Cruz Azul4th15 pts
Toluca1st19 pts
Cruz Azul4th15 pts
Toluca1st19 ptsIn the Liga MX table, Cruz Azul sit 4th with 15 points from 9 games, while Toluca are 1st with 19 points from 9 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Cruz Azul at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Toluca at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.55 | 3.40 | 2.55, which imply roughly 39.2% for a Cruz Azul win versus the model's 35%.
Form context from the Liga MX table: Cruz Azul are 4th (15 pts, 16-15 goals), Toluca 1st (19 pts, 20-9).
Over their last five matches, Cruz Azul averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Toluca averaged 2.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Cruz Azul or draw.
Cruz Azul vs Toluca — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Toluca | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19 |
| 2 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18 |
| 3 |  Club America | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 |
| 4 |  Cruz Azul | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 |  Club Queretaro | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 |  Club Tijuana | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 |
| 7 |  Leon | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 |
| 8 |  Puebla | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 |
| 9 |  Atlas | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 |
| 10 |  Monterrey | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 |
| 11 |  CF Pachuca | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 12 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 13 |  Atlante FC | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
| 14 |  Atletico San Luis | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| 15 |  Necaxa | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 |
| 16 |  Tigres UANL | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 |
| 17 |  Santos Laguna | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
2.61
X
3.30
2
2.55
Double chance
1X
1.48
X2
1.46
12
1.29
Both teams to score
Yes
1.53
No
2.36
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.18
Under 1.5
4.29
Over 2.5
1.66
Under 2.5
2.17
Over 3.5
2.50
Under 3.5
1.47
Over 0.5
1.03
Under 0.5
11.53
Over 4.5
4.56
Under 4.5
1.17
Over 7.5
32.83
Under 7.5
1.01
Over 5.5
8.70
Under 5.5
1.04
Over 6.5
18.33
Under 6.5
1.02
Over 1.75
1.19
Under 1.75
3.78
Over 2
1.26
Under 2
3.27
Over 2.25
1.47
Under 2.25
2.55
Over 2.75
1.79
Under 2.75
1.96
Under 1
9.10
Over 1.25
1.08
Under 1.25
5.60
Over 3
2.00
Under 3
1.74
Over 3.25
2.24
Under 3.25
1.58
Over 3.75
2.87
Under 3.75
1.36
Over 4
3.50
Under 4
1.22
Over 4.25
3.86
Under 4.25
1.18
Over 4.75
5.15
Under 4.75
1.10
Over 5
6.95
Under 5
1.04
Draw no bet
1
1.86
2
1.83
Asian handicap
Home 2.5
1.02
Away 2.5
1.02
1st half
1
3.13
X
2.23
2
3.05
First team to score
Home
1.96
No Goal
12.75
Away
1.92