlo 35%Draw 35%Jong AZ 30%

The statistical model rated VVV Venlo at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Jong AZ at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.74 | 4.35 | 3.76, which imply roughly 57.5% for a VVV Venlo win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Eerste Divisie table: VVV Venlo are 3rd (21 pts, 26-14 goals), Jong AZ 11th (13 pts, 22-18).

Over their last five matches, VVV Venlo averaged 2.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Jong AZ averaged 2.6 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : VVV Venlo or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

VVV Venlo

4-3-3

Coach: Marinus Dijkhuizen

Goalkeeper

13Y. Schoonderwaldt

Defence

14Raf Vullers
4É. Clancy
33G. Blancquart
16P. Heise

Midfield

8Ismail Oulad M'Hand
6A. Verstraeten
24M. Odriss

Attack

19Thomas Janssen
17L. Schmidt
11N. Ait Mouhou

Substitutes (11)

31M. Davis
21L. Görlich
43D. Hendrix
15Tijn Joosten
34A. Rais
22Zidane Taylan
9M. Tsigkas
5Lars de Blok
35Yousri El Anbri
47M. van Grootel
1T. Doornbusch

Jong AZ

4-2-3-1

Coach: Norbert Alblas

Goalkeeper

1I. Ka

Defence

2J. Zwart
3A. Natali
4F. Andersen
5K. Inge

Midfield

8J. Oerip
6Julian Sijbrands
7R. Robbemond
10H. de Wit
11Wassim bouziane

Attack

9Jerolldino Bergraaf

Substitutes (9)

20K. van Ouytsel
16K. Zeggen
19K. Toppenberg
23J. Schipper
15Saviola Mourinho Simons Saffoe
14Mathijs Menu
17J. Hartog
12J. Esajas
18Bohdan Budko

Match Statistics

VVV VenloJong AZ

2.41Expected Goals1.51

317Passes accurate355

14Shots insidebox14

5Shots outsidebox7

3Blocked Shots9

13Free Kicks13

6Shots on Goal6

2Goalkeeper Saves2

10Shots off Goal6

2Offsides1

379Total passes421

19Total Shots21

4Yellow Cards3

7Corner Kicks5

13Fouls14

0Red Cards0

48%Ball Possession52%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.03	4.07	2.96

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.36	1.70	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
1.58	2.28

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.28	3.37

1st half

1	X	2
2.46	2.67	3.23

2nd half

1	X	2
2.27	2.99	2.97

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.02	13.3	22.3
HT X	5.93	7.87	7.93
HT 2	18.1	13.5	4.58

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.72	32.0	2.01

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	24.3
1.5	1.05	7.65
2.5	1.28	3.37
3.5	1.73	2.02
4.5	2.61	1.43
5.5	4.46	1.17
6.5	9.00	1.07
7.5	17.0	1.02
8.5	29.0	1.01
9.5	50.5	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	14.0
1.75	1.04	6.85
2	1.05	6.40
2.25	1.15	4.30
2.75	1.29	3.04
3	1.36	2.71
3.25	1.57	2.28
3.75	1.89	1.83
4	2.11	1.64
4.25	2.34	1.52
4.75	2.92	1.31
5	3.68	1.20
5.25	3.96	1.17
6	6.95	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.76	1.39
-0.75	2.28	1.56
-0.5	2.04	1.74
-0.25	1.80	1.94
0	1.59	2.27
+0.25	1.45	2.55

16 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	7.60	1.05
-3	6.60	1.06
-2.5	6.10	1.06
-2.25	6.00	1.12
-2	5.55	1.10
-1.75	4.06	1.19
-1.5	3.33	1.29
-1.25	3.07	1.33
+0.5	1.38	3.02
+0.75	1.26	3.45
+1	1.15	4.57
+1.25	1.13	5.03
+1.5	1.11	5.35
+1.75	1.07	6.90
+2	1.03	8.90
+2.5	1.01	9.40

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.12	4.15
8.5	1.25	3.17
9.5	1.47	2.42
10.5	1.81	1.94
11.5	2.23	1.56
12.5	2.85	1.32
13.5	3.39	1.19
14.5	4.35	1.10

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.05	5.35
8	1.14	3.90
9	1.28	2.80
9.75	1.50	2.27
10	1.59	2.18
10.25	1.73	2.04
10.75	1.88	1.78
11	2.01	1.72
11.25	2.15	1.59
11.75	2.42	1.44
12	2.50	1.41
13	3.17	1.22
14	4.15	1.12
15	5.27	1.06