OddsFilter

Jong AZ vs Den Bosch• Eerste Divisie, Netherlands

#103.0:1.80-1FTToday · AFAS Trainingscomplex, Alkmaar0.8:1.6#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.96DAFX4.33MAR23.30B365Margin at best4.4%Books10Markets81Rating59 · 41Exp. goals L53.6

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.874.503.405.1%
Dafabet1.964.303.205.5%
Betfair1.904.333.256.5%
Bet3651.904.203.306.7%
Betano1.904.253.256.9%
1xBet1.874.333.197.9%
BetVictor1.854.333.208.4%
Marathonbet1.854.333.188.6%
William Hill1.854.003.2010.3%
SBO1.903.832.9312.9%
Best of all books1.964.503.402.7%
Average1.894.243.217.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Jong AZDen Bosch
Last 10#10Table position#161.44Points per game0.8910Form pts · last 543.0Goals for · last 50.81.8Goals against · last 51.679Attack rating2147Defence rating5371Form rating2950H2H rating5076Goals model2459Overall rating41

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:51 UTC

Jong AZ

5W 1D 4L · goals 29:18 · per match 2.9 for, 1.8 against

18 SepHFC Volendam4-1W
14 SepAJong PSV U211-1D
11 SepAHeracles2-3L
5 SepADordrecht6-3W
31 AugHJong Utrecht2-1W
28 AugHMVV1-2L
21 AugAEmmen1-3L
17 AugADe Graafschap5-2W
10 AugHFC Eindhoven0-1L
1 AugAIjsselmeervogels7-1W

Den Bosch

3W 2D 5L · goals 15:18 · per match 1.5 for, 1.8 against

3 OctHDordrecht1-1D
27 SepADe Graafschap0-1L
18 SepHHelmond Sport2-1W
13 SepAFC Volendam0-2L
7 SepAJong PSV U211-3L
28 AugHVitesse1-4L
21 AugHFC Eindhoven5-2W
14 AugAHeracles2-3L
8 AugHAlmere City FC1-1D
31 JulHAl-Fayha2-0W

Head to head

5Jong AZ wins
9draws
5Den Bosch wins

19 meetings · goals 25:33 · last 10: 2W 5D 3L for Jong AZ

23 Feb 2026Eerste DivisieEerste DivisieJong AZ2-2Den Bosch
26 Sep 2025Eerste DivisieEerste DivisieDen Bosch2-3Jong AZ
28 Apr 2025Eerste DivisieEerste DivisieJong AZ0-0Den Bosch
16 Aug 2024Eerste DivisieEerste DivisieDen Bosch6-0Jong AZ
16 Feb 2024Eerste DivisieEerste DivisieDen Bosch0-0Jong AZ
11 Dec 2023Eerste DivisieEerste DivisieJong AZ0-0Den Bosch
17 Feb 2023Eerste DivisieEerste DivisieJong AZ3-1Den Bosch
14 Oct 2022Eerste DivisieEerste DivisieDen Bosch3-0Jong AZ
20 Dec 2021Eerste DivisieEerste DivisieJong AZ3-3Den Bosch
17 Sep 2021Eerste DivisieEerste DivisieDen Bosch2-1Jong AZ

Eerste Divisie tableEerste Divisie: Regular seasonupdated 9 Oct 19:53 UTC

In the Eerste Divisie table, Jong AZ sit 10th with 13 points from 9 games, while Den Bosch are 16th with 8 points from 9.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Heracles971128:12+1622
2Almere City FC961219:7+1219
3VVV Venlo960323:14+918
4Emmen951319:18+116
5MVV951313:19-616
6Roda94329:7+215
7Waalwijk935119:12+714
8Vitesse942315:13+214
9NAC Breda942319:19014
10Jong AZ941422:17+513
11FC Volendam940520:17+312
12Jong PSV U21933314:16-212
13FC Eindhoven932415:19-411
14Helmond Sport923415:16-19
15FC OSS930612:14-29
16Den Bosch922513:18-58
17Jong Ajax922513:22-98
18Dordrecht922513:24-118
19De Graafschap922511:22-118
20Jong Utrecht921615:21-67

