Napoli vs Frosinone• Serie A, Italy

#91.4:1.23-0FTToday · Maradona Stadium, Naples1.8:0.8#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.60BTNX4.80DAF25.91PINMargin at best0.3%Books10Markets102Rating46 · 54 levelExp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 18:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.58	4.78	5.81	1.4%
Betano	1.60	4.50	5.50	2.9%
Pinnacle	1.55	4.58	5.91	3.3%
Dafabet	1.55	4.80	5.40	3.9%
Marathonbet	1.53	4.65	5.65	4.6%
Bet365	1.53	4.33	5.75	5.8%
BetVictor	1.50	4.75	5.50	5.9%
SBO	1.52	4.42	5.22	7.6%
Betfair	1.50	4.40	5.50	7.6%
William Hill	1.50	4.33	5.00	9.8%
Best of all books	1.60	4.80	5.91	0.3%
Average	1.54	4.55	5.52	5.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NapoliFrosinone

Last 10#9Table position#61.40Points per game2.004Form pts · last 5111.4Goals for · last 51.81.2Goals against · last 50.844Attack rating5640Defence rating6041Form rating5971H2H rating2919Goals model8146Overall rating54

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 20:02 UTC

Napoli

5W 2D 3L · goals 18:11 · per match 1.8 for, 1.1 against

20 Sep	A	Fiorentina	1-1	D
13 Sep	H	Bologna	1-0	W
9 Sep	H	Arsenal	0-1	L
5 Sep	A	Inter	2-3	L
30 Aug	H	Como	1-2	L
22 Aug	A	Genoa	2-0	W
12 Aug	H	Aris Thessalonikis	6-2	W
8 Aug	H	Celta Vigo	1-1	D
5 Aug	H	Osasuna	2-1	W
26 Jul	H	Carrarese	2-0	W

Frosinone

5W 3D 2L · goals 19:11 · per match 1.9 for, 1.1 against

2 Oct	H	Benevento	2-1	W
20 Sep	H	Como	2-0	W
12 Sep	A	Genoa	1-1	D
6 Sep	H	Venezia	3-2	W
2 Sep	A	Sassuolo	1-1	D
29 Aug	A	Fiorentina	3-0	W
23 Aug	H	Juventus	0-1	L
16 Aug	H	Juve Stabia	4-1	W
9 Aug	H	Lazio	1-2	L
1 Aug	H	Benevento	2-2	D

Head to head

5Napoli wins

1draws

1Frosinone wins

7 meetings · goals 20:8 · last 7: 5W 1D 1L for Napoli

14 Apr 2024Serie A	Serie A	Napoli2-2Frosinone
19 Dec 2023Coppa Italia	Coppa Italia	Napoli0-4Frosinone
19 Aug 2023Serie A	Serie A	Frosinone1-3Napoli
28 Apr 2019Serie A	Serie A	Frosinone0-2Napoli
8 Dec 2018Serie A	Serie A	Napoli4-0Frosinone
14 May 2016Serie A	Serie A	Napoli4-0Frosinone
10 Jan 2016Serie A	Serie A	Frosinone1-5Napoli

Serie A tableSerie Aupdated 10 Oct 21:20 UTC

In the Serie A table, Napoli sit 9th with 7 points from 5 games, while Frosinone are 6th with 10 points from 5.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Inter	6	5	1	0	18:8	+10	16
2	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14:3	+11	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8:3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5:2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10:4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9:4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8:4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9:6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7:6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9:9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5:7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5:10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8:11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5:8	-3	4
15	Monza	5	1	1	3	8:12	-4	4
16	Genoa	6	1	1	4	5:11	-6	4
17	Parma	6	1	1	4	4:10	-6	4
18	Fiorentina	6	1	1	4	7:14	-7	4
19	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3:6	-3	2
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4:13	-9	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg162%1.54X21%4.55217%5.52

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.44 → 1.54 +6.9%X4.71 → 4.55 -3.4%26.46 → 5.52 -14.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.47	2.76	4.3%
Betano	1.47	2.75	4.4%
Bet365	1.40	3.00	4.8%
Betfair	1.36	2.88	8.3%
BetVictor	1.42	2.59	9.0%
1xBet	1.38	2.73	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.38	2.73	9.1%
Best of all books	1.47	3.00	1.4%
Average	1.41	2.78	6.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
Betano	1.53	2.40	7.0%
1xBet	1.49	2.48	7.4%
Betfair	1.44	2.63	7.5%
William Hill	1.50	2.45	7.5%
Marathonbet	1.49	2.44	8.1%
BetVictor	1.47	2.45	8.8%
Best of all books	1.53	2.63	3.4%
Average	1.49	2.48	7.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Napoli 10%Draw 45%Frosinone 45%

The statistical model rated Napoli at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Frosinone at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.54 | 4.55 | 5.52, which imply roughly 22% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie A table: Napoli are 9th (7 pts, 7-6 goals), Frosinone 6th (10 pts, 9-4).

