Almere City FC vs FC Eindhoven• Eerste Divisie, Netherlands

#21.6:0.83-0FTToday · Yanmar Stadion, Almere1.8:1.6#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.42B365X5.43PIN27.00BFRMargin at best3.1%Books10Markets84Rating62 · 38Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.39	5.49	6.49	5.6%
Dafabet	1.40	5.40	6.40	5.6%
Betano	1.42	5.00	6.00	7.1%
Bet365	1.40	5.00	6.25	7.4%
1xBet	1.35	5.30	6.65	8.0%
Marathonbet	1.34	5.30	6.60	8.6%
BetVictor	1.36	5.00	6.50	8.9%
Betfair	1.33	5.00	7.00	9.5%
William Hill	1.36	5.00	6.00	10.2%
SBO	1.36	4.73	5.61	12.5%
Best of all books	1.42	5.49	7.00	2.9%
Average	1.37	5.12	6.35	8.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Almere City FCFC Eindhoven

Last 10#2Table position#132.11Points per game1.229Form pts · last 581.6Goals for · last 51.80.8Goals against · last 51.647Attack rating5367Defence rating3353Form rating4760H2H rating4077Goals model2362Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:51 UTC

Almere City FC

6W 1D 3L · goals 19:11 · per match 1.9 for, 1.1 against

3 Oct	H	FC Volendam	1-0	W
25 Sep	A	Dordrecht	2-3	L
18 Sep	H	Heracles	1-0	W
11 Sep	A	MVV	4-0	W
4 Sep	H	Jong Ajax	0-1	L
29 Aug	A	De Graafschap	4-1	W
21 Aug	A	Vitesse	3-0	W
14 Aug	H	Jong PSV U21	3-1	W
8 Aug	A	Den Bosch	1-1	D
1 Aug	A	Emmen	0-4	L

FC Eindhoven

3W 2D 5L · goals 15:20 · per match 1.5 for, 2.0 against

3 Oct	H	De Graafschap	2-2	D
26 Sep	A	NAC Breda	2-4	L
18 Sep	H	Emmen	3-1	W
11 Sep	H	Dordrecht	2-1	W
7 Sep	A	Jong Utrecht	0-0	D
30 Aug	H	Heracles	1-3	L
21 Aug	A	Den Bosch	2-5	L
14 Aug	H	MVV	2-3	L
10 Aug	A	Jong AZ	1-0	W
1 Aug	A	SK Beveren	0-1	L

Head to head

10Almere City FC wins

2draws

5FC Eindhoven wins

17 meetings · goals 37:19 · last 10: 5W 2D 3L for Almere City FC

21 Feb 2026Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	FC Eindhoven3-2Almere City FC
15 Sep 2025Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Almere City FC5-0FC Eindhoven
26 May 2023Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Almere City FC3-1FC Eindhoven
22 May 2023Eredivisie	Eredivisie	FC Eindhoven1-0Almere City FC
10 Feb 2023Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	FC Eindhoven0-1Almere City FC
12 Sep 2022Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Almere City FC1-1FC Eindhoven
8 Apr 2022Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	FC Eindhoven3-1Almere City FC
3 Dec 2021Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Almere City FC2-0FC Eindhoven
12 Mar 2021Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	FC Eindhoven1-3Almere City FC
8 Jan 2021Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Almere City FC0-0FC Eindhoven

Eerste Divisie tableEerste Divisie: Regular seasonupdated 9 Oct 19:53 UTC

In the Eerste Divisie table, Almere City FC sit 2nd with 19 points from 9 games, while FC Eindhoven are 13th with 11 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Heracles	9	7	1	1	28:12	+16	22
2	Almere City FC	9	6	1	2	19:7	+12	19
3	VVV Venlo	9	6	0	3	23:14	+9	18
4	Emmen	9	5	1	3	19:18	+1	16
5	MVV	9	5	1	3	13:19	-6	16
6	Roda	9	4	3	2	9:7	+2	15
7	Waalwijk	9	3	5	1	19:12	+7	14
8	Vitesse	9	4	2	3	15:13	+2	14
9	NAC Breda	9	4	2	3	19:19	0	14
10	Jong AZ	9	4	1	4	22:17	+5	13
11	FC Volendam	9	4	0	5	20:17	+3	12
12	Jong PSV U21	9	3	3	3	14:16	-2	12
13	FC Eindhoven	9	3	2	4	15:19	-4	11
14	Helmond Sport	9	2	3	4	15:16	-1	9
15	FC OSS	9	3	0	6	12:14	-2	9
16	Den Bosch	9	2	2	5	13:18	-5	8
17	Jong Ajax	9	2	2	5	13:22	-9	8
18	Dordrecht	9	2	2	5	13:24	-11	8
19	De Graafschap	9	2	2	5	11:22	-11	8
20	Jong Utrecht	9	2	1	6	15:21	-6	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg168%1.37X18%5.16214%6.41