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg148%1.94X22%4.20230%3.09

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

6 Oct 00:018 Oct 16:311 1.90X 4.212 3.17
11.85 → 1.90 +2.7%X4.28 → 4.21 -1.6%23.29 → 3.17 -3.6%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.234.125.6%
Bet3651.224.205.8%
Betfair1.204.336.4%
BetVictor1.204.207.1%
Betano1.223.957.3%
1xBet1.174.0010.5%
Marathonbet1.174.0010.5%
Best of all books1.234.334.4%
Average1.204.117.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.224.205.8%
William Hill1.253.806.3%
Bet3651.253.756.7%
1xBet1.223.848.0%
Betano1.243.658.0%
BetVictor1.223.758.6%
Marathonbet1.223.748.7%
Best of all books1.254.203.8%
Average1.233.827.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Jong AZ 45%Draw 45%Den Bosch 10%

The statistical model rated Jong AZ at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Den Bosch at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.94 | 4.20 | 3.09, which imply roughly 51.5% for a Jong AZ win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Eerste Divisie table: Jong AZ are 10th (13 pts, 22-17 goals), Den Bosch 16th (8 pts, 13-18).

Over their last five matches, Jong AZ averaged 3 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Den Bosch averaged 0.8 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Jong AZ.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Jong AZ

4-2-3-1

Coach: Norbert Alblas

Goalkeeper

  • 1K. Zeggen

Defence

  • 2J. Zwart
  • 3A. Natali
  • 5K. Inge
  • 4F. Andersen

Midfield

  • 6R. Robbemond
  • 10H. de Wit
  • 7K. Toppenberg
  • 8J. Oerip
  • 11Wassim bouziane

Attack

  • 9Jerolldino Armantrading
Substitutes (10)
  • 21Julian Sijbrands
  • 19Gijs Groot
  • 18Bohdan Budko
  • 15J. Esajas
  • 20J. Hartog
  • 16I. Ka
  • 14Mathijs Menu
  • 17Saviola Mourinho Simons Saffoe
  • 23J. Schipper
  • 12K. van Ouytsel

Den Bosch

3-1-4-2

Coach: Bart Schreuder

Goalkeeper

  • 1P. van de Merbel

Defence

  • 22Jeffry Fortes
  • 25Silvan Broker
  • 3S. Maas

Midfield

  • 18H. Eikelboom
  • 2S. Barglan
  • 11J. De Vries
  • 10Devon Decorte
  • 33M. Laros

Attack

  • 8K. Monzialo
  • 9S. Karlsson Grach
Substitutes (11)
  • 31E. Bijlsma
  • 40I. Boumassaoudi
  • 55G. Hessels
  • 27L. Hoffman
  • 21F. Murre
  • 17E. Semedo
  • 16Wang Bohao
  • 54Jari De Kruijff
  • 41K. de Rooij
  • 4J. van Heertum
  • 35B. van Schuppen

Match Statistics

Jong AZDen Bosch
0.84Expected Goals0.94
433Passes accurate227
7Shots insidebox9
7Shots outsidebox8
4Blocked Shots10
6Free Kicks14
5Shots on Goal4
3Goalkeeper Saves5
5Shots off Goal3
1Offsides3
526Total passes316
14Total Shots17
1Yellow Cards0
10Corner Kicks7
14Fouls7
0Red Cards0
62%Ball Possession38%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.884.243.21

Double chance

1XX212
1.321.861.19

Draw no bet

12
1.482.50

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.233.82

1st half

1X2
2.252.803.35

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.6542.52.10

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0126.5
1.51.059.18
2.51.204.11
3.51.542.32
4.52.241.61
5.53.511.26
6.56.131.10
7.511.31.04
8.523.01.01
9.541.0–
15 more lines
LineOverUnder
1.751.037.55
21.027.80
2.251.114.90
2.751.203.70
31.243.34
3.251.372.66
3.751.652.12
41.821.91
4.252.021.73
4.752.401.47
52.831.33
5.253.051.29
5.753.921.18
64.951.11
6.255.251.09

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.252.631.44
-12.391.53
-0.752.041.71
-0.51.881.92
-0.251.662.13
01.462.53
15 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.58.901.02
-38.101.02
-2.756.001.12
-2.55.151.13
-2.254.701.14
-24.331.16
-1.753.371.26
-1.52.901.36
+0.251.372.86
+0.51.333.34
+0.751.223.72
+11.135.00
+1.251.115.31
+1.51.105.70
+2.51.0310.0

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
7.51.114.17
8.51.233.29
9.51.452.47
10.51.781.96
11.52.151.62
12.52.771.34
13.53.351.19
14.54.301.11
15.55.351.05
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.055.35
81.133.95
91.282.83
9.751.452.38
101.582.20
10.251.662.13
10.751.821.84
111.941.81
11.252.051.65
11.752.291.48
122.511.44
133.151.22
144.121.12
155.221.06