Jong AjaxvsWaalwijk• Eerste Divisie,Netherlands
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Jong Ajax12th7 pts
Waalwijk10th7 pts
Jong Ajax12th7 pts
Waalwijk10th7 ptsIn the Eerste Divisie table, Jong Ajax sit 12th with 7 points from 6 games, while Waalwijk are 10th with 7 points from 5 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Jong Ajax at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Waalwijk at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.25 | 3.87 | 1.97, which imply roughly 25.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Eerste Divisie table: Jong Ajax are 12th (7 pts, 12-14 goals), Waalwijk 10th (7 pts, 10-8).
Over their last five matches, Jong Ajax averaged 2.2 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Waalwijk averaged 2 scored and 1.6 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Waalwijk and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).
Jong Ajax vs Waalwijk — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Heracles | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 |
| 2 |  MVV | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 |
| 3 |  Emmen | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 |
| 4 |  Jong PSV U21 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 |
| 5 |  Almere City FC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 |  Vitesse | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 |  VVV Venlo | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 |  Jong AZ | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
| 9 |  Roda | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 |  Waalwijk | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 |  NAC Breda | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 12 |  Jong Ajax | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| 13 |  FC Volendam | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 14 |  Helmond Sport | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 15 |  Den Bosch | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 16 |  FC Eindhoven | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 17 |  Dordrecht | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 18 |  FC OSS | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 19 |  De Graafschap | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 20 |  Jong Utrecht | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
3.27
X
3.78
2
1.96
Double chance
1X
1.79
X2
1.30
12
1.23
Both teams to score
Yes
1.40
No
2.72
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.11
Under 1.5
5.61
Over 2.5
1.42
Under 2.5
2.64
Over 3.5
2.08
Under 3.5
1.69
Over 4.5
3.43
Under 4.5
1.27
Over 5.5
6.15
Under 5.5
1.10
Over 0.5
1.02
Under 0.5
16.30
Over 8.5
50.50
Over 7.5
23.00
Under 7.5
1.01
Over 6.5
11.38
Under 6.5
1.04
Over 1.75
1.10
Under 1.75
5.00
Over 2
1.13
Under 2
4.50
Over 2.25
1.27
Under 2.25
3.14
Over 2.75
1.53
Under 2.75
2.33
Over 3
1.66
Under 3
2.09
Over 3.25
1.87
Under 3.25
1.87
Over 3.75
2.34
Under 3.75
1.53
Over 4
2.79
Under 4
1.36
Over 4.25
3.12
Under 4.25
1.27
Over 4.75
4.20
Under 4.75
1.15
Over 5
5.60
Under 5
1.08
Over 5.25
5.95
Under 5.25
1.07
Over 1
1.03
Under 1
11.50
Draw no bet
1
2.44
2
1.49
Asian handicap
Away -3
10.50
1st half
1
3.55
X
2.46
2
2.40
First team to score
Home
2.20
No Goal
18.25
Away
1.68
Corners 2-Way
Over 12.5
2.95
Under 12.5
1.33