OddsFilter

Jong Ajax vs VVV Venlo• Eerste Divisie, Netherlands

#170.6:1.80-3FTToday · Sportpark De Toekomst, Amsterdam2.4:1.8#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.88B365X4.12PIN22.15WHMargin at best5.5%Books10Markets78Rating31 · 69Exp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.834.212.185.0%
Dafabet2.804.102.225.1%
Bet3652.884.002.156.2%
Betano2.754.002.206.8%
1xBet2.813.942.137.9%
BetVictor2.704.002.158.5%
Marathonbet2.793.942.118.6%
Betfair2.804.102.058.9%
William Hill2.703.802.159.9%
SBO2.653.762.0612.9%
Best of all books2.884.212.223.5%
Average2.773.982.147.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Jong AjaxVVV Venlo
Last 10#17Table position#30.89Points per game2.005Form pts · last 590.6Goals for · last 52.41.8Goals against · last 51.820Attack rating8050Defence rating5036Form rating6420H2H rating8032Goals model6831Overall rating69

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:51 UTC

Jong Ajax

2W 2D 6L · goals 13:25 · per match 1.3 for, 2.5 against

18 SepHRoda0-0D
14 SepAJong Utrecht1-6L
11 SepHWaalwijk0-2L
4 SepAAlmere City FC1-0W
31 AugAJong PSV U211-1D
28 AugHHelmond Sport3-2W
22 AugANAC Breda2-3L
17 AugHEmmen4-6L
7 AugADordrecht1-2L
17 JulAJong AZ0-3L

VVV Venlo

6W 0D 4L · goals 25:17 · per match 2.5 for, 1.7 against

4 OctHRoda2-0W
26 SepAFC Volendam2-3L
18 SepAJong Utrecht3-1W
11 SepHFC OSS3-1W
4 SepAHelmond Sport2-4L
30 AugHEmmen4-0W
23 AugHDe Graafschap2-1W
14 AugANAC Breda2-0W
7 AugHHeracles3-4L
1 AugHAS Eupen2-3L

Head to head

6Jong Ajax wins
1draws
5VVV Venlo wins

12 meetings · goals 21:16 · last 10: 5W 1D 4L for Jong Ajax

17 Mar 2026Eerste DivisieEerste DivisieVVV Venlo0-1Jong Ajax
26 Sep 2025Eerste DivisieEerste DivisieJong Ajax2-4VVV Venlo
7 Mar 2025Eerste DivisieEerste DivisieVVV Venlo1-0Jong Ajax
1 Nov 2024Eerste DivisieEerste DivisieJong Ajax0-1VVV Venlo
3 May 2024Eerste DivisieEerste DivisieVVV Venlo2-0Jong Ajax
6 Oct 2023Eerste DivisieEerste DivisieJong Ajax3-0VVV Venlo
28 Apr 2023Eerste DivisieEerste DivisieVVV Venlo0-1Jong Ajax
24 Oct 2022Eerste DivisieEerste DivisieJong Ajax1-1VVV Venlo
25 Apr 2022Eerste DivisieEerste DivisieJong Ajax6-1VVV Venlo
5 Nov 2021Eerste DivisieEerste DivisieVVV Venlo1-3Jong Ajax

Eerste Divisie tableEerste Divisie: Regular seasonupdated 9 Oct 19:53 UTC

In the Eerste Divisie table, Jong Ajax sit 17th with 8 points from 9 games, while VVV Venlo are 3rd with 18 points from 9.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Heracles971128:12+1622
2Almere City FC961219:7+1219
3VVV Venlo960323:14+918
4Emmen951319:18+116
5MVV951313:19-616
6Roda94329:7+215
7Waalwijk935119:12+714
8Vitesse942315:13+214
9NAC Breda942319:19014
10Jong AZ941422:17+513
11FC Volendam940520:17+312
12Jong PSV U21933314:16-212
13FC Eindhoven932415:19-411
14Helmond Sport923415:16-19
15FC OSS930612:14-29
16Den Bosch922513:18-58
17Jong Ajax922513:22-98
18Dordrecht922513:24-118
19De Graafschap922511:22-118
20Jong Utrecht921615:21-67

