De Graafschap vs Jong Utrecht• Eerste Divisie, Netherlands

#191.2:2.02-1FTToday · De Vijverberg, Dutinghem2.2:1.6#20

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.631XBX4.60DAF24.75B365Margin at best4.1%Books10Markets79Rating49 · 52 levelExp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.63	4.60	4.50	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.62	4.54	4.56	5.7%
Bet365	1.60	4.33	4.75	6.6%
Betfair	1.60	4.50	4.50	6.9%
Betano	1.62	4.35	4.40	7.4%
BetVictor	1.60	4.40	4.40	8.0%
1xBet	1.63	4.30	4.28	8.0%
William Hill	1.62	4.20	4.40	8.3%
Marathonbet	1.61	4.30	4.30	8.6%
SBO	1.58	4.12	3.98	12.7%
Best of all books	1.63	4.60	4.75	4.1%
Average	1.61	4.36	4.41	7.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

De GraafschapJong Utrecht

Last 10#19Table position#200.89Points per game0.787Form pts · last 571.2Goals for · last 52.22.0Goals against · last 51.635Attack rating6544Defence rating5650Form rating5075H2H rating2531Goals model6949Overall rating52

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:51 UTC

De Graafschap

2W 2D 6L · goals 12:27 · per match 1.2 for, 2.7 against

3 Oct	A	FC Eindhoven	2-2	D
27 Sep	H	Den Bosch	1-0	W
20 Sep	H	NAC Breda	1-2	L
11 Sep	A	Emmen	2-1	W
4 Sep	A	Heracles	0-5	L
29 Aug	H	Almere City FC	1-4	L
23 Aug	A	VVV Venlo	1-2	L
17 Aug	H	Jong AZ	2-5	L
9 Aug	A	Helmond Sport	1-1	D
1 Aug	H	Excelsior	1-5	L

Jong Utrecht

2W 1D 7L · goals 16:26 · per match 1.6 for, 2.6 against

18 Sep	H	VVV Venlo	1-3	L
14 Sep	H	Jong Ajax	6-1	W
11 Sep	A	NAC Breda	3-2	W
7 Sep	H	FC Eindhoven	0-0	D
31 Aug	A	Jong AZ	1-2	L
28 Aug	A	FC OSS	1-2	L
24 Aug	H	Heracles	1-6	L
17 Aug	H	Vitesse	1-3	L
9 Aug	A	MVV	1-2	L
26 Jul	A	Borussia Dortmund II	1-5	L

Head to head

10De Graafschap wins

6draws

2Jong Utrecht wins

18 meetings · goals 40:21 · last 10: 4W 5D 1L for De Graafschap

20 Feb 2026Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	De Graafschap1-0Jong Utrecht
8 Dec 2025Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Jong Utrecht2-3De Graafschap
20 Jan 2025Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Jong Utrecht1-1De Graafschap
23 Aug 2024Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	De Graafschap2-2Jong Utrecht
3 May 2024Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	De Graafschap2-2Jong Utrecht
24 Nov 2023Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Jong Utrecht2-0De Graafschap
30 Jan 2023Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Jong Utrecht1-1De Graafschap
14 Oct 2022Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	De Graafschap2-0Jong Utrecht
20 Dec 2021Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Jong Utrecht0-2De Graafschap
24 Sep 2021Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	De Graafschap2-2Jong Utrecht

Eerste Divisie tableEerste Divisie: Regular seasonupdated 9 Oct 19:53 UTC

In the Eerste Divisie table, De Graafschap sit 19th with 8 points from 9 games, while Jong Utrecht are 20th with 7 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Heracles	9	7	1	1	28:12	+16	22
2	Almere City FC	9	6	1	2	19:7	+12	19
3	VVV Venlo	9	6	0	3	23:14	+9	18
4	Emmen	9	5	1	3	19:18	+1	16
5	MVV	9	5	1	3	13:19	-6	16
6	Roda	9	4	3	2	9:7	+2	15
7	Waalwijk	9	3	5	1	19:12	+7	14
8	Vitesse	9	4	2	3	15:13	+2	14
9	NAC Breda	9	4	2	3	19:19	0	14
10	Jong AZ	9	4	1	4	22:17	+5	13
11	FC Volendam	9	4	0	5	20:17	+3	12
12	Jong PSV U21	9	3	3	3	14:16	-2	12
13	FC Eindhoven	9	3	2	4	15:19	-4	11
14	Helmond Sport	9	2	3	4	15:16	-1	9
15	FC OSS	9	3	0	6	12:14	-2	9
16	Den Bosch	9	2	2	5	13:18	-5	8
17	Jong Ajax	9	2	2	5	13:22	-9	8
18	Dordrecht	9	2	2	5	13:24	-11	8
19	De Graafschap	9	2	2	5	11:22	-11	8
20	Jong Utrecht	9	2	1	6	15:21	-6	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg158%1.60X21%4.42221%4.47

