OddsFilter

Roda vs Jong PSV U21• Eerste Divisie, Netherlands

#60.8:0.61-1FTToday · Parkstad Limburg, Kerkrade1.4:1.8#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.72BTNX4.20BFR24.33BFRMargin at best5.0%Books10Markets76Rating63 · 37Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet1.754.204.204.8%
Pinnacle1.694.274.375.5%
Bet3651.674.104.506.5%
Betano1.724.154.056.9%
Betfair1.704.104.107.6%
1xBet1.664.154.247.9%
BetVictor1.674.104.208.1%
Marathonbet1.644.154.258.6%
William Hill1.703.904.009.5%
SBO1.653.823.8412.8%
Best of all books1.754.274.502.8%
Average1.684.094.177.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

RodaJong PSV U21
Last 10#6Table position#121.67Points per game1.338Form pts · last 550.8Goals for · last 51.40.6Goals against · last 51.836Attack rating6475Defence rating2562Form rating3871H2H rating2979Goals model2163Overall rating37

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 13:41 UTC

Roda

4W 3D 3L · goals 11:11 · per match 1.1 for, 1.1 against

4 OctAVVV Venlo0-2L
26 SepHWaalwijk2-0W
18 SepAJong Ajax0-0D
12 SepHVitesse1-0W
6 SepAMVV1-1D
28 AugHNAC Breda2-2D
21 AugADordrecht1-0W
14 AugHHelmond Sport2-1W
7 AugAEmmen0-1L
1 AugHAlemannia Aachen2-4L

Jong PSV U21

3W 4D 3L · goals 15:17 · per match 1.5 for, 1.7 against

19 SepAVitesse1-3L
14 SepHJong AZ1-1D
11 SepAHelmond Sport1-3L
7 SepHDen Bosch3-1W
31 AugHJong Ajax1-1D
28 AugAWaalwijk2-2D
24 AugHFC OSS1-0W
19 AugASunderland U211-1D
14 AugAAlmere City FC1-3L
10 AugHFC Volendam3-2W

Head to head

8Roda wins
7draws
3Jong PSV U21 wins

18 meetings · goals 34:29 · last 10: 7W 1D 2L for Roda

6 Mar 2026Eerste DivisieEerste DivisieRoda0-2Jong PSV U21
15 Sep 2025Eerste DivisieEerste DivisieJong PSV U210-1Roda
18 Jul 2025Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsJong PSV U211-1Roda
7 Mar 2025Eerste DivisieEerste DivisieRoda2-1Jong PSV U21
9 Dec 2024Eerste DivisieEerste DivisieJong PSV U212-3Roda
2 Aug 2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsJong PSV U210-1Roda
1 Apr 2024Eerste DivisieEerste DivisieJong PSV U212-3Roda
8 Dec 2023Eerste DivisieEerste DivisieRoda2-1Jong PSV U21
4 Aug 2023Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsJong PSV U211-3Roda
3 Apr 2023Eerste DivisieEerste DivisieJong PSV U215-1Roda

Eerste Divisie tableEerste Divisie: Regular seasonupdated 9 Oct 19:53 UTC

In the Eerste Divisie table, Roda sit 6th with 15 points from 9 games, while Jong PSV U21 are 12th with 12 points from 9.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Heracles971128:12+1622
2Almere City FC961219:7+1219
3VVV Venlo960323:14+918
4Emmen951319:18+116
5MVV951313:19-616
6Roda94329:7+215
7Waalwijk935119:12+714
8Vitesse942315:13+214
9NAC Breda942319:19014
10Jong AZ941422:17+513
11FC Volendam940520:17+312
12Jong PSV U21933314:16-212
13FC Eindhoven932415:19-411
14Helmond Sport923415:16-19
15FC OSS930612:14-29
16Den Bosch922513:18-58
17Jong Ajax922513:22-98
18Dordrecht922513:24-118
19De Graafschap922511:22-118
20Jong Utrecht921615:21-67

