Toluca3rd13 pts
Atlas5th13 pts
Toluca3rd13 pts
Atlas5th13 ptsIn the Liga MX table, Toluca sit 3rd with 13 points from 6 games, while Atlas are 5th with 13 points from 7 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Toluca at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Atlas at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.47 | 4.27 | 6.17, which imply roughly 68% for a Toluca win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Liga MX table: Toluca are 3rd (13 pts, 12-4 goals), Atlas 5th (13 pts, 10-9).
Over their last five matches, Toluca averaged 2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Atlas averaged 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Toluca or draw.
Toluca vs Atlas — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club America | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 |
| 2 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 |
| 3 |  Toluca | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 |
| 4 |  Club Tijuana | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 |
| 5 |  Atlas | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 |
| 6 |  Cruz Azul | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 |
| 7 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 |
| 8 |  Club Queretaro | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
| 9 |  Puebla | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
| 10 |  Leon | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 |
| 11 |  Monterrey | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
| 12 |  CF Pachuca | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 13 |  Necaxa | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 14 |  Atlante FC | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 15 |  Tigres UANL | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 16 |  Atletico San Luis | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 17 |  Santos Laguna | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
1.47
X
4.27
2
6.17