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.62 → 1.61 -0.6%X4.42 → 4.36 -1.4%24.26 → 4.41 +3.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.35	3.19	5.4%
Bet365	1.36	3.10	5.8%
Betfair	1.30	3.40	6.3%
Betano	1.34	3.10	6.9%
BetVictor	1.30	3.25	7.7%
1xBet	1.29	3.04	10.4%
Marathonbet	1.29	3.04	10.4%
Best of all books	1.36	3.40	2.9%
Average	1.32	3.16	7.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.36	3.10	5.8%
Bet365	1.40	2.75	7.8%
1xBet	1.37	2.86	8.0%
Betano	1.38	2.80	8.2%
BetVictor	1.36	2.88	8.3%
William Hill	1.36	2.88	8.3%
Marathonbet	1.37	2.80	8.7%
Best of all books	1.40	3.10	3.7%
Average	1.37	2.87	7.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

De Graafschap 10%Draw 45%Jong Utrecht 45%

The statistical model rated De Graafschap at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Jong Utrecht at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.60 | 4.42 | 4.47, which imply roughly 22.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Eerste Divisie table: De Graafschap are 19th (8 pts, 11-22 goals), Jong Utrecht 20th (7 pts, 15-21).

Over their last five matches, De Graafschap averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Jong Utrecht averaged 2.2 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Jong Utrecht.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

De Graafschap

4-2-3-1

Coach: T. Duivenvoorden

Goalkeeper

1T. Wieggers

Defence

2J. Wieckhoff
3R. Besselink
15T. Kok
21K. Symons

Midfield

8D. Warmerdam
23M. Diemers
16N. Martens
10F. de Jong
7Bjorn van Zijl

Attack

40Kyano Kwint

Substitutes (12)

33R. Jonkers
17N. Kaninda
11T. Mero
22P. Reverson
5L. Schoppema
28J. Triep
4J. Hardeman
20Gabriele Finocchiaro
18Denzel Eijken
14Gijs Bolk
27N. Ahmeti-Grainca
9J. Kania

Jong Utrecht

4-3-3

Coach: Omar Rziki

Goalkeeper

1M. Eppink

Defence

2Yousri Sbai
3J. Schuldes
14W. Kooy
5Viggo Plantinga

Midfield

6F. Pohl
9N. Dundas
8J. van Ommeren

Attack

11E. C. Owen
10Massien Ghaddari
7Bjorn Menzo

Substitutes (10)

20Tijn den Boggende
32M. Tsankov
21L. Rietveld
19R. Omorowa
18D. Laaouina
22Matyas Havelka
16Kenji Goes
31Justin Eversen
13A. Aslani
12Donovan Afrifa

Match Statistics

De GraafschapJong Utrecht

1.59Expected Goals1.6

337Passes accurate265

9Shots insidebox10

7Shots outsidebox8

5Blocked Shots5

20Free Kicks9

5Shots on Goal3

2Goalkeeper Saves2

6Shots off Goal10

425Total passes354

16Total Shots18

2Yellow Cards1

6Corner Kicks5

10Fouls20

0Red Cards0

54%Ball Possession46%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.61	4.36	4.41

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.19	2.22	1.17

Draw no bet

1	2
1.28	3.43

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.37	2.87

1st half

1	X	2
2.02	2.67	4.30

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.50	29.0	2.47

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	22.3
1.5	1.08	6.87
2.5	1.32	3.16
3.5	1.83	1.92
4.5	2.84	1.38
5.5	4.86	1.15
6.5	9.18	1.06
7.5	16.3	1.02
8.5	37.5	–
9.5	50.5	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	13.0
1.75	1.07	5.90
2	1.08	5.50
2.25	1.19	3.80
2.75	1.35	2.74
3	1.47	2.50
3.25	1.64	2.16
3.75	2.01	1.76
4	2.29	1.55
4.25	2.45	1.48
4.75	3.14	1.27
5	4.00	1.17
5.25	4.30	1.15
6	7.40	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.46	1.49
-1.25	2.23	1.61
-1	1.97	1.80
-0.75	1.75	2.01
-0.5	1.62	2.25
-0.25	1.45	2.56

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	7.67	1.04
-3	6.93	1.06
-2.75	5.36	1.11
-2.5	4.30	1.17
-2.25	3.96	1.19
-2	3.62	1.24
-1.75	2.87	1.37
0	1.28	3.34
+0.25	1.24	3.62
+0.5	1.23	4.10
+0.75	1.12	5.14
+1	1.04	7.10
+1.5	1.03	8.03
+2.5	1.01	13.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.12	4.07
8.5	1.26	3.24
9.5	1.48	2.43
10.5	1.82	1.90
11.5	2.27	1.55
12.5	2.95	1.32
13.5	3.45	1.18
14.5	4.42	1.10

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.06	5.27
8	1.14	3.82
9	1.29	2.75
9.75	1.48	2.40
10	1.61	2.17
10.25	1.68	2.11
10.75	1.83	1.83
11	2.04	1.69
11.25	2.03	1.61
11.75	2.32	1.47
12	2.56	1.42
13	3.25	1.21
14	4.25	1.11
15	5.35	1.05