Over their last five matches, Napoli averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Frosinone averaged 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Frosinone.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Napoli

3-4-2-1

Coach: M. Allegri

Goalkeeper

1A. Meret

Defence

16Rafa Marín
13Amir Rrahmani
5B. Badiashile

Midfield

22G. Di Lorenzo
11K. De Bruyne
68S. Lobotka
37L. Spinazzola
7David Neres
70N. Lang

Attack

19R. Højlund

Substitutes (10)

31S. Beukema
14N. Contini
6B. Gilmour
23Giovane
20L. Lucca
35Luca Marianucci
8S. McTominay
32V. Milinković-Savić
21M. Politano
36Milton Agustín Pereyra

Frosinone

4-2-3-1

Coach: M. Alvini

Goalkeeper

22L. Palmisani

Defence

20A. Oyono
3G. Calvani
2G. Cittadini
79G. Bracaglia

Midfield

73P. Masini
14G. Calò
7F. Ghedjemis
10R. Schmid
17G. Kvernadze

Attack

9A. Raimondo

Substitutes (13)

16Matteo Cichella
91S. Desplanches
74Omar Fayed
40S. Fini
30I. Monterisi
12M. Pisseri
90E. Tchato
71A. Terzić
24A. Zerbin
25K. Akpoguma
89T. Bobček
5W. Amey
70L. Hasa

Match Statistics

NapoliFrosinone

2.8Expected Goals1.03

361Passes accurate354

13Shots insidebox9

6Shots outsidebox8

2Blocked Shots2

11Free Kicks8

8Shots on Goal1

1Goalkeeper Saves5

9Shots off Goal14

1Offsides2

453Total passes423

19Total Shots17

2Yellow Cards0

6Corner Kicks4

8Fouls12

0Red Cards0

51%Ball Possession49%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.54	4.55	5.52

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.15	2.50	1.19

Draw no bet

1	2
1.20	4.14

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.49	2.48

1st half

1	X	2
1.96	2.59	5.25

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.44	21.5	2.82

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	17.5
1.5	1.10	6.03
2.5	1.41	2.78
3.5	2.08	1.76
4.5	3.36	1.30
5.5	6.07	1.10
6.5	11.3	1.04
7.5	19.7	1.01
8.5	45.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	16.0
1.75	1.09	5.46
2	1.11	4.95
2.25	1.28	3.36
2.75	1.51	2.48
3	1.65	2.21
3.25	1.88	1.94
3.75	2.31	1.57
4	2.79	1.41
4.25	3.03	1.34
4.75	3.87	1.19
5	5.05	1.10
5.25	5.40	1.09

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.67	1.48
-1.5	2.36	1.60
-1.25	2.08	1.74
-1	1.84	1.99
-0.75	1.63	2.25
-0.5	1.52	2.51

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	7.67	1.04
-3.25	6.43	1.07
-3	6.83	1.06
-2.75	4.95	1.13
-2.5	3.93	1.20
-2.25	3.67	1.25
-2	3.36	1.30
-0.25	1.35	3.06
0	1.19	4.32
+0.25	1.16	4.57
+0.5	1.15	5.50
+0.75	1.05	7.38
+1	1.02	10.5
+1.5	1.02	11.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.08	7.00
1.5	1.31	3.33
2.5	1.88	1.88
3.5	2.69	1.50
4.5	4.90	1.16
5.5	7.70	1.06
6.5	10.8	1.03
7.5	13.0	1.01
8.5	14.0	1.01

3 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.46	2.70
3	2.31	1.67
4	3.82	1.24

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.01	14.0
4.5	1.02	12.3
5.5	1.03	9.75
6.5	1.08	6.03
7.5	1.18	4.06
8.5	1.35	2.85
9.5	1.63	2.15
10.5	2.03	1.71
11.5	2.60	1.42
12.5	3.44	1.24
13.5	4.76	1.13
14.5	6.51	1.06
15.5	7.56	1.06
16.5	11.0	1.02
17.5	12.5	1.01
18.5	14.0	1.01

17 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.08	4.70
8	1.19	3.35
8.75	1.36	2.68
9	1.46	2.52
9.25	1.52	2.30
9.75	1.72	2.05
10	1.86	1.94
10.25	1.88	1.78
10.75	2.11	1.57
11	2.34	1.53
11.25	2.44	1.43
11.75	2.77	1.29
12	2.90	1.26
12.25	3.26	1.21
13	3.85	1.14
14	4.97	1.07
15	5.25	1.06