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg134%2.76X23%3.94243%2.15

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.5% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.333.315.4%
Bet3651.303.505.5%
Betfair1.293.506.1%
BetVictor1.293.406.9%
Betano1.323.207.0%
1xBet1.253.2810.5%
Marathonbet1.253.2810.5%
Best of all books1.333.503.8%
Average1.293.357.3%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.293.506.1%
Bet3651.303.406.3%
William Hill1.303.307.2%
Betano1.313.207.6%
1xBet1.273.428.0%
BetVictor1.253.508.6%
Marathonbet1.273.348.7%
Best of all books1.313.504.9%
Average1.283.387.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Jong Ajax 10%Draw 45%VVV Venlo 45%

The statistical model rated Jong Ajax at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and VVV Venlo at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.76 | 3.94 | 2.15, which imply roughly 25.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Eerste Divisie table: Jong Ajax are 17th (8 pts, 13-22 goals), VVV Venlo 3rd (18 pts, 23-14).

Over their last five matches, Jong Ajax averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; VVV Venlo averaged 2.4 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : VVV Venlo and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Jong Ajax

4-3-3

Coach: Carlos García

Goalkeeper

  • 1C. Setford

Defence

  • 2R. van de Pavert
  • 3G. Spina
  • 4M. Muzungu
  • 5Sinclair de Falco

Midfield

  • 6Jinairo Johnson
  • 10Alejandro Monserrate
  • 8Mohamed Abdalla

Attack

  • 7Leo Salazar
  • 9E. Ünüvar
  • 11P. Nash
Substitutes (12)
  • 16A. Appiah
  • 19A. Camara
  • 12A. Hani
  • 24A. Moumane
  • 22D. Pugno
  • 21J. Simeon
  • 23P. Da Silva
  • 17M. van der Lans
  • 25D. van der Vaart
  • 30V. van der Velde
  • 18J. Amour
  • 20L. Acheampong

VVV Venlo

4-2-3-1

Coach: Marinus Dijkhuizen

Goalkeeper

  • 13Y. Schoonderwaldt

Defence

  • 14Raf Vullers
  • 4É. Clancy
  • 33G. Blancquart
  • 16P. Heise

Midfield

  • 8Ismail Oulad M'Hand
  • 38Tristan Schenkhuizen
  • 7E. Zuliani
  • 24M. Odriss
  • 11N. Ait Mouhou

Attack

  • 17L. Schmidt
Substitutes (11)
  • 6A. Verstraeten
  • 35Yousri El Anbri
  • 22Zidane Taylan
  • 31M. Davis
  • 1T. Doornbusch
  • 21L. Görlich
  • 43D. Hendrix
  • 19Thomas Janssen
  • 15Tijn Joosten
  • 34A. Rais
  • 9M. Tsigkas

Match Statistics

Jong AjaxVVV Venlo
1.4Expected Goals2.46
236Passes accurate359
6Shots insidebox15
7Shots outsidebox4
4Blocked Shots11
14Free Kicks19
3Shots on Goal5
1Goalkeeper Saves3
6Shots off Goal3
1Offsides3
290Total passes433
1Red Cards0
13Total Shots19
2Yellow Cards0
5Corner Kicks10
19Fouls14
40%Ball Possession60%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.773.992.14

Double chance

1XX212
1.651.401.21

Draw no bet

12
2.131.67

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.283.38

1st half

1X2
3.082.632.53

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.9830.01.73

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0122.8
1.51.067.68
2.51.293.35
3.51.752.02
4.52.661.42
5.54.511.17
6.58.231.07
7.514.81.02
8.529.01.01
9.550.5–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0114.5
1.751.046.95
21.056.40
2.251.154.20
2.751.312.93
31.382.64
3.251.592.25
3.751.931.82
42.171.61
4.252.411.50
4.753.081.28
53.861.18
5.254.201.16
67.501.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.781.43
-0.252.441.51
02.151.66
+0.251.851.90
+0.51.672.14
+0.751.512.40
16 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.59.231.03
-28.251.02
-1.756.531.07
-1.55.051.13
-1.254.661.14
-14.321.16
-0.753.261.29
+11.362.94
+1.251.293.29
+1.51.243.51
+1.751.164.43
+21.086.17
+2.251.106.80
+2.51.056.73
+31.066.60
+3.51.049.30

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.055.35
7.51.133.99
8.51.273.17
9.51.512.35
10.51.851.89
11.52.311.53
12.52.991.30
13.53.551.17
14.54.521.09
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.065.17
81.153.75
91.332.80
9.751.552.23
101.662.09
10.251.771.99
10.751.941.73
112.081.67
11.252.171.53
11.752.511.40
122.621.37
133.321.20
144.351.10
155.301.06