OddsFilter

Sassuolo vs AC Milan• Serie A, Italy

#101.8:1.816:00Tomorrow · Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia2.0:0.8#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.50B365X3.911XB21.871XBMargin at best1.3%Books10Markets99Rating42 · 58Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 21:08 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet4.423.911.871.7%
Betano4.503.801.852.6%
Pinnacle4.323.801.853.5%
Dafabet4.303.801.853.6%
Marathonbet4.303.801.824.5%
Betfair4.403.751.804.9%
Bet3654.503.601.805.6%
BetVictor4.103.751.835.7%
William Hill4.003.601.808.3%
SBO3.633.311.8212.7%
Best of all books4.503.911.871.3%
Average4.253.711.835.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SassuoloAC Milan
Last 10#10Table position#51.40Points per game2.208Form pts · last 581.8Goals for · last 52.01.8Goals against · last 50.847Attack rating5331Defence rating6939Form rating6138H2H rating6256Goals model4442Overall rating58

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 19:32 UTC

Sassuolo

3W 3D 4L · goals 16:17 · per match 1.6 for, 1.7 against

18 SepAMonza1-2L
13 SepHJuventus3-2W
6 SepABologna2-2D
2 SepHFrosinone1-1D
29 AugHTorino2-1W
23 AugAAtalanta1-2L
17 AugHCesena3-0W
8 AugAFC Augsburg2-3L
5 AugHCelta Vigo1-4L
31 JulHFolgore Caratese0-0D

AC Milan

4W 4D 2L · goals 17:14 · per match 1.7 for, 1.4 against

20 SepHLecce3-0W
16 SepHBenfica0-2L
12 SepALazio2-2D
6 SepAJuventus1-1D
28 AugHVenezia2-0W
23 AugATorino2-1W
15 AugAManchester United4-2W
8 AugAChelsea0-3L
5 AugHInter1-1D
25 JulACeltic2-2D

Head to head

8Sassuolo wins
5draws
12AC Milan wins

25 meetings · goals 38:46 · last 10: 4W 3D 3L for Sassuolo

3 May 2026Serie ASerie ASassuolo2-0AC Milan
14 Dec 2025Serie ASerie AAC Milan2-2Sassuolo
3 Dec 2024Coppa ItaliaCoppa ItaliaAC Milan6-1Sassuolo
14 Apr 2024Serie ASerie ASassuolo3-3AC Milan
30 Dec 2023Serie ASerie AAC Milan1-0Sassuolo
29 Jan 2023Serie ASerie AAC Milan2-5Sassuolo
30 Aug 2022Serie ASerie ASassuolo0-0AC Milan
22 May 2022Serie ASerie ASassuolo0-3AC Milan
28 Nov 2021Serie ASerie AAC Milan1-3Sassuolo
21 Apr 2021Serie ASerie AAC Milan1-2Sassuolo

Serie A tableSerie Aupdated 10 Oct 21:20 UTC

In the Serie A table, Sassuolo sit 10th with 7 points from 5 games, while AC Milan are 5th with 11 points from 5.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Inter651018:8+1016
2AS Roma541014:3+1113
3Lazio54108:3+513
4Cagliari54015:2+312
5AC Milan532010:4+611
6Frosinone53119:4+510
7Juventus53118:4+410
8Como53119:6+310
9Napoli52127:6+17
10Sassuolo52129:907
11Atalanta52035:7-26
12Lecce52035:10-56
13Udinese51138:11-34
14Torino51135:8-34
15Monza51138:12-44
16Genoa61145:11-64
17Parma61144:10-64
18Fiorentina61147:14-74
19Bologna50233:6-32
20Venezia50054:13-90

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg122%4.24X26%3.71252%1.82

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

8 Oct 00:0210 Oct 06:401 4.24X 3.712 1.82
14.23 → 4.24 +0.2%X3.71 → 3.71 0.0%21.81 → 1.82 +0.6%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.872.081.6%
Pinnacle1.772.123.7%
Betano1.782.103.8%
SBO1.732.144.5%
Marathonbet1.812.015.0%
Bet3651.732.105.4%
Betfair1.732.105.4%
BetVictor1.711.989.0%
Best of all books1.872.140.2%
Average1.772.084.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.732.056.6%
Betfair1.602.256.9%
Betano1.652.157.1%
1xBet1.712.047.5%
Bet3651.672.107.5%
Marathonbet1.712.028.0%
BetVictor1.652.108.2%
Best of all books1.732.252.2%
Average1.672.107.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sassuolo 10%Draw 45%AC Milan 45%

The statistical model rates Sassuolo at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and AC Milan at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.24 | 3.71 | 1.82, which imply roughly 27% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie A table: Sassuolo are 10th (7 pts, 9-9 goals), AC Milan 5th (11 pts, 10-4).

Over their last five matches, Sassuolo averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; AC Milan averaged 2 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or AC Milan.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
4.253.711.83

Double chance

1XX212
1.971.211.26

Draw no bet

12
3.081.34

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.672.10

1st half

1X2
4.452.262.37

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.5612.61.61

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0311.9
1.51.224.02
2.51.772.08
3.52.821.40
4.55.311.13
5.510.31.04
6.518.71.01
7.541.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.019.10
1.251.125.11
1.751.293.40
21.363.04
2.251.572.40
2.751.951.82
32.281.61
3.252.561.46
3.753.391.27
44.601.13
4.254.951.11
4.757.231.05
58.401.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
03.121.33
+0.252.341.57
+0.52.021.81
+0.751.782.05
+11.552.46
+1.251.432.81
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.59.171.02
-1.258.101.02
-18.001.02
-0.755.351.12
-0.54.141.22
-0.253.551.26
+1.51.343.21
+1.751.233.72
+21.125.37
+2.251.105.70
+2.51.096.19
+2.751.027.80
+31.0111.5
+3.51.0212.0

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
0.51.0211.5
1.51.106.30
2.51.293.42
3.51.662.15
4.52.301.59
5.53.151.33
6.54.701.17
7.56.901.08
8.59.501.04
3 more lines
LineOverUnder
31.392.84
42.001.81
53.571.26

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
2.51.0114.0
3.51.0211.0
4.51.037.83
5.51.115.04
6.51.273.26
7.51.532.33
8.51.971.79
9.52.541.46
10.53.481.24
11.54.911.13
12.56.891.05
13.58.621.03
14.511.51.02
15.513.51.01
19 more lines
LineOverUnder
51.045.79
5.751.124.80
61.124.09
6.251.213.78
6.751.263.12
71.302.92
7.251.382.56
7.751.562.21
81.742.06
8.251.801.95
8.752.021.68
92.161.64
9.252.301.48
9.752.711.34
102.801.32
10.253.181.21
113.671.16
124.891.07
135.901.03