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.42 → 1.37 -3.5%X4.87 → 5.09 +4.5%25.82 → 6.38 +9.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.33	3.40	4.6%
Pinnacle	1.31	3.40	5.7%
Betfair	1.33	3.25	6.0%
Betano	1.34	3.10	6.9%
BetVictor	1.30	3.30	7.2%
1xBet	1.27	3.14	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.27	3.14	10.6%
Best of all books	1.34	3.40	4.0%
Average	1.31	3.25	7.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.50	2.55	5.9%
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
William Hill	1.44	2.60	7.9%
1xBet	1.47	2.50	8.0%
Betano	1.47	2.50	8.0%
BetVictor	1.44	2.55	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.47	2.46	8.7%
Best of all books	1.50	2.60	5.1%
Average	1.47	2.52	7.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Almere City FC 45%Draw 45%FC Eindhoven 10%

The statistical model rated Almere City FC at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and FC Eindhoven at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.37 | 5.16 | 6.41, which imply roughly 73% for a Almere City FC win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Eerste Divisie table: Almere City FC are 2nd (19 pts, 19-7 goals), FC Eindhoven 13th (11 pts, 15-19).

Over their last five matches, Almere City FC averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; FC Eindhoven averaged 1.8 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Almere City FC or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Almere City FC

4-2-3-1

Coach: Anoush Dastgir

Goalkeeper

1Wessel Speel

Defence

2M. Wasinski
3J. Jacobs
4J. Lawrence
5T. Bijleveld

Midfield

8M. de Haan
6E. Cornelisse
17E. Poku
10J. Jacobs
11M. Dors

Attack

9F. Druijf

Substitutes (11)

30J. van der Wilt
26Twan·Van Der Zeeuw
20J. Kalisvaart
18Bas Huisman
14M. Hoedemakers
7B. Burgering
24M. Mateyo
23J. Ritmeester van de Kamp
16Tiziano vianello
19Olivier de Nijs
44D. van Bruggen

FC Eindhoven

4-4-2

Coach: Jan Poortvliet

Goalkeeper

1J. Borgmans

Defence

22C. Essers
4Predrag Jevtić
44O. Renfrum
20Raf van de Riet

Midfield

28R. Buifrahi
6G. Beaumont
8X. Blomme
7H. Deenen

Attack

9K. van Veen
19Kevin Ferreira

Substitutes (12)

5R. Boon
23Gideon Constancia
27E. Eksi
35J. Elbers
30N. Fancito
31N. Janssen
14N. Munsters
10Lasse Abildgaard
17L. Netten
21A. Ozcan
25Lennon Smulders
18Antonio Baždarić

Match Statistics

Almere City FCFC Eindhoven

2.79Expected Goals0.46

346Passes accurate389

13Shots insidebox7

4Shots outsidebox3

4Blocked Shots4

8Free Kicks13

7Shots on Goal1

1Goalkeeper Saves4

6Shots off Goal5

2Offsides2

443Total passes478

17Total Shots10

1Yellow Cards2

6Corner Kicks3

13Fouls9

0Red Cards0

49%Ball Possession51%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.37	5.12	6.35

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.10	2.92	1.13

Draw no bet

1	2
1.14	5.35

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.47	2.52

1st half

1	X	2
1.75	2.83	5.63

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.37	29.0	2.90

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	21.5
1.5	1.06	7.32
2.5	1.31	3.25
3.5	1.82	1.94
4.5	2.77	1.40
5.5	4.79	1.16
6.5	9.05	1.06
7.5	16.3	1.02
8.5	34.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	14.5
1.75	1.05	6.45
2	1.06	6.00
2.25	1.16	4.05
2.75	1.32	2.88
3	1.44	2.58
3.25	1.62	2.20
3.75	2.00	1.76
4	2.24	1.58
4.25	2.45	1.47
4.75	3.08	1.28
5	3.92	1.18
5.25	4.25	1.15
6	7.40	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2	2.59	1.45
-1.75	2.19	1.63
-1.5	1.96	1.81
-1.25	1.75	2.02
-1	1.54	2.34
-0.75	1.44	2.61

15 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4.5	9.70	1.01
-4	8.90	1.02
-3.5	5.53	1.11
-3.25	5.28	1.11
-3	4.88	1.13
-2.75	3.69	1.22
-2.5	3.12	1.32
-2.25	2.86	1.37
-0.5	1.39	2.97
-0.25	1.25	3.54
0	1.12	5.18
+0.25	1.10	5.62
+0.5	1.12	6.25
+1	1.03	8.30
+1.5	1.02	10.5

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.11	4.17
8.5	1.24	3.35
9.5	1.46	2.49
10.5	1.77	1.96
11.5	2.22	1.58
12.5	2.85	1.35
13.5	3.35	1.19
14.5	4.30	1.11
15.5	5.35	1.05

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
8	1.13	3.95
9	1.28	2.83
9.75	1.49	2.28
10	1.58	2.20
10.25	1.72	2.05
10.75	1.87	1.79
11	1.98	1.77
11.25	2.14	1.60
11.75	2.40	1.44
12	2.48	1.41
13	3.15	1.22
14	4.12	1.12
15	5.22	1.06