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg164%1.45X20%4.57216%5.75

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

6 Oct 00:016 Oct 04:111 1.68X 4.112 4.17
11.66 → 1.68 +1.2%X4.13 → 4.11 -0.5%24.30 → 4.17 -3.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.462.705.5%
Betfair1.402.886.2%
Bet3651.442.706.5%
Betano1.452.627.1%
BetVictor1.402.708.5%
1xBet1.402.5610.5%
Marathonbet1.402.5610.5%
Best of all books1.462.883.2%
Average1.422.677.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.442.706.5%
Bet3651.502.506.7%
Betano1.472.508.0%
1xBet1.452.568.0%
BetVictor1.442.558.7%
Marathonbet1.452.518.8%
William Hill1.442.509.4%
Best of all books1.502.703.7%
Average1.462.558.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Roda 45%Draw 45%Jong PSV U21 10%

The statistical model rated Roda at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Jong PSV U21 at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.45 | 4.57 | 5.75, which imply roughly 69% for a Roda win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Eerste Divisie table: Roda are 6th (15 pts, 9-7 goals), Jong PSV U21 12th (12 pts, 14-16).

Over their last five matches, Roda averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Jong PSV U21 averaged 1.4 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Roda or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Roda

3-4-2-1

Coach: R. Penders

Goalkeeper

  • 1J. Treichel

Defence

  • 33D. Van den Buijs
  • 3M. Tol
  • 15L. Beerten

Midfield

  • 14X. van den Berg
  • 11D. Dorenbosch
  • 4J. Nisbet
  • 5K. Jansen
  • 25Bram Marsman
  • 8J. Mensah

Attack

  • 9A. van den Hurk
Substitutes (12)
  • 2Luuk Verheij
  • 7C. Seedorf
  • 10F. Schenten
  • 6M. Paulissen
  • 17Guilherme Martinho Peixoto
  • 32N. Maoujoudi
  • 24J. Déom
  • 19N. Crabu
  • 20M. Bentoumi
  • 22Rayan Khoums
  • 26J. Sleegers
  • 21M. Stojcevic

Jong PSV U21

4-3-3

Coach: Rens Sleegers

Goalkeeper

  • 1T. Smolenaars

Defence

  • 2L. Oldenstam
  • 3M. Bresser
  • 4F. Merién
  • 5M. Monamay

Midfield

  • 6B. Mulders
  • 10P. Holseter-Karlsen
  • 8S. Sidibe

Attack

  • 7S. Dumbili
  • 9A. Jones
  • 11R. Manuhutu
Substitutes (7)
  • 17J. Beerens
  • 18S Ditmer
  • 16Stijn Kuijsten
  • 23Eskil Moedt
  • 15K. Penso
  • 19Givenciyo Sabajo
  • 14D. Stam

Match Statistics

RodaJong PSV U21
1.39Expected Goals1.35
440Passes accurate413
14Shots insidebox6
5Shots outsidebox1
6Blocked Shots1
8Free Kicks11
3Shots on Goal4
3Goalkeeper Saves2
10Shots off Goal2
3Offsides1
497Total passes486
19Total Shots7
7Corner Kicks4
11Fouls8
0Yellow Cards0
0Red Cards0
52%Ball Possession48%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.694.094.18

Double chance

1XX212
1.202.091.20

Draw no bet

12
1.313.22

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.462.55

1st half

1X2
2.132.504.27

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.5420.02.45

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0215.0
1.51.115.73
2.51.422.67
3.52.111.69
4.53.481.27
5.56.411.09
6.511.71.04
7.526.01.01
8.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0211.5
1.751.105.10
21.134.60
2.251.273.14
2.751.522.35
31.672.10
3.251.891.86
3.752.371.52
42.841.33
4.253.141.27
4.754.201.15
55.651.08
5.256.001.06

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.661.43
-1.252.381.52
-12.131.68
-0.751.831.92
-0.51.682.16
-0.251.472.50
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.58.871.03
-2.756.301.08
-2.55.081.13
-2.254.501.15
-24.151.18
-1.753.161.31
01.293.32
+0.251.233.71
+0.51.214.25
+0.751.115.45
+11.028.20
+1.51.058.90

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.094.60
7.51.193.35
8.51.342.92
9.51.622.16
10.51.991.74
11.52.531.44
12.53.301.25
13.54.251.11
14.55.351.05
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.104.37
81.233.10
91.492.37
9.251.512.33
9.751.702.09
101.921.84
10.251.861.80
10.752.091.58
112.441.47
11.252.411.44
123.071.23
134.071.12
145.201.06